Nakashima vs Zverev. US Open match prediction and bets

Command Analysis

Current form
It seems that Nakashima has reached the peak of his playing form. Now the American is demonstrating a really excellent game and easily passes his opponents. In the opening two matches, Brandon defeated Arthur Cazeau and Holger Rune, and then dealt with Lorenzo Musetti. In all this time, he lost only one set.
Professional qualities
Nakashima has a great feel for the court and looks good playing on the baseline. The American's strong point is his ability to counterattack. Recently, his style of play has baffled many opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
This season Nakashima has only one championship title. At the beginning of the year he won the challenger in Tenerife. At higher ranking competitions Brandon has not yet impressed with his results, so he occupies the 50th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Nakashima starts matches very well. From the start of the match, he tries to destroy his opponent. Because of this, he has won the first set in 4 of the last 5 matches.

Current form
At this US Open, Zverev is performing slightly worse than Nakashima. The German representative allowed himself to lose two sets. This happened in the confrontations with Thomas Etcheverry and Maximilian Marter. In another match, he left no chance for Alexander Müller.
Professional qualities
Zverev is a very tall tennis player. It is not surprising that he has a strong serve. In addition, he is good at rallies. His reliable play on the back line allows him to count on success.
Current indicators in the tour
The only tournament Zverev won this season was the Masters in Rome. He performed worse in other competitions. For example, he lost in the finals in Hamburg and Roland Garros. Despite this, Alexander is considered the fourth racket in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Since 2020, Zverev has regularly played in the quarterfinals of the US Open. Last season, he even beat Jannik Sinner, but was then stopped by Carlos Alcaraz. The German can count on success in this tournament as well.
Trends
Total over 3.5 sets bet
Three of Zverev's last four matches have seen sets traded
1.69Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Zverev's last 4 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.82Tip and bets
Nakashima cannot afford to lose face at his home tournament. Especially since he is probably playing his best tennis right now. Two years ago, he lost to Zverev by five games on clay. Brandon is obliged to perform no worse on his comfortable hard court.
Our prediction is Nakashima with a handicap of (+5.5) games at 1.76
Bet on total
Four years ago, the tennis players met at the US Open and then they played to four sets. Given Nakashima's playing form, we believe that history will repeat itself.
Betting Tip - total over 36.5 games for 1.67
Tiebreak bet
Zverev's last 3 matches have gone to tie-breaks. The third match ended with two sets ending 7-5. It is likely that the match against Nakashima will also go to a tie-break.
Betting Tip - tiebreaker - yes for 1.95












