LiontipsFritz vs Tiafoe. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Fritz defeated Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals of the US Open (6-7, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6). Taylor served 12 aces, converted two break points and lost two games on his serve in the match against the German. For the American, this was his 17th victory on open hard courts this season, with seven losses. Earlier in New York, Fritz beat Casper Ruud, Frazznisko Comesana, Matteo Berrettini and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the tournament grid.
Professional qualities
Fritz is a bright representative of the American school of tennis, preferring an attacking style of play and striving to dominate rallies. He has a powerful first serve, which becomes a real test for his opponents. On the back line, Taylor can also play defensively, feeling confident in long rallies.
Current indicators in the tour
Fritz has two trophies to his credit this season, winning tournaments in Delray Beach and Eastbourne. The American is currently ranked 12th in the world, although he was once ranked 5th.
Interesting facts for betting
In five matches played at the US Open, Fritz lost only five games on his serve.
Current form
Tiafoe advanced to the semifinals of the US Open after Grigor Dimitrov retired from the match at 3-6, 7-6, 3-6, 1-4. Francis has 20 wins and 12 losses on open hard courts this year. Earlier in the New York major, the American beat Alexei Popyrin, Ben Shelton, Alexander Shevchenko and Alexander Kovacevic.
Professional qualities
Tiafoe builds his game around constant attacking action. His powerful serve allows him to quickly seize the initiative, and his forehand becomes the main weapon for aggressive shots. Francis's physicality allows him to feel comfortable in long rallies.
Current indicators in the tour
Tiafoe is currently ranked 20th in the world, although he was once ranked 10th. This season, the American has played two finals - in Houston and at the Masters in Cincinnati.
Interesting facts for betting
Four of Tiafoe's last five matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Fritz's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.37Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Tiafoe's last 5 matches
1.67Tip and bets
Fritz leads Tiafoe 6-1 in their head-to-head matchup. Taylor knows how to beat his compatriot. The last time they met was in 2023 at the Acapulco tournament, where Fritz beat Francis in straight sets.
Our prediction is Fritz's victory with a handicap of (-4) games at odds of 1.89
Bet on total
Fritz and Tiafoe have met seven times in their careers. Their last face-to-face encounter was played in straight sets last year. We believe that the upcoming match will also be decided by a low score.
The second betting tip is total under 40 games for odds of 2.03
Bet on the first set
Four of Tiafoe's last five matches have seen the first set go to more than 9.5 games, and Francis' upcoming matchup with Fritz is likely to start with a top-heavy first set as well.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.61
