Rublev vs Davidovich Fokina: Predictions and Betting Odds for ATP Beijing Match on September 29, 2024

China Open. lotus-court
Andrey RublevRussian Federation
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSpain
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Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Rublev and Davidovich Fokina will face off on September 29 in the second round of the tournament in Beijing. Rublev has not shown his best form recently, as evident in the first round where the match could have ended unfavorably for him despite a dominating 6-0 score in the first set. Can Davidovich Fokina challenge the Russian? Our analysis of the match and betting predictions can be found in our betting tip.

Command Analysis

Andrey Rublev

Current Form

Rublev advanced in the first round of the Beijing tournament by defeating Pablo Carreno Busta with a score of 6-0, 4-6, 6-4. During the match against the Spaniard, Andrey recorded 12 aces and converted five break points while losing two service games. This victory marks Rublev's 25th on outdoor hard courts this season with nine losses.

Professional Skills

Rublev is known for his powerful groundstrokes, particularly his forehand, which can be quite lethal. His serve is also one of his key strengths. However, he often struggles with psychological consistency, resulting in uneven performances lately.

Current Tour Statistics

Rublev currently ranks as the sixth player in the world. The Russian athlete has been showcasing his game at a high level, especially on hard courts, where he holds an impressive record of 196 wins out of 294 matches. This season, Andrey has secured two titles with victories in Hong Kong and Madrid.

Interesting Betting Insights

Since transitioning to hard courts, Rublev has claimed 12 wins out of 16 matches.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Current Form

Davidovich Fokina started the Beijing tournament with a victory over Zhizhen Zhang, winning 6-3, 4-6, 6-3. Alejandro served seven aces, converted four break points, and dropped two games on his serve. This marked his 12th win on outdoor hard courts this season against ten losses.

Professional Qualities

Davidovich Fokina is a gifted tennis player known for his dynamic playing style. His ability to retrieve incredible shots from the corners is impressive, though prolonged rallies do not always yield the desired outcomes. His powerful forehand is a significant asset, yet psychological challenges hinder him from reaching his full potential.

Current Tour Statistics

Davidovich Fokina is currently ranked 64th in the ATP rankings. The Spaniard shows excellent performance on hard courts, matching his capabilities on his preferred clay surface. He has recorded 115 victories in 189 matches on blue courts.

Betting Insights

Recently, Davidovich Fokina's consistency has been lacking as he has secured five wins in his last ten matches.

Trends

Bet Set Efficiency: 1>2

In 3 of Rublev's last 5 matches, the on-court events unfolded in this manner

2.27
2.27

Bet Tiebreak in the match — yes

This bet has been successful in 3 of Davidovich Fokina's last 5 matches

2.01
2.01

Tip and bets

TipDavidovich Fokina with a spread of +4
1.75

Rublev currently doesn't seem to be operating at full capacity. The first-round match could have gone against the Russian, even after he won the first set 6-0. We believe that Davidovich Fokina will challenge Andrey in their upcoming match.

Our prediction is a victory for Davidovich Fokina with a +4 game handicap at odds of 1.75.

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TipTotal over 22
1.85

Total Bet

Rublev and Davidovich Fokina are well-acquainted with each other's playing styles, having faced off four times on the tennis court. We anticipate their upcoming match to be competitive and likely to exceed two sets.

Our second prediction is over 22 games at odds of 1.85

First Set Bet

In three of Davidovich Fokina's last five matches, there were more than 9.5 games played in the first set. It is highly likely that Alejandro's upcoming encounter with Rublev will also begin with a high-scoring first set.

Prediction: over 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.51

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
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% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)