The Bulgarian national team will start the new Nations League draw with a home match against Luxembourg. The teams are playing in the fourth group of League C. Who will be able to start the tournament with a victory on September 26? The answer is in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Bulgaria
The Bulgarian national team is now far from the leading positions in European football and hardly takes points even in duels with modest teams. Last year, the Bulgarians took the last place in the selection for the World Cup, losing to the Georgian national team in terms of additional indicators. In March, Bulgaria was able to beat the Solomon Islands (10:2) and Indonesia (1:0), and in June there was a defeat against Montenegro (0:1) and a draw with Moldova (2:2).
Luxembourg
Luxembourg's World Cup qualifying team lost all six matches and finished last in the group with Germany, Northern Ireland and Slovakia. Moreover, the team almost got relegated to Division D of the League of Nations, but they managed to beat Malta in the play-offs. (2:0, 3:0). As a result, the guests remained in the C League. In June, Jeff Strasser's team lost to Italy (0:1) and defeated Albania (1:0).
The Bulgarian national team is currently showing very weak results, but Luxembourg is not impressive either. In face-to-face matches, opponents rarely score - only one goal in the last three matches. It is also rare to show a productive game against other opponents, so we believe that the upcoming meeting will not be productive either. Most likely, the outcome will be decided by one goal scored.
Our betting tip is a total of less than two goals in 1.95
Statistical estimation based on historical data. It is not a bet, forecast, or investment recommendation. 18+
Trends
Theexact score is 1:0
6.50
The last face-to-face match ended with the following score
BetBulgaria will score in the first half
2.18
This bet has played in three of the last four matches of the hosts
Live trends
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Bulgaria
0,4%
247.09
XDraw
8,14%
12.29
Luxembourg
91,46%
1.09
Double chance
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
1X
8,54%
11.70
12
91,86%
1.09
X2
99,6%
1.00
Total 3.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Over
15,88%
6.30
Under
84,12%
1.19
Next goal
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Bulgaria
8,85%
11.30
Luxembourg
7,03%
14.23
No goal
84,12%
1.19
Handicap 0.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Bulgaria +0.5
8,54%
11.70
Luxembourg -0.5
91,46%
1.09
Handicap 1.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Bulgaria +1.5
93,28%
1.07
Luxembourg -1.5
6,72%
14.89
Live commentary
Match ends, Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 2.
Second Half ends, Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 2.
93'Foul by Stanislav Ivanov (Bulgaria).
93'Laurent Jans (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
91'Substitution, Luxembourg. Miguel Gonçalves replaces Tomás Cruz.
91'Foul by Stanislav Ivanov (Bulgaria).
91'Mathias Olesen (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
91'Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.
90'Martin Minchev (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90'Foul by Enes Mahmutovic (Luxembourg).
90'Attempt missed. Florian Bohnert (Luxembourg) right footed shot from outside the box is high and wide to the left following a corner.
89'Corner, Luxembourg. Conceded by Daniel Naumov.
89'Attempt saved. Timothé Rupil (Luxembourg) left footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the top left corner by Daniel Naumov (Bulgaria). Assisted by Jayson Videira.
88'Corner, Bulgaria. Conceded by Laurent Jans.
87'Offside, Bulgaria. Martin Minchev is caught offside.
86'Marin Petkov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the right wing.
86'Foul by Florian Bohnert (Luxembourg).
84'Attempt missed. Martin Minchev (Bulgaria) right footed shot from outside the box is high and wide to the right. Assisted by Stefan Velkov.
83'Substitution, Luxembourg. Sébastien Thill replaces Hamza Kadamani.
83'Dirk Carlson (Luxembourg) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
83'Stanislav Ivanov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the left wing.
83'Foul by Dirk Carlson (Luxembourg).
82'Substitution, Bulgaria. Stefan Velkov replaces Teodor Ivanov.
78'Foul by Timothé Rupil (Luxembourg).
78'Marin Petkov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the right wing.
77'Foul by Kristian Dimitrov (Bulgaria).
77'Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
76'Marin Petkov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
76'Foul by Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg).
75'Foul by Marin Petkov (Bulgaria).
75'Anthony Moris (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72'Substitution, Luxembourg. Mathias Olesen replaces Vincent Thill.
72'Corner, Luxembourg. Conceded by Petko Panayotov.
71'Attempt saved. Martin Minchev (Bulgaria) header from the centre of the box is saved in the top centre of the goal by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg). Assisted by Petko Panayotov.
70'Attempt saved. Tomás Cruz (Luxembourg) header from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Daniel Naumov (Bulgaria). Assisted by Vincent Thill with a cross.
68'Substitution, Bulgaria. Petko Panayotov replaces Emil Tsenov.
67'Foul by Zdravko Dimitrov (Bulgaria).
67'Laurent Jans (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
65'Goal! Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 2. Vincent Thill (Luxembourg) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner following a corner.
65'Corner, Luxembourg. Conceded by Daniel Naumov.
65'Attempt saved. Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg) left footed shot from a difficult angle on the left is saved in the top left corner by Daniel Naumov (Bulgaria). Assisted by Timothé Rupil with a cross.
61'Ivan Turitsov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the right wing.
61'Foul by Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg).
61'Delay over. They are ready to continue.
60'Delay in match because of an injury Teodor Ivanov (Bulgaria).
60'Teodor Ivanov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60'Foul by Timothé Rupil (Luxembourg).
58'Zdravko Dimitrov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58'Foul by Laurent Jans (Luxembourg).
57'Attempt missed. Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria) header from very close range misses to the left. Assisted by Dimitar Velkovski with a cross following a corner.
56'Corner, Bulgaria. Conceded by Laurent Jans.
56'Substitution, Bulgaria. Martin Minchev replaces Asen Chandarov.
53'Offside, Luxembourg. Aiman Dardari is caught offside.
51'Attempt saved. Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria) header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg).
51'Attempt saved. Enes Mahmutovic (Luxembourg) right footed shot from outside the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Daniel Naumov (Bulgaria).
50'Attempt saved. Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg) right footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Daniel Naumov (Bulgaria). Assisted by Enes Mahmutovic.
49'Offside, Bulgaria. Dimitar Velkovski is caught offside.
46'Second Half begins Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 1.
46'Substitution, Bulgaria. Stanislav Ivanov replaces Georgi Rusev.
46'Substitution, Luxembourg. Timothé Rupil replaces Danel Sinani because of an injury.
First Half ends, Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 1.
47'Tomás Cruz (Luxembourg) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
47'Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
47'Foul by Tomás Cruz (Luxembourg).
46'Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.
45'Delay over. They are ready to continue.
43'Delay in match because of an injury Danel Sinani (Luxembourg).
43'Attempt missed. Danel Sinani (Luxembourg) left footed shot from the centre of the box is just a bit too high. Assisted by Leandro Barreiro with a cross.
42'Foul by Dimitar Velkovski (Bulgaria).
42'Vincent Thill (Luxembourg) wins a free kick on the right wing.
41'Teodor Ivanov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41'Foul by Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg).
38'Georgi Rusev (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
38'Foul by Florian Bohnert (Luxembourg).
37'Goal! Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 1. Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.
35'Emil Tsenov (Bulgaria) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
35'Foul by Emil Tsenov (Bulgaria).
35'Florian Bohnert (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
34'Corner, Bulgaria. Conceded by Enes Mahmutovic.
33'Corner, Bulgaria. Conceded by Anthony Moris.
33'Attempt saved. Emil Tsenov (Bulgaria) left footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg). Assisted by Ivan Turitsov.
32'Offside, Bulgaria. Georgi Rusev is caught offside.
30'Ilia Gruev (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30'Foul by Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg).
29'Corner, Luxembourg. Conceded by Ivan Turitsov.
28'Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
28'Foul by Lukas Petkov (Bulgaria).
28'Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
26'Attempt missed. Dimitar Velkovski (Bulgaria) left footed shot from outside the box is too high from a direct free kick.
25'Zdravko Dimitrov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
25'Foul by Vincent Thill (Luxembourg).
23'Attempt blocked. Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg) right footed shot from the centre of the box is blocked. Assisted by Danel Sinani with a cross.
22'Attempt saved. Zdravko Dimitrov (Bulgaria) right footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg). Assisted by Ilia Gruev.
21'Corner, Bulgaria. Conceded by Dirk Carlson.
18'Goal! Bulgaria 1, Luxembourg 0. Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Dimitar Velkovski.
17'Offside, Luxembourg. Hamza Kadamani is caught offside.
15'Georgi Rusev (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the right wing.
15'Foul by Aiman Dardari (Luxembourg).
14'Attempt blocked. Vincent Thill (Luxembourg) left footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
13'Foul by Teodor Ivanov (Bulgaria).
13'Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
12'Attempt blocked. Danel Sinani (Luxembourg) left footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
11'Attempt saved. Zdravko Dimitrov (Bulgaria) left footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg). Assisted by Teodor Ivanov.
09'Attempt blocked. Vincent Thill (Luxembourg) left footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Assisted by Aiman Dardari.
08'Ivan Turitsov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
08'Foul by Danel Sinani (Luxembourg).
07'Foul by Hamza Kadamani (Luxembourg).
07'Emil Tsenov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick on the right wing.
05'Attempt missed. Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg) right footed shot from the left side of the box is close, but misses the top right corner. Assisted by Aiman Dardari.
04'Attempt missed. Danel Sinani (Luxembourg) right footed shot from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Laurent Jans with a cross.
04'Attempt saved. Kristian Dimitrov (Bulgaria) header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Anthony Moris (Luxembourg). Assisted by Georgi Rusev with a cross.
03'Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
03'Foul by Enes Mahmutovic (Luxembourg).
01'Foul by Asen Chandarov (Bulgaria).
01'Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
01'First Half begins.
Match report
Match started
18'
1 : 0
Goal!
A. Chandarov
28'
L. PetkovYellow card
35'
E. TsenovYellow card
37'
1 : 1
Goal!
L. Barreiro
45'
T. de Sousa MoreiraYellow card
1st half1-1
46'
T. RupilD. SinaniSubstitution
46'
S. IvanovG. RusevSubstitution
56'
M. MinchevA. ChandarovSubstitution
65'
1 : 2
Goal!
V. Thill
68'
M. PetkovZ. DimitrovSubstitution
68'
P. PanayotovE. TsenovSubstitution
72'
M. OlesenV. ThillSubstitution
82'
S. VelkovT. IvanovSubstitution
83'
D. CarlsonYellow card
83'
J. Videira PereiraA. DardariSubstitution
83'
S. ThillH. KadamaniSubstitution
90'
M. Fernandes GonçalvesT. de Sousa MoreiraSubstitution
2nd half1-2
Pressure during the match
according to SportWire
BulgariaminutesLuxembourg
0'45'90'
Bars above the line show home pressure; bars below show away pressure. Height is relative to the most intense moment of the match.
Match statistics
Full match
1st half
2nd half
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Ball possession
50%
50%
Total shots
10
15
Corners
5
4
Offsides
3
2
Goal kicks
9
6
Fouls
10
17
Yellow cards
2
2
Ball possession
43%
57%
Total shots
6
8
Corners
3
1
Offsides
1
1
Goal kicks
6
1
Fouls
5
9
Yellow cards
2
1
Ball possession
56%
44%
Total shots
4
7
Corners
2
3
Offsides
2
1
Goal kicks
3
5
Fouls
5
8
Yellow cards
0
1
Shot map
shots: 25
Bulgaria10 shots, xG 1,25
Luxembourg15 shots, xG 1,29
Goal On target Off target Blocked Bulgaria Luxembourg
Both teams attack upwards. Higher dots show shots taken closer to goal. Dot size represents xG and colour shows the outcome. Filled dots are the home team; hollow dots are the away team.
Liontips
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
