LiontipsMpeshi vs Alcaraz: Predictions and Bets for the ATP Beijing Match on September 27, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Mpeshi competed in a tournament in Chengdu last week, managing to get past the first round before losing to Yannick Hanfmann. This season, Giovanni has achieved 15 wins against seven losses on hard courts.
Professional Skills
Mpeshi showcases a rather straightforward playing style, relying on his serve and powerful forehand shots. Reports indicate that his average first serve speed is 215 km/h, while his second serve reaches 200 km/h. A vulnerability in his game is his one-handed backhand, which lacks consistency.
Current Tour Statistics
Mpeshi is currently ranked 51st in the world. This season, the French player has claimed four titles, including a clay court victory in Lyon. This marked Giovanni's first ATP title of his career.
Interesting Betting Facts
On hard courts this season, Mpeshi has secured two titles, one in Morelos and another in Acapulco.
Current Form
Last week, Alcaraz played two matches in the Laver Cup. He secured victories over Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, winning both encounters in straight sets. This year on hard courts, Carlos has achieved 14 wins against four losses.
Professional Skills
Alcaraz is arguably the player with the most diverse shot-making arsenal on tour. He possesses a powerful serve and exceptional return skills. With precision and strength from both sides, his ability to spin the ball enables him to execute stunning shots, confidently create short angles, slice, and lob opponents with ease.
Current Tour Stats
Currently, Alcaraz ranks as the world number three. In 2023, Carlos claimed three major titles, triumphing at Indian Wells, the French Open, and Wimbledon. He has a total of 16 ATP titles to his name.
Betting Insights
Alcaraz was a semifinalist at last year's Beijing tournament.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches, the events on the court followed this scenario for Mpesh.
2.24Bet No Tiebreak in Match
This bet has been successful in 4 of the last 5 matches for Alcaraz.
1.96Tip and bets
Mpecha has a strong first serve, but we believe it won't pose much of a challenge for Alcaraz. Just last week, Carlos handled the powerful serves of Shelton and Fritz with ease. He will certainly manage the Frenchman's serve as well.
Our prediction is an Alcaraz victory with a handicap of (-4) games at odds of 1.74
Betting on the Total
Aurlcaras is a clear favorite. We believe Mpeshi has limited chances against the Spaniard, who is currently in excellent form. We anticipate little competition in this matchup, expecting the match to conclude in just two sets.
The second prediction is for a total of under 22 games at odds of 1.76
Betting on the First Set
In three of Carlos Alcaraz's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect the upcoming match against Mpeshi to also start with a low-scoring first set.
Prediction - total under 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.89
