In the second round of the Champions League on October 14, Roma will play Real Madrid on their own field. Jose Mourinho managed Roma for three seasons and knows his former team very well. Will the cream ones be able to achieve victory today and what are the optimal bets for the game? We recommend that you review our betting tip
Command Analysis
Roma
Current form
Roma has been going undefeated since the beginning of the season, taking into account all tournaments. However, it cannot be said that the Romans perform flawlessly. In Serie A, there were difficulties in matches against direct competitors for the Scudetto: draws with Inter (2:2) and Como (0:0). In the Champions League, in the opening round, wolves failed to beat Fenerbahce on the road (1:1), and the hosts had the advantage in dangerous moments in that meeting.
The wards of Gasperini have a very difficult calendar right now. Immediately after the international break, there was a match against Como, there was no talk of any serious rotation of the squad. Moreover, from the 53rd minute, ten players played in that meeting. Plus, Svilar, the main goalkeeper, was out for a month due to injury. He was successfully replaced by Gollini from Como, but it is far from certain that he is able to play steadily and confidently from a distance, especially in the Champions League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Cristante and Svilar are injured, and Coulierakis' return to the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Roma have been drawn in three of their last four matches.
Roma players fouled more often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
The approximate line–up: Gollini – Balerdi, Mancini, Hermoso – Molina, De Ron, Kone, Wesley – Dybala, Mora - Malen.
Real Madrid
Current form
So far, Real Madrid is losing the competition in the Example not only to Barcelona, but also to Betis and Atletico. In eight rounds played, the cream managed to lose twice and are only in fourth place. In the last round, there was a difficult game against Villarreal, where we had to play ten players from the 73rd minute after Vinicius was eliminated. Nevertheless, Jose Mourinho's men kept the winning score 1-0.
In the Champions League, in the opening round, Real Madrid defeated Inter at home (2:1). Then the cream scored two goals in the first half, but then they barely held the advantage. There are problems with playing at the same consistently high level throughout the match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodrigo, Militao and R. Asensio are in the infirmary at Real Madrid.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the last five matches of Real Madrid, an exchange of goals was recorded.
More than three offsides were recorded in four of the five previous creamy matches.
Roma failed to beat Fenerbahce in the first round of the Champions League, and in the last two matches of Serie A they lost to Inter and Como. This is not to say that Gasperini's players have any serious safety margin. Plus, it's alarming that Gollini, who has no experience at such a high level, will be playing in goal today.
Cream allowed itself two misfires in the Example, but in general, there is no need to talk about a recession. All the key players are in the ranks, there are many possibilities for different tactical schemes. Plus, Mourinho has worked at Roma for years, and he knows all the weaknesses of his former team, even though it's been a long time. We expect that the guests will win today based on their experience.
Our betting tip is for Real Madrid to win by a factor of 1.94
It is unlikely that Gasperini will risk playing open football, given the level and experience of his opponent. At the same time, the cream ones do not often impress with their super-productive game, in three of the five previous matches with their participation, more than three goals were not scored. We are betting on a total of less in the upcoming game.
The second bet is a total of less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.76
Betting on corners
Roma have four wins in the last five matches on corners. We do not think that the Romans deserve the status of such an obvious underdog in this indicator, which we see in the line of bookmakers.
Prediction – Roma will win on corners with a handicap (+1.5) with a coefficient of 1.73
Liontips
Pierluigi Gollini