LiontipsEngland vs Spain: betting tip (cf 2.35) and bets on the Nations League match
Command Analysis
Current form
At the last World Cup, England won bronze medals, beating France in a spectacular shootout for third place (6:4). The result is not bad, but clearly the national team and the fans expected more. Moreover, there were good chances to beat Argentina in the semifinals. In that meeting, Thomas Tuchel's team led 1-0 in the score, but then they began to play openly on hold, for which they paid (1:2).
It will not be easy with Spain, as the opponent is betting on a total advantage in possession and finds his chances at the other's goal, despite the saturated defense. Plus, Thomas Tuchel won't be able to field an optimal squad today. The main loss is Declan Rice, without him the support zone will definitely sink.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rice, Palmer, Rashford, Mainu, Livramento, James, Stones, Henderson, Byrne and White are injured. Foden, Colville, Maguire, Madueke and Spence are out of the application.
Interesting betting trends
- In eight consecutive matches, England players fouled less often than their opponents.
- In five of the previous seven matches of the British, the referees did not show more than three yellow cards.
Approximate line–up: Pickford- Alexander-Arnold, Konsa, Gehey, O'Reilly – Anderson, Lewis-Skelly –Saka, Bellingham, Gordon–Kane.
Current form
Spain has dominated world football in recent years and is the current European and world champion. In the final of the European championship two years ago, the Spaniards beat England (2:1), and at the last World Cup they defeated Argentina in the decisive match in extra time. Taking into account all the tournaments in regular time, the last time the Red Fury lost was in a friendly match against Colombia on March 22, 2024 (0:1).
Luis de la Fuente included 26 players in the application for the first training camp after the World Cup, 21 of them were in the main squad. In fact, there are no major changes in the composition.
Disqualifications and injuries
Porro and J. Garcia will not play due to injuries. Gavi will serve his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of the last eight matches of the Spanish national team, there has been no goal exchange.
- In six of the eight previous matches involving the Spanish national team, more than four offsides were recorded.
Approximate composition: Simon – E. Garcia, Cubarsi, Laporte, Cucurella – Rodri, Pedri – Yamal, Olmo, N. Williams – Oyarzabal.
Trends
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet was made in eight of the last ten face-to-face meetings.
The Total offsiderateis more than 3.5
In eight of the last nine matches of the Spanish national team, such a bet was played.
The bet is an exact score of 0:2
Spain has scored five of its last six victories with a "dry" score.
Tip and bets
England has the home field factor on its side and a huge motivation to take revenge for the defeat in the European Championship final. However, it is unlikely that this will be enough today to win. The Spanish national team will play with almost the same squad with which they won the World Cup, the players have enough experience, it is unlikely that the Wembley factor will prevent them from showing their usual game.
Luis de la Fuente's men will dominate possession of the ball throughout the match, find approaches to the opponent's goal, and stretch the defense. It will be difficult to counter such a well-established mechanism, especially considering that the hosts will not have Rice in the support zone, and no one can fully replace him, despite the decent depth of the squad. We believe that Spain is a well-deserved favorite in the betting line and is able to score three points today.
Our betting tip is that Spain will win by a factor of 2.35
Bet on the total
At the last World Cup, the Spaniards conceded only one goal from Belgium on their way to gold medals. The national team relies on total ball control, and it's not easy to reach the red Fury's goal. We do not think that the British will be able to score at least one goal today.
The second bet is England's individual goal total of less than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.52
Betting on corners
Given the way the Spanish national team plays with total possession of the ball, it is logical to bet on the victory of the team and on the corners. Moreover, according to statistics, in 11 of the 12 previous matches, the Spaniards performed more serves from the corner flag than their opponents.
Prediction – Spain wins on corners with a coefficient of 1.96
