Italy - Turkey: betting tip (cf 2.20) and bets on the Nations League match

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1. renato-dallara
ItalyItaly
02.10.26
France1 : 1Italy
28.09.26
Turkey1 : 4Italy
25.09.26
Italy0 : 2Belgium
07.06.26
Greece0 : 1Italy
03.06.26
Luxembourg0 : 1Italy
31.03.26
Bosnia and Herzegovina5 : 2Italy
TurkeyTurkey
02.10.26
Belgium3 : 0Turkey
28.09.26
Turkey1 : 4Italy
25.09.26
Turkey0 : 1France
26.06.26
Turkey3 : 2USA
20.06.26
Turkey0 : 1Paraguay
14.06.26
Australia2 : 0Turkey
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Italy - Turkey
In Bologna, on October 5, the Italian national team will play Turkey in the fourth round of the League of Nations. Roberto Mancini's team drew with France in the previous round, while Vincenzo Montella's team still has no points and is losing the tournament. Will the hosts be able to achieve a confident victory today and which reliable bets to choose? - the answer is in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Italy

Current form

Roberto Mancini took over Italy in the summer, and under his leadership in the League of Nations, the national team is clearly improving from match to match. At the start, Squadra Azzurra lost to Belgium without a chance (0:2), making many defensive mistakes. In the second round, the Italians confidently beat Turkey 4-1 on the road. The real test of strength was in the third round, when they played against France. Mancini's team played second and scored an important 1-1 draw. It should be noted that in the last two matches, the defender of Bastogne played an important role, scoring a goal each. But it was he who was eliminated in the decisive play-off match for the right to play in the World Cup.

With four points scored after three rounds, Italy is in third place in the group. The gap between the second-placed Belgians is two points and the whole fight is clearly still ahead.

Disqualifications and injuries

DiMarco, Locatelli, Cristante, Cambiaso, Meret, Spinazzola, Buongiorno, Zagnolo, Raspadori will not play due to injuries.

Interesting betting trends

  • In four of the last five matches of the Italian national team, more than one goal was not scored in the first half.
  • Italy's players were offside more often than their opponents in four of the previous five matches.

Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Cayode, Scalvini, Bastoni, Calafiori – Barella, Tonali, Frattesi–Maldini, F. Esposito, Keen.

Turkey

Current form

Turkey failed to show anything at the World Cup, and did not qualify for the playoffs from a far from the most difficult group. Nevertheless, Vincenzo Montella retained his position, but there was no transformation in the League of Nations. The national team suffered three defeats with a total score of 1:8 and closes the standings. A defeat today will make it almost impossible to leave the last place two rounds before the finish. In fact, Turkey looked decent in the opening match against France, although it lost (0:1). Then there was a 1-4 home defeat against Italy and a 0-3 away defeat against Belgium.

The failures of the Turkish national team are largely due to the losses in the squad. Without Chalhanoglu, Yildiz and Arda Guler, absolutely nothing happens in terms of organizing the game.

Disqualifications and injuries

Chalhanoglu, Yildiz, Muldur, Kekciu and Uzun will not play due to injuries. Yilmaz and Guler will miss the match due to too many yellow cards.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three of the last four matches, the Turkish national team has conceded at least two goals.
  • In 9 of the previous 12 matches, Turkish national team players fouled less often than their opponents

Approximate composition: Cakir – Celik, Demiral, Bardakji, Kadyoglu – Tyknaz, Yuksek – Akgun, Kahvedji, Akturkoglu – Gul.

Trends

Bet Goals in both halves – yes

1.51

In three of Turkey's four previous matches, such a bet was played.

The Total Yellow cardbetis more than 3.5

1.72

In four of the last six matches of the Italian national team, the referees showed more than three warnings.

The bet is an accurate score of 3:1

10.50

The Turkish national team has suffered two of the last three defeats with a difference of more than one goal.

Tip and bets

TipItaly with a head start (-1.5)
2.20

Turkey has suffered three defeats in the League of Nations and there is no question of any progress. Moreover, the problems with the composition have only intensified. Apart from the injured Chalhanoglu, Yilmaz and Guler will not play today due to too many yellow cards. With such losses, it's hard to count on something in Bologna against an opponent who is noticeably improving from match to match.

The Italians, led by Mancini, confidently beat Turkey 4-1 on the road. Next, the national team had a good away match against France. It is unlikely that the hosts will allow themselves to misfire with an outsider today, and it is important to win with a big score, given the fierce competition in the group for the first two lines.

Our betting tip is that Italy will win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) for a coefficient of 2.20

Will the prediction win?
Tiptotal more than three goals
1.81

Bet on the total

Under Mancini's leadership, the Italian national team relies on an attacking game, and scored four goals against Turkey on the road. The defense of the upcoming opponent does not stand up to any criticism, in the last two matches alone, Montella's wards have conceded seven goals. We expect that there will be an abundance of goals scored in Bologna today.

The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.81

Betting on corners

Despite the disastrous recent results, Turkey looks more than confident from the corners, having won five of the previous six matches. Based on this trend, we recommend another bet.

Betting Tip – Turkey wins on corners with a handicap (+2.5) with a coefficient of 1.70

Will the prediction win?

TOP Tips

4 Oct | 11:45
Greece:
Germany
1.97
4 Oct | 11:45
Netherlands:
Serbia
1.75
4 Oct | 11:45
Portugal:
Norway
1.98

Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Sep | 11:45
Швеция:
Польша
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65

Today tips

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4 October10:00
74.8%for the tip
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detroit-red-wingsDetroit Red Win.
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1.83
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30 days+94=14-70
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Игорь

Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips23
% of profit-0.07%
Win percentage52.17%
Average coefficient1.84
Wins52.17%  (12)
Refunds4.35%  (1)
Loses43.48%  (10)
Total tips387
% of profit13.6%
Win percentage48.32%
Average coefficient1.88
Wins48.32%  (187)
Refunds8.27%  (32)
Loses43.41%  (168)
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