LiontipsArnaldi vs Thompson. US Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Arnaldi recently performed well at the Montreal Masters. Then the Italian managed to beat a number of tennis players and reach the final, where he was stopped by Andrey Rublev. At the US Open, Matteo continued to show good play. In the opening matches, he left no chance for Zak Svaida and Roman Safiullin.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is just learning to play on fast surfaces, but he is doing it very well. The Italian is capable of producing a fantastic shot and masterfully sharpening the game. His style of play has baffled many opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
16 wins in a season on hard is a great result. Largely due to this, Arnaldi climbed to 30th place in the world ranking. He is not going to stop there and has every chance to improve his position.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi has not lost a single set in 4 of his last 7 matches on hard courts. It seems that the Italian representative is well prepared for this part of the season.
Current form
Thompson managed to surprise. If there is nothing unusual in the victory over Constant Lestienne, then the success in the confrontation with Hubert Hurkacz was quite unexpected. Moreover, the Australian beat him in three sets and proved that he is perfectly prepared for the competition.
Professional qualities
Thompson is a good hard-court player. He has a good serve and great baseline skills. In two matches at the US Open, Jordan managed to hit 24 aces, which makes him a dangerous opponent.
Current indicators in the tour
The victory over Hurkacz was Thompson's 21st of the season on outdoor hard courts. Overall, the Australian has been playing very well on this surface. As for the ATP rankings, he is ranked 32nd.
Interesting facts for betting
Thompson always tries to start a match with success. He performs well in the opening games and has won the first set in five of his last nine matches.
Trends
Total under 3.5 sets bet
In 4 of Arnaldi's last 5 matches there were no exchanges of sets
1.67Bet 1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Thompson's last 4 matches, the first set did not go past 9 games
1.72Tip and bets
Be that as it may, Thompson feels more comfortable on hard courts than the Arnalds. In addition, the Australian has more experience. And a victory over Hurkacz should give Jordan more confidence in his own strength. We believe that Thompson has a slightly better chance of winning.
Our prediction is Thompson's victory at 1.80
Bet on total
Most likely, the upcoming match will not end quickly. We have two equal tennis players in good playing shape. They should put on a show.
Betting Tip - total over 36.5 games for 1.60
Tiebreak bet
Only 1 of the 4 previous matches between the tennis players had a tie-break. Given this, we assume that there will be no tie-break in the face-to-face meeting.
Betting Tip - tie-break - no for 1.75
