LiontipsNewcastle vs Southampton. Prediction and betting tips for the Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Newcastle had a mixed season last season. Due to numerous problems with the squad, the Magpies were unable to play evenly and consistently on two fronts - in the Champions League and the Premier League. Plus, they clearly lacked the experience. As a result, the team finished seventh in the Premier League, although it could have been lower, but in the last 10 rounds they managed to win six times and draw twice. The management decided to give Eddie Howe another chance, and he was not fired.
It should be noted that Newcastle had almost full preparation for the start of the season, as there were not many national team players in the squad who played in international summer tournaments. As a result, the Magpies won four out of five friendlies, and three victories were achieved with a "dry" score.
Among the acquisitions, we note the bought-out contract of Lewis Hall . Odysseas Vlachodimos and William Osul came to the positions that had sagged last season. Lloyd Kelly also joined the ranks as a free agent. The club left mainly older players.
Disqualifications and injuries
Wilson, Botman, Lascelles, Miley, Targett are injured. Tonali continues to serve his disqualification.
Interesting trends for betting
- At least four goals have been scored in seven of Newcastle's last ten home Premier League games.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League home games (four wins, four draws).
Probable lineup : Pope - Trippier, Scher, Burn, Hall - Guimaraes, Longstaff, Joelinton - Murphy, Isak, Gordon
Current form
A year later , Southampton returned to the Premier League. The Saints finished fourth in the Championship, and West Bromwich and Leeds made it through to the promotion playoffs. It should be noted that in their last season in the Premier League, the team only finished 20th.
Undoubtedly, Russell Martin is faced with the task, first of all, of securing a place in the country's top football division. Southampton played seven friendly matches, winning four, drawing twice and losing only to Oxford United (0:2). In terms of sparring, we note a fairly confident attacking performance - only two out of seven games failed to score. Hopes in attack are pinned on Adam Armstrong, who scored 37 goals last season.
Of the serious losses in the squad, we note the departure of Scots Chi Adams and Stuart Armstrong. The club was strengthened by midfielder Adam Lallana, striker Ben Brereton and defender Taylor Harwood-Bellis, as well as several other not-so-famous players.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Larios, Bazunu and Sulemana will not play today. The absence of the latter is a rather serious loss in the attack.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have received more yellow cards than their opponents in nine of their last 11 Premier League games at Newcastle.
- Southampton have drawn with their opponents at half-time in their last three matches.
Probable line-up : Joe Lumley vs. Jack Stephens, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jan Bednarek vs. Kyle Walker-Peters, Flynn Downes, William Smallbone, Yukinari Sugawara vs. Ben Brereton, Adam Armstrong, Joe Aribo.
Trends
Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
Three of Newcastle's last five matches have seen more than one goal scored in the opening 45 minutes
2.17Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has won in three of the previous five head-to-head matches
1.41Bet Exact score 3:1
Newcastle have won their last five head-to-head encounters
9.90Tip and bets
Newcastle had a quality preparation for the season, Eddie Howe was able to use almost all the players in friendly matches. The Magpies' squad was tested for strength last season, now they managed to strengthen problematic positions. Southampton had many changes in the squad, it looks like the team is still "raw" and is unlikely to be ready to take points away from an opponent to whom they lost in five previous face-to-face matches in a row.
Our prediction is a Newcastle win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 1.93
Bet on total
In friendly matches, Newcastle pleased with a powerful attacking game, and in two matches they even scored four times. The Saints' defense is not particularly stable.
The second bet is Newcastle's individual total goals over two with odds of 1.67
Bet on the first half
In the last two head-to-head encounters, Newcastle created a lead at the start and won in the first half. We expect the same developments today on the Magpies' home field.
Prediction: Newcastle win in the first half with odds of 1.70
