Raul Rosas - Raoni Barcelos: betting tip (cf 1.41) and bets on the fight

UFC Fight Night 289. ufc-apex
Raul Rosas JrUSA
08.03.26
Rob Font:Raul Rosas Jr
30.03.25
Raul Rosas Jr:Винс Моралес
14.09.24
Raul Rosas Jr:Qileng Aori
09.06.24
Raul Rosas Jr:Ricky Turcios
17.09.23
Raul Rosas Jr:Terrence Mitchell
09.04.23
Raul Rosas Jr:Christian Rodriguez
Raoni BarcelosBrazil
26.04.26
Montel Jackson:Raoni Barcelos
08.11.25
Ricky Simon:Raoni Barcelos
15.06.25
Cody Garbrandt:Raoni Barcelos
19.01.25
Payton Talbott:Raoni Barcelos
25.02.24
Cristian Quinonez:Raoni Barcelos
06.08.23
Kyler Phillips:Raoni Barcelos
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Raul Rosas Jr - Raoni Barcelos
The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, Raul Rosas, will face Raoni Barcelos in the main match of the evening on September 27. The fight will take place in Las Vegas (USA). Will a fighter from Mexico be able to succeed in a fight with a Brazilian? And what kind of bet to choose before this confrontation - we understand our betting tip

Command Analysis

Raul Rosas Jr

Current form 

Raul Rosas is coming to a meeting on a five-win streak in the UFC. He completed the last of them in March, when, after three rounds, the judges gave him a victory over Rob Font. At the same time, the Mexican continues to improve his grappling skills. Rosas' path to the UFC was not without serious warning. In April 2023, he lost by unanimous decision to Christian Rodriguez. The defeat was the first in his professional career, but the young fighter quickly drew conclusions. This was followed by a series of victories, in which there were judges' decisions over Vince Morales and Kileng Aori, a stranglehold from behind against Ricky Turcios and a bright victory by technical knockout over Terrence Mitchell in just 54 seconds.

Rosas' professional record now stands at 12 wins and one loss. He ended fights six times by submission, won twice by knockout, and took victory four more times by decision of the judges. Before joining the UFC, the Mexican performed at UWC Mexico and did not know any defeats there. At the amateur level, he also went the distance without misfires — six wins in six fights.

Rosas has already made history in the UFC. He performed at Dana White's Contender Series, won his fight by decision, and received a contract with the organization. At that time, he was only 17 years, 11 months and 12 days old — the Mexican became the youngest fighter signed by the UFC. Later, he became the youngest athlete ever to be ranked by the organization. Rosas is currently ranked 12th in his weight class.

The Mexican's main trump cards are obvious: speed, youth, physical characteristics and a very serious base in the fight. Rosas holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and feels great where a fight turns into a chain of clinches, transfers and attempts to get to the reception.

Raoni Barcelos

Current form

Raoni Barcelos, at the age of 39, unexpectedly put together a series of five consecutive victories. Moreover, he started three of these fights as an outsider. The loudest result was the victory over Payton Talbott — the bookmakers clearly did not expect such a performance from the Brazilian at that time. In April, Barcelos defeated Montel Jackson on points in the last match. Prior to that, the veteran also defeated Ricky Simon and Cody Garbrandt by unanimous decisions, and forced Christian Quinones to surrender in the third round. Barcelos suffered its last defeat in April 2023 against Kyler Phillips. 

In total, the Brazilian has 22 wins and five defeats. He knocked out his opponents eight times, won 11 more victories by decision of the judges and three by submission. Barcelos is currently ranked 13th in the UFC light heavyweight rankings. In 2015, the Brazilian became the champion of the Resurrection Fighting Alliance, successfully defended the title twice, after which he got the opportunity to continue his career in the UFC. Barcelos really looks great right now, but sooner or later any athlete faces the moment when the body begins to bill for years of professional performances. This is especially important against Rosas: the Mexican is younger, faster and able to make his opponent work at a high pace.

At the same time, Barcelos is far from a helpless veteran who can simply be tolerated. The Brazilian became the national wrestling champion five times and has a black belt in BJJ. That is, it is in the stalls that he is able to cause serious problems for Rosas. 

Trends

Bet The duel will be complete

2.10

The two fighters have 15 wins on points.

Tip and bets

TipRosas' victory
1.41

Barcelos is dangerous when he gets the opportunity to work calmly in his own way: move, respond to attacks, engage in a fight and gradually gain an advantage. But Rosas probably just won't let him feel comfortable. The Mexican is able to constantly push through the struggle. First, a rapprochement, then a clinch, a level change, a transfer, and an attempt to gain a foothold from above. For Rosas, this is not just one of the possible options, but an almost natural pattern of combat. He knows how to combine individual episodes into long combinations and does not give his opponent much time to regain his position. Barcelos is capable of surprising. He has repeatedly broken the betting odds and proved that it is premature to write him off. Moreover, his experience and fighting skills make this match far from a walk for Rosas. But the Mexican is now in that phase of his career when every next fight should bring him closer to more serious heights.

Our betting tip is that Rosas will win in 1.41

Will the prediction win?

TOP Tips

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Serbia:
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Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
ivan-kornijchukИван Корнийчук
31 Mar | 12:00
Сельта:
Лас-Пальмас
1.94
dmitrij-budanov
Dmitriy Budanov
Site expert
30 days+35=2-22
ROI+1.2%
Дмитрий

Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips21
% of profit0.68%
Win percentage57.14%
Average coefficient2.32
Wins57.14%  (12)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses42.86%  (9)
Total tips53
% of profit-0.75%
Win percentage47.17%
Average coefficient1.82
Wins47.17%  (25)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses52.83%  (28)
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