Chelsea vs Arsenal. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022-23 English Premier League (November 6, 2022).

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ChelseaEngland
ArsenalEngland
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Chelsea - Arsenal
On Sunday, Chelsea and Arsenal square off in the North West London derby. Who will come out on top? Here's our prediction.

Command Analysis

Chelsea

Chelsea are currently outside the top-5. Before the North West derby, they have 21 points from six wins and three draws. Last week, Graham Potter lost his first game as Chelsea manager, to his former team Birghton (1:4). In the Champions League, however, the team secured qualification from the top line in Group E.

The Blues haven't been very impressive on offense this season. They scored 10 goals in six Champions League games and 17 goals in 12 Premier League games. Chelsea haven't defeated Arsenal at Stamford Bridge since August 2018, and no other team has defeated Chelsea more than the Gunners - 23 times.

Kante, James, Fofana, Chilwell, Arrizabalaga, and Chukwuemeka have been ruled out of this fixture. 

Arsenal

Mikel Arteta's men are two points ahead of reigning champions Manchester City. This game is crucial not only because of the principled rivalry, but because a victory at Stamford Bridge will keep Arsenaltop of the league. After a brilliant victory over Nottingham Forest (5:0), they have 31 points and 30 goals. 

The Gunners lost to PSV (0:2) last week, but on Thursday, they got a slender victory over Zurich (1:0), thus securing the top-line finish in their Europa League group. Arsenal's attack hasn't been very impressive - only eight goals in six games. 

Tomiyasu, Turner, and Smith Rowe are sidelined with injuries. 

Trends

СтавкаGoals in both halves - yes

In 3 of the last 5 head-to-head games, goals were scored in both halves.

1.84bet365.com

СтавкаCorrect score 2:1

The last 4 head-to-head games ended in draws.

14.75bet365.com

СтавкаYellow cards: total over 3

This bet won in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head games.

1.86bet365.com

СтавкаCorners: total under 9.5

This bet played in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head games.

1.81bet365.com

Tip and bets

TipTotal over 2.5 goals
1.98

We expect an exciting game with multiple attacks and scoring chances. Both sides are highly motivated and have powerful teams, so we predict a high-scoring affair. In 3 out of 4 previous head-to-head games, the opponents scored at least three goals. 

Our prediction — total over 2.5 goals

Did you like the tips?
TipChelsea to win by 1 goal
4.10

The teams are on equal footing, but we give a slight advantage to the hosts here. 

Second bet — Chelsea to win by 1 goal

Did you like the tips?

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips64
% of profit2.12%
Win percentage48.44%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins48.44%  (31)
Refunds7.81%  (5)
Loses43.75%  (28)
Total tips466
% of profit16.2%
Win percentage45.06%
Average coefficient1.9
Wins45.06%  (210)
Refunds8.15%  (38)
Loses46.78%  (218)