LiontipsNakashima vs Rublev. Prediction and bets on the ATP Cincinnati match
Command Analysis
Current form
With fights, but still Nakashima broke through to the 1/8 finals of the Masters in Cincinnati. The American's opponents were quite difficult. What is worth only his victory over Taylor Fritz, which was achieved in three sets. In another match, Brandon defeated Arthur Fils with a score of 7:5, 7:6.
Professional qualities
The American has a good serve and a decent game near the net. At the same time, Nakashima lacks patience. Long rallies do not work well for him. As a rule, in such situations, he begins to lose control of the ball.
Current indicators in the tour
The latest win over Phils was Nakashima's 18th on outdoor hard courts this season. Thanks to these results, the American representative is ranked 49th in the world. His career best is considered to be 43rd place.
Interesting facts for betting
Nakashima has a hard time winning. For example, three of the last four matches of the American were played at least 25 games. It is quite possible that something similar will happen in the confrontation with Rublev.
Current form
Rublev came to Cincinnati after Montreal, where he failed to win the championship title. During those competitions, the Russian demonstrated a good game, but in the decisive match he failed to beat Alexei Popyrin. Despite this, Andrey started in Cincinnati with a confident victory. In the previous match, he left no chance for Zhizhen Zhang.
Professional qualities
Rublev is one of the most unstable tennis players on tour. He has never learned to control his emotions. Because of this, he often loses control and cannot bring the match to victory. Although, the Russian has no problem with technique.
Current indicators in the tour
This season, Rublev has played 27 matches on hard, winning 20 of them. As for his place in the world rankings, the Russian representative is in sixth place. His best result is considered to be fifth place.
Interesting facts for betting
As a rule, Rubel's opening sets end very quickly. For example, in 3 of the Russian's last 5 matches, the first set did not contain more than nine games.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
In 4 of Rublev's last 5 matches there was no exchange of sets
1.68Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of the American's last 5 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.87Tip and bets
Last week in Montreal, Rublev took Nakashima apart. He won that fight 6-2, 6-2. It's unlikely that much has changed in that time. The American barely got past his previous opponents, so we don't believe in his success.
Our prediction is Rublev with a handicap of (-2.5) games at 1.82
Bet on total
All three of Rublev and Nakashima's matches have ended in two sets. Given all this, we expect the encounter in Cincinnati to be a low-scoring affair.
Betting Tip - total under 22.5 games for 1.70
Tiebreak bet
Rublev allowed his opponents to play a tiebreak in only one of his last six open hard court matches. The Russian is unlikely to give the American a chance to reach it.
Betting Tip - tie-break - no for 1.85
