Sinner vs Safiullin: Predictions and Odds for the ATP Beijing Match on September 28, 2024

China Open. capital-group-diamond
Jannik SinnerItaly
Roman SafiullinRussian Federation
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Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin
Sinner and Safiullin will face off on September 28 in the second round of the tournament in Beijing. Sinner has already encountered challenges in this event, taking three sets to secure victory over Harry. The encounter with Safiullin is set to be just as intense, considering their past matches have always been fiercely contested. Will Roman be able to put up a strong fight against the Italian? Our analysis and betting predictions for this match can be found in our betting tip.

Command Analysis

Jannik Sinner

Current Form

Sinner began his campaign in Beijing with a determined victory over Nicolas Jarry, winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-1. Yannick recorded one ace, converted four break points, and dropped just one game on his serve. This marks his 33rd win on hard courts this season, with only two losses.

Professional Attributes

The combination of a powerful forehand and a precise backhand makes Sinner's play truly exceptional. The Italian showcases remarkable versatility, allowing him to control the court in both defensive and offensive exchanges.

Current Tour Statistics

Sinner is the undeniable leader in global tennis. This season, he has amassed an impressive array of trophies, including victories at two of the most prestigious Grand Slam tournaments: the Australian Open and the US Open. Additionally, he has claimed titles in Rotterdam, Miami, Halle, and Cincinnati. Over his career, Yannick has lifted 17 ATP titles.

Betting Insights

Sinner is the defending champion of last year's event in Beijing.

Roman Safiullin

Current Form

Safiullin advanced to the second round of the Beijing tournament by defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-3, 6-4. In this match against the Swiss player, Roman delivered 11 aces, converted two break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. This season, the Russian has achieved 15 wins and 12 losses on outdoor hard courts.

Professional Qualities

Safiullin is an emerging Russian tennis player with evident talent. However, injuries have hindered his ability to consistently showcase his high potential. Hard courts are his preferred surface. His powerful first serve is one of his key strengths, yet an inconsistent second serve often proves to be his Achilles' heel.

Current Tour Statistics

This season, Safiullin added to his trophy collection by winning the Challenger in Cary, marking his 24th career title. He currently holds the 69th position in the ATP rankings.

Betting Insights

Safiullin has secured ten victories in his last 14 matches on outdoor hard courts.

Trends

Bet Set Performance: 1>2

In 3 of Sinner's last 5 matches, the matches unfolded in this manner

2.16
2.16

Bet No Tiebreak in Match

This bet has been successful in Safiullin's last five matches

1.28
1.28

Tip and bets

TipSafiullin with a handicap of (+6)
1.77

The opening match in Beijing was a challenging one for Sinner, as he needed three sets to secure a victory over Harry. We believe that his upcoming clash against Safiullin will also be tough. This is especially true considering that their two previous encounters were highly competitive.

Our prediction is a win for Safiullin with a +6 games spread at odds of 1.77

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TipTotal Over 22
1.85

Betting on Total Games

Sinner and Safiullin have faced each other twice in their careers. Their most recent match occurred last season at Wimbledon and went to four sets. We expect another competitive battle in their upcoming encounter.

Our second prediction is for over 22 games with odds of 1.85

Betting on the First Set

In three of Safiullin's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We anticipate that Roman's upcoming match against Sinner will also start with a "low-scoring" first set.

Our prediction is for under 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.92

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
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% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)