Vegas scored a great move, scoring two solid wins in a row. In the last game against Seattle (6-2), the Knights' attack showed tremendous potential. On average, the team scores 3.5 goals per match.
The T-Mobile Arena is a reliable stronghold for the Golden Knights, as the team has won 13 of the last 20 home matches. In the confrontation with Toronto, the Knights will try to improve their stats.
Toronto is trying to stabilize the game after losing to Ottawa (2:3). The Maple Leafs are doing a good job of this, because in the very next match they defeated Nashville (5:4).
The main problem of the Leafs remains the away matches and the game at their own goal. Toronto has lost its last four games on the road in a row. Expected at the start, Sergei Bobrovsky has not yet found his optimal form, and the team itself has been conceding an impressive 4.2 goals on average in the last ten matches.
Vegas is in excellent condition, having won two confident victories in a row, and is traditionally strong on its home ice. At the same time, Toronto is experiencing a serious decline at its own goal, conceding too much in recent matches. The statistics of personal meetings also speak in favor of the hosts, because the Golden Knights have won the last three face-to-face matches. Considering all of the above, we assume that the victory will go to the hosts.
Our prediction is that Vegas will win the match by a factor of 1.60
The Vegas Individual Totalbetis less than 3.5 pucks
In 3 of the last 5 home matches, the Knights did not overcome this mark.
The Toronto Individual Totalbetis less than 3.5 goals
In 3 of the last 5 matches on the road, the team did not score more than 3 goals.
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
 Vegas Golden Knights | 40,5% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 37,26% | 2.68 |
 Toronto Maple Leafs | 22,23% | 4.50 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X | 77,77% | 1.29 |
| 12 | 62,74% | 1.59 |
| X2 | 59,5% | 1.68 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 75,82% | 1.32 |
| Under | 24,18% | 4.14 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 46,11% | 2.17 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 29,71% | 3.37 |
| No goal | 24,18% | 4.14 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights -0.5 | 40,5% | 2.47 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 | 59,5% | 1.68 |
| Vegas Golden Knights +0.5 | 77,77% | 1.29 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs -0.5 | 22,23% | 4.50 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 | 14,2% | 7.04 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 | 85,8% | 1.17 |
| Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 | 94,72% | 1.06 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | 5,28% | 18.94 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights -2.5 | 3,66% | 27.35 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs +2.5 | 96,34% | 1.04 |
Vegas and Toronto went 3-3 at the T-Mobile Arena today. The visitors scored three goals in the first period: Jack Roslovich, Eston Cowan and Nick Paul scored. The hosts responded with accurate shots from Mark Stone, Brett Howden and Jack Aikel, who converted a free throw.
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Season: 26/27
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