LiontipsChelsea vs Brighton. Predictions (odds 2.40) and betting insights for the Premier League match on September 28, 2024.
Command Analysis
Current Form
Gradually, Enzo Maresca has enhanced Chelsea's performance, finding the right roles for players on the pitch and identifying key individuals to rely on. It's no coincidence that the Blues have achieved a winning streak of three matches, maintaining a clean sheet throughout. While the opponents haven't been the toughest, it's still premature to overestimate these achievements. Nevertheless, such results suggest potential for further improvement. In the Premier League, the Pensioners secured victories against Bournemouth (1-0) and West Ham (3-0), followed by a dominant 5-0 win against Barrow in the League Cup.
After five rounds, Chelsea sits in fifth place on the league table, with 10 points. Their only defeat came in the opening match against Manchester City (0-2), leaving them just three points behind the league leaders.
Currently, Enzo Maresca's team displays a balanced style of play with no significant defensive lapses and effective finishing of chances created. In the match against West Ham, they registered five shots on target, converting three into goals.
Injuries and Suspensions
James is injured and will miss the upcoming fixture.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Chelsea has suffered only one defeat in the last 11 Premier League matches
- In 14 out of the last 18 outings in the EPL, the Blues scored at least two goals
- Chelsea players received more yellow cards than their opponents in three out of the last four matches
Projected Lineup: Sanchez – Gusto, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Cucurella – Caicedo, Fernandez – Madueke, Palmer, Sancho – Jackson.
Current Form
Brighton, under the management of Fabian Hurzeler, has started the season strong with an impressive record. After seven competitive matches in the league and the cup, the Seagulls remain unbeaten. They have faced tough challenges, including matches against Manchester United (2-1) and Arsenal (1-1).
In the latest round, Brighton drew 2-2 against Nottingham Forest at home, despite dominating possession with 71%. However, their opponents defended well and took advantage of their limited chances. In the league standings after five rounds, Brighton sits in seventh place and clearly aims to compete for European spots next season.
In the League Cup, Brighton has successfully navigated two rounds, showcasing an attacking style of play. They recorded victories over Crawley Town (4-0) and Wolverhampton (3-2).
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, Milner, March, Gruda, and O'Reilly will not participate today.
Betting Trends
- Brighton has won the corner count in four of their last five matches
- In seven of their last eight away matches in the Premier League, the Seagulls have scored
- Brighton has not lost the shot on target count in four of their last five games
Projected Lineup: Verbruggen – Veltman, van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinyan – Baleba, Wiffer – Minter, Pedro, Mitoma – Welbeck.
Trends
Bet Chelsea to win on fouls
In three of their last four matches, Brighton players have committed fewer fouls than their opponents
1.82Bet Goals in both halves - Yes
In four of the last five head-to-heads, goals were scored in both halves
1.54Bet Exact score 2:1
Chelsea has won against Brighton by a margin of one goal in their last four encounters
8.20Bet Chelsea to score in the second half
In their last three matches, Chelsea has scored in the second half
1.47Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
This bet has succeeded in three of the last five encounters
2.24Tip and bets
In our opinion, the home team justifiably earns the favorite status from bookmakers today. Chelsea is currently showcasing a more balanced and consistent style of play. Brighton aims to dominate possession and applies pressure, but they frequently concede dangerous counterattacks from their opponents. We believe the aristocrats will capitalize on their opportunities, as they are currently not struggling with finishing. Additionally, it’s clear that Maresca has improved the team's defensive organization. Notably, Chelsea has secured victory in all four of their previous encounters.
Our prediction is a Chelsea win at odds of 1.78.
Total Goals Bet
When selecting bets for the match, it's hard to ignore that in eight out of the last ten head-to-head encounters, both teams have found the back of the net. Chelsea has a strong offensive lineup, while Brighton has only been held scoreless once this season.
The secondary bet is for both teams to score with a odds of 1.55
Exact Score Difference Bet
Chelsea has triumphed in their last four meetings, with each victory achieved by a margin of just one goal. It's unlikely that we'll see a lopsided win today, as Brighton has yet to lose this season.
Prediction - Chelsea to win by a margin of one to two goals with odds of 2.40
