LiontipsBaez vs Thompson. Prediction and bets on the ATP Cincinnati match
Command Analysis
Current form
Baez beat Marcos Giron (6-4, 5-7, 7-6) at the start of the competition in Cincinnati. Sebastian made one ace in the match against the American, converted three break points and lost three games on his serve. For the Argentine, this was the fourth victory on open hard courts this season with five losses.
Current indicators in the tour
This season, Baez has played most of his matches on his special clay. On this surface, he has 25 wins and 13 losses, and two titles won. He won the competitions in Rio de Janeiro and Santiago one after another. The Argentine now has six ATP titles won in his career.
Interesting trends for betting
- Baez has won only two of his 15 outdoor hard court matches against players ranked in the top 30 in the world.
Current form
Thompson defeated Hugo Humbert (3-6, 6-3, 7-6) in the first round of the Masters in Cincinnati. Jordan served seven aces, converted two break points and lost two games on his serve in the match against the Frenchman. For the Australian, this was his 18th victory on open hard courts this season, with ten losses.
Current indicators in the tour
Thompson has one trophy to his credit this season. In February, Jordan won the Los Cabos tournament, beating Casper Ruud in the final. It was the Australian's first ATP title in his career. Thompson also has one more final to his name this year, losing to Yoshihito Nishioka in the Atlanta final at the end of July.
Interesting trends for betting
- Thompson has won his last seven matches against Argentina on outdoor hard courts.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - no
That bet has played in 4 of Thompson's last 5 games
1.44Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Baez's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.31Tip and bets
On hard courts, Baez has little chance - Sebastian likes slow courts. The surface in Cincinnati is more suited to Thompson's playing style. We suggest giving him preference in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is Thompson's victory with odds of 1.77
Bet on total
The only head-to-head meeting between the tennis players was played in two sets. Most likely, the upcoming head-to-head match between Baez and Thompson will also be played in two sets.
The second betting tip is total under 22 games for odds of 1.83
Bet on the first set
Three of Thompson's last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, and expect Jordan's upcoming matchup against Baez to also start with a top-heavy first set.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.88
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