On October 20, in the third round of the main stage of the Champions League, Napoli will host Buda Glimt. Will the hosts be able to confirm the status of the clear favorite? You will find the answer in the betting tip. Which events should I choose for betting?
Command Analysis
SSC Napoli
Current form
Napoli is approaching the upcoming match in not the best condition. First, the team lost to Villarreal in the Champions League with a score of 1:3, and last weekend they were defeated by Venice. It is especially annoying that in the Serie A match, despite a significant playing advantage, Massimiliano Allegri's players could not realize their chances. They scored 2.5 times more shots on the opponent's goal (15 against six), had possession of the ball 72% of the time, and the expected goals (xG) reached 2.36. However, despite all these indicators, Napoli conceded an own goal. The head coach must take measures to avoid repeating the scenario of the last game in a European Cup match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Buongiorno, Favazuli, Vergara, Nares are injured, and Santos' exit is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Napoli have lost their last two matches.
The hosts have scored at least once in four of the last five meetings.
Approximate line-up: Milinkovic–Savic - Rahmani, Marin, Badiashiel – Di Lorenzo, De Bruyne, Lobotka, Spinazzola – Politano, McTominay – Hoylund
Bodoe/Glimt
Current form
Unlike the upcoming opponent, Buda-Glimt is in excellent form for the third round of the Champions League. The Norwegian club's winning streak continues for four consecutive matches, and the last two away matches were confidently won by Ham-Kam (2:0) and Rana (6:2). Today's opponent is much stronger than those opponents who managed to win in the last two meetings. Despite the disastrous recent performances of the Italian grandee, bookmakers still do not believe that Bud Glimt will take the points, because they expose Kjetil Knutsen's wards as a huge underdog.
Disqualifications and injuries
Riesnes, Evien, Mikkelsen will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
Buda-Glimt has won the last four matches
In the last two meetings, I managed to defend at zero
Napoli has noticeably increased their attacking power. The Neapolitans did not deserve to lose the match against Venice, because that evening the ball simply flew into the opponent's net. The team has adapted to play even in the absence of injured offensive line players Buongiorno, Vergera and Neres. At the same time, the game in their own penalty area leaves much to be desired, because in five of the last seven home games the team missed.
Budge-Glimt generally prefers an open style of play, and scoring goals in 14 of the last 15 meetings is an excellent confirmation of this. We think the game won't be boring, and two clubs will be able to score.
Our betting tip is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.60
Bookmakers are confident that the home team will easily cope with the opponent. However, we believe otherwise. Napoli shows an unstable game, which raises doubts about their success. On the other hand, the Norwegian club has a strong attacking potential. We believe that with such a game, the guests are able to compete for points even on someone else's field, and most likely they will do so.
The second bet is an Asian handicap (+1) on a Bude-Glimt with a coefficient of 1.80
Betting on corners
In the home match, Napoli will strive for aggressive football, focusing on the attacking game. Bude-Glim will calmly support such an attacking style of play, and the opponents will make a lot of serves from the corner flag for two.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 corners with a coefficient of 1.71
Liontips
Vanja Milinković-Savić