LiontipsMpetshie vs Hanfmann. ATP Chengdu Match Prediction and Betting Tips
Command Analysis
Current form
All of Mpetshi's big successes are associated with fast surfaces. At the beginning of the year, he was spectacular at hard challengers and even became the champion of Morelos and Acapulco. At Wimbledon, Giovanni also showed a good game, as he reached the 1/8 finals.
The French representative began his journey at the tournament in Chengdu with a victory. In the opening match, he broke the resistance of the Chinese Sun (6:7, 7:5, 6:4).
Professional qualities
Mpetshi has a very strong serve. It is not for nothing that he is called "Tsonga's heir". Giovanni's style of play is somewhat reminiscent of how Jo-Wilfried played in his youth. He builds his game around this component. It is worth noting that on fast surfaces such tactics bring success.
Current indicators in the tour
Mpetshi has an excellent win-loss record on outdoor hard courts, winning 15 of 21 matches this season. These results have put the Frenchman at 51st place in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpetshi hasn't had the best start to his matches lately. For example, he lost the opening set in his three previous matches. He even failed against Sun, who is ranked 359th in the world.
Current form
This season, Hanfmann has been successful exclusively on clay. His most successful tournament was in Kitzbühel, where he reached the semi-finals. Yannick performed much worse in other tournaments.
Despite all the setbacks, the German representative began his journey to Chengdu with a confident victory. In the opening match, he beat the Japanese Mochizuki in two sets.
Professional qualities
Hanfmann's style of play is more suited to clay. The German plays monotonously and can throw the ball over the net for a long time. On fast surfaces with such tactics there is little chance, so Hanfmann does not have much success here.
Current indicators in the tour
In 2024, Hanfmann played only 14 matches on open hard courts, in which he suffered eight defeats. Despite this, he is still in the top 100 in the world rankings. At the moment, Yannick occupies the 95th place.
Interesting facts for betting
Hanfmann's last four matches on outdoor hard courts have ended in straight sets. The German has a hard time playing on fast surfaces.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
Four of Hanfmann's last five matches have not seen a set exchange
1.59Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 4 of the German's last 5 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.87Tip and bets
It is quite possible that Hanfmann will not withstand the pressure of Mpetshi. The Frenchman can turn on all his aggression and crush the German tennis player. A powerful serve and a sharp attacking style of play should bring success to Giovanni. We suggest giving preference to the favorite.
Our prediction is Mpetsha to win in 1.75
Bet on total
In the opening match of the tournament, Mpetshie had a swing and gave one set to Sanu. Hanfmann is a more skilled tennis player, so it is unlikely that the Frenchman will have an easy time in this match.
Betting Tip - total over 23.5 games for 1.67
Tiebreak bet
In three of Mpetshi's last four matches, one of the games has gone to a tiebreak. We expect something similar to happen against Hanfmann.
Betting Tip - tiebreaker - yes for 1.85
