Pol vs Arnaldi Prediction and Betting Tips for the ATP Tokyo Match on September 26, 2024

Japan Open Tennis Championships. kinoshita-group-arena
Tommy PaulUSA
Matteo ArnaldiItaly
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Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi
Paul and Arnaldi will face off in the first round of the Tokyo tournament on September 26. Arnaldi is primarily known as a clay court specialist, yet he shows potential on hard courts as well. Will Matteo be able to counter Paul's powerful attacking style in the upcoming match? You can find our predictions and betting odds for this matchup in our analysis.

Command Analysis

Tommy Paul

Current Form

Paul last competed on the court in early September at the US Open. At this major event in New York, Tommy reached the fourth round before losing to Jannik Sinner. On outdoor hard courts this season, the American has recorded 14 wins against nine losses.

Professional Qualities

Paul exemplifies the modern tennis player. His game is built around a powerful serve, an aggressive forehand, and exceptional footwork. The American adeptly combines strength and precision in his shots, allowing him to control the match.

Current Tour Statistics

Paul is currently ranked 13th in the world. This season, he has claimed two ATP titles, triumphing at the indoor event in Dallas and winning the grass court tournament in Queen's.

Interesting Betting Facts

In Tokyo, Paul will aim to defend his quarterfinal finish from last year.

Matteo Arnaldi

Current Form

Arnaldy has achieved 16 victories and 11 losses on outdoor hard courts this season. Recently, the Italian competed in the Davis Cup, where he triumphed over Thiago Monteiro in three sets.

Professional Qualities

Arnaldy is a promising young tennis player known for his exceptional clay-court skills. His playing style is built on solid defense and effective counterattacks. Matteo features good movement and a variety of shots; however, his performance on faster surfaces can suffer due to an inconsistent backhand.

Current Tour Statistics

The Italian currently ranks 33rd in the world standings. This season, Matteo has yet to secure any titles, with his best performance coming at the Montreal tournament, where he reached the semifinals.

Interesting Betting Insights

On outdoor hard courts, Arnaldy has managed to win at least one set in 8 of his last 10 matches.

Trends

Ставка Результативность сетов: 1>2

В 3 из 5 последних матчей Пола события на корте развивались по такому сценарию

2.22
2.22

Ставка Тай-брейк в матче - да

Такая ставка сыграла в 3 из 5 предыдущих матчей Арнальди

2.43
2.43

Tip and bets

TipTotal with a spread of -3
1.75

We believe Arnaldi will struggle against Paul's powerful game. Tommy has shown strong performances on outdoor hard courts this season, reaching the fourth round at the US Open recently. We are backing the American to win this matchup.

Our prediction is Paul's victory with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.75

Did you like the tips?
TipTotal under 23
1.85

Total Bets

Paul is the favorite in this matchup and we anticipate that the upcoming match will be fully controlled by the American, who previously outplayed Arnaldi in two sets.

The second prediction is for a total under 23 games at odds of 1.85

First Set Bet

In three of his last five matches, Arnaldi has played under 9.5 games in the first set. We believe that Matteo's upcoming match against Paul will also begin with a low-scoring first set.

Our betting tip is for a total under 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.71

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TOP Tips

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Tips from experts

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1.91

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)