LiontipsAuger-Aliassime vs. Alcaraz. Prediction and bets on the Olympic match
Command Analysis
Auger-Aliassime broke the resistance of Casper Ruud (6-4, 6-7, 6-3) in the quarterfinals of the Olympic Games in Paris. Felix served 14 aces, converted three break points and lost one game on his serve during the match against the Norwegian. Earlier in the tournament, the Canadian had beaten Daniil Medvedev, Maximilian Marterer and Marcos Giron. This will be Auger-Aliassime's second clay semifinal this season - he had previously reached this stage at the Masters in Madrid.
Alcaraz reached the semifinals of the Paris Olympics thanks to a win over Tommy Paul (6-3, 7-6). Carlos hit six aces, converted two break points and lost one game on his serve in the match against the American. Earlier in the tournament, the Spaniard beat Roman Safiullin, Tallon Griekspoor and Hadi Habib. For Alcaraz, this will be his third semifinal on clay this season - he previously reached this stage in Buenos Aires and at Roland Garros.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Alcaraz's previous 5 matches
2.41Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Auger-Aliassime's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.18Tip and bets
Auger-Aliassime is currently demonstrating, perhaps, his best tennis this season. However, it seems to us that even this is not enough to beat Alcaraz. Especially since this season the tennis players have already met in Paris and Carlos won that match with a fairly comfortable score.
Our prediction is Alcaraz's victory with a handicap of (-5) games for a coefficient of 2.21 in the bookmaker Winline
Bet on total
The tennis players have already met this season. They had two face-to-face matches - in Indian Wells and at Roland Garros. Both matches were "low-scoring" and, most likely, the next face-to-face meeting between Auger-Aliassime and Alcaraz will be held in a similar vein.
The second forecast is total under 22 games for odds of 1.89 in BC Pari
Bet on the first set
Four of Alcaraz's last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Expect Carlos's upcoming match against Auger-Aliassime to also start with a low first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.89
