LiontipsMusetti vs. Shan. Predictions and Betting Tips for the ATP Chengdu Match on September 24, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
In his first two matches of the tournament, Musetti struggled with focus. He dropped a set to both Christopher O’Connell and Adrian Mannarino, although he performed quite well in the other sets. Everything changed in the semifinals. Against the young Russian Kachmazov, Lorenzo faced no issues, winning in straight sets.
Musetti has a strong chance to claim his first tournament victory of the season. In 2024, he reached several finals but did not emerge as the champion.
Professional Skills
Musetti dominated Kachmazov in baseline exchanges. The Italian played with great confidence, giving his opponent no opportunities. His impressive array of shots allows Lorenzo to feel at ease on any surface, and open hard courts are no exception.
Current Tour Statistics
Musetti secured his 12th victory on open hard courts this season and shows no signs of slowing down. The prospect of winning his first tournament this season will motivate the Italian to remain focused.
Interesting Betting Insights
Musetti ended his streak of matches in which he consistently lost a set to his opponents. This changed against Kachmazov. However, this does not guarantee that Lorenzo will have the same success in the final showdown.
Current Form
Shan is charging toward the championship title on home soil. At the Chengdu tournament, the Chinese player appears highly confident. In his last four matches, he has lost only one set, which occurred against Roman Safiullin. He hasn't given similar chances to his other opponents.
In the semifinals, Shan faced Yannick Hanfmann. Despite the German's resistance, he comfortably secured the victory with a score of 6-4, 6-4.
Professional Qualities
Speed is Shan's primary weapon. Many of his opponents struggle to keep up. However, this often leads to injuries for Shan. When Junchen is on form, though, stopping him becomes a formidable challenge.
Current Tour Statistics
Shan continues to rack up victories on hard courts, bringing his total to 23. His recent successes have propelled him to 55th place in the world rankings, marking his best position yet.
Interesting Betting Facts
In 3 out of 4 matches at the Chengdu tournament, Shan won in straight sets. The only match where this didn't happen was against Safiullin.
Trends
Bet Total under 2.5 sets
In 3 of the last 4 matches, Shana did not exchange sets
1.60Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 5 of Shana's last 6 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set
1.77Tip and bets
Shan has certainly proven himself worthy of a spot in the final. However, this time he faces a genuinely strong opponent. Musetti is on fire right now, showcasing the best tennis of his career. With more experience, the Italian should claim the championship title.
Our prediction — Musetti to win at 1.75
Total Bet
This match is unlikely to end quickly. It's the final. Additionally, Shana has strong crowd support. Expect a fierce contest.
Prediction — total over 22.5 games at 1.81
Tie-Break Bet
In the last four matches, Muzetti has played three tie-breaks. It's quite possible that a similar scenario will unfold against a motivated Shana.
Prediction — tie-break yes at 1.98
