LiontipsGauff - Mertens: betting tip (cf 1.70) and bets on the WTA Beijing match
Command Analysis
Gauff has not slowed down after the successful American hard series. Moreover, after the failures in Beijing of Sobolenko and Rybakina, the American has a real chance at the end of the season to compete for the title of the first racket of the world. In the Chinese capital, Coco defends the ranking points for last year's semi-final. So far, everything is working out for her as well as possible. There were some difficulties at the start with Osorio Serrano (7-6, 4-6, 6-2), followed by a confident two-set victory over Xinran Sun (7-5, 6-1).
Mertens played in Singapore the previous week, where she reached the quarterfinals without a fight, but lost to Khvalinskaya without a chance (2-6, 2-6). In Beijing, Eliza has a hard time walking the grid, she won two victories in three-set battles. First, the Belgian tennis player beat Volynets (6-0, 4-6, 7-5), and then she defeated Ostapenko (6-2, 3-6, 6-3). As you can see, Mertens confidently enters the matches, but loses concentration, losing twice in the second set.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This was the scenario that unfolded in three of the last five matches involving Mertens.
1st setbet: total less than 9.5 games
In the previous three head-to-head matches, no more than nine games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Gauff is now extremely motivated not only to defend her points in Beijing for reaching the semifinals last year, but also to make the most of the Asian hardball series, as there is a chance to become the first racket of the world by the end of the year. Coco is improving during the tournament, unlike Mertens, who played with decent fluctuations in her two matches and constantly lost her concentration. In personal meetings, the American leads 5-0, we see no prerequisites that anything will change in the balance of power in this pair today.
Our prediction is that Gauff will win with a handicap (-4.5) of the game with a coefficient of 1.70
