LiontipsArnaldi vs Safiullin. Betting Tip and bets on the match US Open
Command Analysis
Current form
Before the US Open, Arnaldi had a successful performance in Montreal. Then the Italian unexpectedly reached the semifinals of the Masters. However, he did not make it to the decisive match of the tournament, as he lost to Andrey Rublev.
As for the US Open, in the opening match Matteo had no problems dealing with Zach Svajda.
Professional qualities
Matteo is good at playing on slow surfaces. He feels comfortable in long rallies and can throw the ball over the net for a long time. However, sometimes he lacks stability. On fast surfaces, Arnaldi cannot always show his best game.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi's recent success has propelled him to 30th place in the world rankings, his best result in his career. His performance on open hard courts, where he has won 15 matches, has helped him achieve this.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi has a win rate of over 50% on outdoor hard courts in 2024. The Italian has lost only 10 of his 25 matches.
Current form
Safiullin has not been as successful in recent matches as Arnaldi. The Russian became the champion of Carey, but this tournament is of the challenger level. So far, Roman has been lucky with his opponents, because in the opening match he crossed rackets with Matthew Forbes. The American is in the second thousand in the world rankings, so Safiullin easily passed him.
Professional qualities
Roman has a good serve and forehand. All this helps him act in an aggressive manner. However, Safiullin really lacks stability. Because of this, he has not had any great success.
Current indicators in the tour
At the moment, Safiullin is considered the 57th racket in the world ranking. At one time, he was 36th, but he was unable to hold on to that position. As for the game on hard, he has 12 wins here this season.
Interesting facts for betting
Safiullin has only played in the main draw of the US Open once in his career. Last season, he lost to Tomi Paul. The match was a close contest and ended in five sets.
Trends
Total under 3.5 sets bet
Arnaldi hasn't had a set exchange in 3 of his last 4 matches
1.87Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of the Italian's last 5 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.91Tip and bets
In a fight that took place at the beginning of the year, Safiullin beat Arnaldi, but he did it in a fight. During this time, the Italian has improved and is now deservedly considered the favorite. Whatever the case, we doubt that the match will end quickly. The opponents are worth each other, so they will probably give a high-flying encounter.
Our prediction is total over 37.5 games for 1.72
Bet on the outcome
We expect that Safiullin will at least impose a fight on Arnaldi. The Russian knows well how to act in fights with this opponent, so he will not leave the court without a fight.
Betting Tip - Safiullin with a handicap of (+3.5) games for 1.67
Tiebreak bet
In the previous face-to-face meeting of the tennis players, a tie-break was played in one of the games. We expect that history will repeat itself at the US Open.
Betting Tip - tiebreaker - yes for 2.05
