Porto will play PSV in the third round of the Champions League on October 20. The dragons do not have a single point, and the opponent scored only one point in the opening two rounds. Who has the best chance of achieving the first victory today and which are the most reliable bets to choose for the game? - we understand the betting tip
Command Analysis
FC Porto
Current form
Porto did not score a single point in the opening two rounds of the Champions League. Manchester City failed to score at home (0:2), and then a 2:3 defeat against Betis followed on the road. They led 2-1 with the Spaniards until the 74th minute, but they did not hold the advantage, they allowed a lot at their own goal, the opponent scored 17 shots on goal during the match (seven of them on target). Despite the setbacks in the Champions League, the dragons are having a flawless season in the Primeira, have won all eight rounds, and are leading by five points from Benfica.
It should be noted that Porto had almost a week to prepare for the upcoming meeting. After the defeat by Betis, Francesco Farioli's team did not play any matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gomez and Sousa will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the last five matches, Porto has not won in the opening 45 minutes.
In six of the eight previous matches involving Porto, more than nine shots on goal were recorded.
Approximate line–up: D. Costa – Fernandes, Bednarek, Kivior, Moura – Varela, Froholdt, Veiga - Sainz, Silva, Pepe.
PSV Eindhoven
Current form
PSV lost in the opening round of the Champions League to Shakhtar (1-1). In the second round, it was not possible to open the defense of Leipzig (0:1). Peter Bos's men are traditionally famous for their powerful attack, but now there are more and more problems in the attack. An unsuccessful match with the bulls was followed by a 1-2 away defeat by Den Haag in the Eredivisie. Overall, taking into account all the tournaments, PSV has lost three of the last four matches, and is only in third place in the national championship. Losses in the squad and a busy schedule of matches are affecting. It should be noted that Pepi and Vanner will not play today due to injuries, these are the key players of the offensive line.
Disqualifications and injuries
Pepi, Wanner, Lammers, Schouten, Sildilla and Ouissa are injured. Thiel's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
PSV lost three matches in a row on the road.
PSV players were offside more often than their opponents in the previous six matches.
Porto has two defeats in the Champions League, while there has not been a single point loss in eight rounds in the Primeira Liga. Today, the dragons have a great chance to get their first victory in the main European club tournament. Francesco Farioli's team had almost a week to prepare for the upcoming match, unlike their opponent, who was playing in the Eredivisie. PSV has significant problems with the squad, primarily in the attacking line. Pepi and Wanner won't be able to play today. On the road, Peter Bosch's team suffered three defeats in a row, and on the eve they could not even cope with the modest Den Haag. Without a powerful attack, PSV does not represent a formidable force to oppose the extremely motivated Porto in Dragau.
Our betting tip is that Porto will win with an Asian handicap (-1) for a coefficient of 1.88
In two rounds in the Champions League, PSV scored only one goal against Shakhtar, and it was not possible to open the Leipzig defense. In two matches with the participation of the guests, there was a bet on a total of less than 2.5 goals. Porto, after two defeats, will clearly bet on the result, if they achieve an advantage in the score, they will not seek to build on success at any cost. We don't expect more than three goals in the upcoming match.
The second bet is a total of less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.65
Betting on corners
On the corners, we draw attention to the weak performance of PSV – three defeats in the previous four matches. Clearly, Porto will dictate its own terms of play on its own field and confidently take over the corners.
Prediction – Porto wins on corners with a handicap (-1.5) with a coefficient of 1.87
Liontips
Diogo Costa