LiontipsBorussia Dortmund vs Bayern. Predictions and Betting Tips for German Super Cup
Command Analysis
Borussia was looking good in the previous season and everyone thought that Bumblebees will be able to put up a fight for the title against Bayern, but they failed to do so. Resignation of Lucien Favre in the middle of the season almost led to a failure - Borussia was outside of Top-4 for a long time, but eventually managed to catch up to their opponents and got a Champions League spot.
In the German Cup Bumblebees recorded a confident victory over Wehen (3:0) and got match practice before the match against Eintracht. In the first round of Bundesliga Marco Rose's team put up a great performance - Gregor Kobel's debut was worsened by Felix Passlak's own goal, but it didn't affect the result - Eagles were beaten by a 5:2 score at Signal Iduna Park. Erling Haaland scored a brace and gave three assists.
Bayern had a confident 2020/21 season in Bundesliga - under the management of Hans-Dieter Flick Bavarians claimed another Bundesliga title. But in German Cup champion was beaten by Holstein Kiel in the round of 32. In the Champions League Bayern failed to beat PSG - an elimination in the quarter-final should be considered a failure, because Bayern were one of the main title contenders.
During the summer Julian Nagelsmann took over as team's new head coach, he previously worked at Hoffenheim and Leipzig. Debut of 34-year old manager was not the best one - Bayern dropped points at Monchengladbach. Borussia scored first, but champion managed to score the equalizer before the half-time and had some other goal-scoring opportunities.
Overall, it was a close match - both teams had some chances and a 1:1 draw is a fair result. Though, Colts' fans probably will probably disagree with that statement - Bayern's debutant Dayot Upamecano fouled in his own box two times, but Marco Fritz didn't gave a penalty on any of those occassions.
Trends
СтавкаCorrect score 3:2
Two out of three most recent head-to-head matches ended with that score
СтавкаBorussia to score in each of the halves
In two most recent matches of Borussia this bet won
СтавкаBayern to score in the first half
In five most recent head-to-head matches Bayern scored in the first half
СтавкаErling Haaland to score
In three most recent matches against Bayern Norwegian striker scored four goals
Tip and bets
Bayern couldn't put up a productive preparation during the pre-season - most of key players missed the pre-season camp due to Euro 2020, that's why Bayern had so few victories in friendlies. In the first round it became clear that Bavarians are yet to gain form.
As for Borussia, team was looking solid - their opponent was not as powerful as Bayern's one, but Bumblebees put up a way better performance than Bavarians. At home, with a support from fans, Borussia have a chance to put the champion down.
In our opinion, hosts have more chances for the victory. Our prediction - Asian handicap (0) on Borussia
Borussia prepared for the season and will strive to get the trophy today. Bumblebees were beaten in two most recent home matches against Bayern, but today stadium will be at full capacity, which will be a serious advantage for the hosts. Plus, Bavarians are not looking better than the Bumblebees, Erling Haaland and his offensive line partners are in a wonderful form, so Borussia should be able to record a victory by a margin of one goal in regular time.
Our second bet will be on Borussia to win by a one goal margin
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