LiontipsMusetti vs. Kachmazov. ATP Chengdu Match Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Musetti defended his semi-final in Chengdu last year, but the Italian had a tough time in the tournament. Lorenzo lost one set in each of them. First, he did it against Christopher O'Connell, and then against Adrian Mannarino.
After the US Open, Musetti has slowed down considerably. The Italian is performing worse than before and is winning in class.
Professional qualities
Musetti has great technique and phenomenal strikes. However, he is still young and cannot always boast of consistency. It is difficult for him to act at one level for a long period of time. He loses concentration very often.
Current indicators in the tour
Musetti can consider the current season one of the most successful in his career. In 2024, the Italian representative played in the semifinals of Wimbledon, and in the world rankings he occupies the 19th place. On open hard courts, Lorenzo has now won 11 out of 20 matches.
Interesting facts for betting
Musetti has been acting too inconsistently lately. In the five previous matches he always lost one of the games to his opponents. It is possible that this will happen now as well.
Current form
For the first time this season, Kachmazov reached the semifinals of a tournament of this level. At the beginning of the year, he played in futures, and now he is fighting with the best tennis players on the planet. The progress is obvious.
The Russian began his journey to Chengdu in the qualification, where he dealt with Hong and Chui. Already in the main draw, he overcame Alexander Kovacevic, Taro Daniel and Nicholas Harry.
Professional qualities
Fast surfaces are a great fit for Kachmazov's style of play. The Russian serves powerfully and is aggressive in rallies. The downside is his lack of experience. Alibek will miss it in the confrontation with Musetti.
Current indicators in the tour
This season, Kachmazov has 17 victories on open hard courts, but most of them were won in lower-category tournaments. It is not surprising that the Russian is currently ranked 252nd in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
In his last matches, Kachmazov beat three tennis players from the top hundred of the rating. However, now he is facing the first racket of Italy. The opponent is more serious than the previous ones.
Trends
Total over 2.5 sets bet
In 5 of Musetti's last 6 matches there have been set exchanges
1.69Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Kachmazov's last 5 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.75Tip and bets
Kachmazov has already jumped above his head, so there is no faith in another success of the Russian. After all, the class of opponents is completely different. Moreover, it is time for the Italian to start playing more confident tennis and Kachmazov can greatly help him with this. If nothing extraordinary happens, then Lorenzo will have no problems.
Our betting tip is Musetti with a handicap (-4) game for 1.80
Bet on total
Despite Musetti's recent matches, we believe that the Italian will perform more confidently this time. He probably won't have a more suitable opponent, so it's time to step it up.
Betting Tip - total under 22.5 games for 1.64
Tiebreak bet
In 3 of Kachmazov's last 5 matches, there was no tie-break. Most likely, nothing will change significantly in the next match.
Betting Tip - tie-break - no for 1.75
