Nishioka vs Rune: Predictions and Betting Tips for the ATP Tokyo Match on September 28, 2024

Japan Open Tennis Championships. coliseum
Yoshihito NishiokaJapan
Holger RuneDenmark
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Yoshihito Nishioka - Holger Rune
Nishioka and Rune will clash on September 28 in the second round of the Tokyo tournament. Competing on home soil gives Nishioka an extra boost to showcase his best tennis. In the first round, he confidently defeated the solid Auger-Aliassime. Can Yoshihito pull off another victory against Rune? Our analysis of the match and betting insights are available in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Yoshihito Nishioka

Current Form

Nishioka secured a win against Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of the Tokyo tournament with scores of 7-6, 3-6, 7-6. During the match against the Canadian, Yoshihito served one ace converted one break point and lost three games on his serve. For the Japanese player, this marks his 14th victory on outdoor hard courts this season against 13 losses.

Professional Qualities

Nishioka compensates for his lack of power with exquisite ball control, particularly on his backhand shots. His ability to impart spin allows him to win extended rallies and create unexpected scenarios on the tennis court. However, the absence of raw power can sometimes hinder his ability to achieve higher results.

Current Tour Statistics

Nishioka is currently ranked 59th in the ATP standings, although he has previously reached a career-high of 24th. This season, the Japanese player added to his trophy collection by winning the tournament in Atlanta, marking his third ATP title in his career.

Betting Insights

Throughout his career, Nishioka has never progressed beyond the second round at his home tournament in Tokyo.

Holger Rune

Current Form

Holger Rune defeated Alejandro Tabilo (6-2, 5-7, 6-4) in the first round of the tournament in Tokyo. He recorded ten aces against the Chilean, converted four break points, and lost two games on his serve. This victory marked Rune's 18th win on outdoor hard courts this season, with nine losses.

Professional Traits

Rune is a gifted tennis player with impressive physical attributes: he is fast, features a powerful serve, and has a strong forehand. However, his performance often suffers due to psychological instability. Under pressure from tough opponents, the Dane tends to lose focus and commits numerous errors.

Current Tour Statistics

Rune is currently ranked 15th in the ATP standings, although he has previously reached as high as fourth. This season, he has yet to secure a tournament win, but he did make it to the final in Brisbane.

Betting Insights

In his last ten matches on outdoor hard courts, Rune has suffered four losses.

Trends

Bet Sets Result: 2>1

In 3 out of the last 5 matches, Nisioka's on-court events unfolded in this manner

2.33
2.33

Bet No Tiebreak in Match

This bet has won in 4 out of the last 5 matches involving Rune

1.99
1.99

Tip and bets

TipNishioka with a handicap of +3
1.74

Nishioka is playing at home, which motivates the Japanese player to deliver his best tennis. In the first round, Yoshihito defeated the strong Auger-Aliassime. We believe he can handle Rune as well, especially since he has already beaten the Dane in their past encounters.

Our prediction is a Nishioka victory with a game handicap of (+3) at odds of 1.74.

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TipTotal Over 22
1.85

Total Bet

Nishioka and Rune have faced each other twice in their careers, with both matches ending with a high score. It is likely that their upcoming clash will also see a high total.

The second prediction is for a total of over 22 games with odds of 1.85.

First Set Bet

In three of Rune's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. It is probable that Holger's upcoming match against Nishioka will also start with a high-scoring first set.

The prediction is for a total of over 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.61.

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)