LiontipsRublev vs Arnaldi. Forecast and bets on the ATP Montreal match
Command Analysis
Rublev deserved to reach the semi-finals in Montreal, because he is currently demonstrating a truly confident game. In the quarter-final match, he dealt with Jannik Sinner, beating him in three sets. In the remaining matches at the tournament, Andrey defeated Brandon Nakashima and Thomas Martin Etcheverry.
It is worth noting that Rublev's best result in Montreal is considered to be reaching the second round. In 2022, he lost to Daniel Evans.
This season, Arnaldi has managed to make a splash in some tournaments. For example, the Italian played in the fourth round of Roland Garros and the quarterfinals of Barcelona. Thanks to these results, he is ranked 46th in the ATP rankings.
In Montreal, Matteo began his journey with a confident victory over Mackenzie MacDonald. After that, there were triumphs in confrontations with Karen Khachanov and Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina. In the quarterfinals, Arnaldi defeated Kei Nishikori.
Trends
Total over 2.5 sets bet
Arnaldi has had sets traded in 3 of his last 5 matches
1.95Bet 1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Rublev's last 5 matches, the first set saw more than 9 games
1.79Tip and bets
Arnaldi is not such an easy opponent. He recently beat the Russian in three sets at Roland Garros. On hard courts, everything will be much more difficult, but the Italian can count on some resistance. We assume that the meeting will not be easy for Andrey and will drag on a bit.
Our prediction is total over 22 games for 1.76
Bet on the outcome
Arnaldi is showing excellent play at the tournament in Montreal. The Italian can well give the Russian a fight, so we suggest playing a plus handicap.
Forecast - Arnaldi with a handicap (+4) game for 1.61
Tiebreak bet
Arnaldi has not reached a tiebreak in three of his last four matches, and it is unlikely that this will happen against Rublev.
Forecast - tie-break - no for 1.85
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