In the first round of the League of Nations on September 26, the national team of Albania will play against Belarus. In the previous two face-to-face meetings, the Albanians were stronger, will they be able to win another victory today? We suggest you read our betting tip and choose your exact bets
Command Analysis
Albania
Albania had a chance to qualify for the World Cup, but was defeated by Poland in the play-off match (1:2), although it led the score. After that setback, there was a change of coach: Rolando Maran took over the team instead of Silvinho. Under him, the national team played two friendly matches, in which they lost to Israel and Luxembourg with the same score 0:1. Note that in the calendar year 2026, Albania lost all four matches played, and the total series of defeats reached the five-game mark.
Belarus
Belarus predictably failed to qualify for the World Cup, but has made some progress. Since the beginning of 2026, the national team has been led by Viktor Goncharenko and under him the team has not suffered a single defeat in four matches played. They managed to defeat Cyprus (1:0), Armenia (2:1) and Syria (4:1), as well as a draw with Burkina Faso (2:2). The opponents are not the most difficult, but the main thing is that the players have gained confidence in their abilities under the new coach.
Albania gets the status of a clear favorite in the line of bookmakers, which is hard to agree with. The Albanians have a series of five defeats in a row, and the change of coach did not have a positive effect. The national team of Belarus, after the appearance of Viktor Goncharenko on the coaching bridge, did not suffer a single defeat, the bones of the squad were formed, and above all, a reliable defensive game could be noted. We believe that the guests are able to score at least one point today.
Our betting tip is that Belarus will win with an Asian handicap (+1) for a coefficient of 1.90
Tips for Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. J
SenegalSudan
1.68
Trends
1st halfbet: draw
2.12
In three of the last five matches involving Albania, a draw was recorded at the end of the first half.
The bet is an exact score of 1:1
6.70
In two of the last five matches of the Belarusian national team, a draw was recorded.
Live trends
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Albania
99,84%
1.00
XDraw
0,16%
623.66
Belarus
0%
—
Double chance
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
1X
100%
1.00
12
99,84%
1.00
X2
0,16%
611.00
Total 2.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Over
14,66%
6.82
Under
85,34%
1.17
Next goal
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Albania
9%
11.11
Belarus
5,66%
17.66
No goal
85,34%
1.17
Both teams to score
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Yes
5,94%
16.83
No
94,06%
1.06
Handicap 1.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Albania -1.5
94,59%
1.06
Belarus +1.5
5,41%
18.50
Handicap 2.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Albania -2.5
8,75%
11.43
Belarus +2.5
91,25%
1.10
Live commentary
Match ends, Albania 2, Belarus 0.
Second Half ends, Albania 2, Belarus 0.
93'Attempt missed. Berat Djimsiti (Albania) header from the centre of the box misses to the left. Assisted by Mario Mitaj with a cross following a corner.
93'Corner, Albania. Conceded by Aleksandr Svirepa.
93'Attempt blocked. Juljan Shehu (Albania) left footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Assisted by Myrto Uzuni.
92'Zakhar Volkov (Belarus) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
92'Foul by Zakhar Volkov (Belarus).
92'Mirlind Daku (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
91'Attempt blocked. Aleksandr Svirepa (Belarus) right footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Assisted by Evgeni Malashevich.
90'Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.
89'Attempt missed. Mirlind Daku (Albania) right footed shot from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Myrto Uzuni.
87'Substitution, Albania. Mario Mitaj replaces Arbër Hoxha.
86'Substitution, Albania. Juljan Shehu replaces Kristjan Asllani.
86'Delay over. They are ready to continue.
86'Delay in match because of an injury Kristjan Asllani (Albania).
86'Substitution, Belarus. Timofey Simanenka replaces German Barkovskiy.
85'Stavros Pilios (Albania) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
85'Anton Kovalev (Belarus) wins a free kick on the right wing.
85'Foul by Stavros Pilios (Albania).
84'Vladislav Kalinin (Belarus) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
84'Foul by Mirlind Daku (Albania).
81'Attempt blocked. Arbër Hoxha (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
77'Attempt missed. Kristjan Asllani (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Arbër Hoxha following a corner.
76'Attempt blocked. Elseid Hysaj (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
76'Corner, Albania. Conceded by Aleksandr Svirepa.
75'Attempt missed. Myrto Uzuni (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is high and wide to the right.
74'Substitution, Albania. Mirlind Daku replaces Rey Manaj.
74'Substitution, Albania. Anis Mehmeti replaces Ernest Muçi.
73'Attempt missed. Arbër Hoxha (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Ylber Ramadani.
71'Foul by Anton Kovalev (Belarus).
71'Stavros Pilios (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
71'Zakhar Volkov (Belarus) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
71'Foul by Ernest Muçi (Albania).
68'Foul by Vitali Lisakovich (Belarus).
68'Elseid Hysaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67'Attempt missed. Ernest Muçi (Albania) left footed shot from the centre of the box misses to the left. Assisted by Myrto Uzuni.
67'Foul by Kirill Pechenin (Belarus).
67'Elseid Hysaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
66'Attempt missed. Stavros Pilios (Albania) left footed shot from outside the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Ernest Muçi.
65'Substitution, Belarus. Aleksandr Svirepa replaces Aleksandr Selyava.
64'Berat Djimsiti (Albania) hits the left post with a header from the centre of the box. Assisted by Kristjan Asllani with a cross following a set piece situation.
63'Arbër Hoxha (Albania) wins a free kick on the left wing.
63'Foul by Anton Kovalev (Belarus).
62'Foul by Anton Kovalev (Belarus).
62'Stavros Pilios (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
61'Attempt missed. Kirill Pechenin (Belarus) left footed shot from the left side of the box misses to the right following a corner.
60'Corner, Belarus. Conceded by Elseid Hysaj.
58'Attempt missed. Max Ebong (Belarus) left footed shot from outside the box misses to the right.
58'Zakhar Volkov (Belarus) wins a free kick on the right wing.
58'Foul by Rey Manaj (Albania).
56'Attempt saved. Taulant Seferi (Albania) left footed shot from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Fedor Lapoukhov (Belarus). Assisted by Kristjan Asllani.
55'Attempt missed. Kirill Pechenin (Belarus) right footed shot from the centre of the box is too high. Assisted by Anton Kovalev with a cross.
51'Foul by Aleksandr Selyava (Belarus).
51'Kristjan Asllani (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
49'Foul by German Barkovskiy (Belarus).
49'Ardian Ismajli (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48'Foul by Kirill Gomanov (Belarus).
48'Ernest Muçi (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47'Valeri Gromyko (Belarus) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47'Foul by Arbër Hoxha (Albania).
46'Foul by Anton Kovalev (Belarus).
46'Stavros Pilios (Albania) wins a free kick on the left wing.
46'Foul by Valeri Gromyko (Belarus).
46'Kristjan Asllani (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46'Second Half begins Albania 2, Belarus 0.
46'Substitution, Belarus. Anton Kovalev replaces Artem Kontsevoy.
46'Substitution, Belarus. Kirill Gomanov replaces Ivan Tikhomirov.
First Half ends, Albania 2, Belarus 0.
48'Ylber Ramadani (Albania) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
48'Valeri Gromyko (Belarus) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48'Foul by Ylber Ramadani (Albania).
47'Goal! Albania 2, Belarus 0. Ernest Muçi (Albania) left footed shot from outside the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Elseid Hysaj following a fast break.
45'Evgeni Malashevich (Belarus) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
45'Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.
45'Foul by Evgeni Malashevich (Belarus).
45'Kristjan Asllani (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45'Foul by Evgeni Malashevich (Belarus).
45'Berat Djimsiti (Albania) wins a free kick on the left wing.
44'Corner, Albania. Conceded by Vladislav Kalinin.
43'Foul by Max Ebong (Belarus).
43'Rey Manaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40'Attempt missed. Ernest Muçi (Albania) left footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Kristjan Asllani.
38'Corner, Belarus. Conceded by Etrit Berisha.
38'Attempt missed. Rey Manaj (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is close, but misses to the right. Assisted by Ernest Muçi.
36'Attempt saved. German Barkovskiy (Belarus) header from the right side of the six yard box is saved in the bottom left corner by Etrit Berisha (Albania). Assisted by Max Ebong with a cross.
34'Goal! Albania 1, Belarus 0. Kristjan Asllani (Albania) converts the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom left corner.
32'Artem Kontsevoy (Belarus) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
32'Penalty conceded by Artem Kontsevoy (Belarus) after a foul in the penalty area.
32'Penalty Albania. Berat Djimsiti draws a foul in the penalty area.
32'Corner, Albania. Conceded by Kirill Pechenin.
31'Corner, Albania. Conceded by Vladislav Kalinin.
29'Delay over. They are ready to continue.
29'Delay in match because of an injury Valeri Gromyko (Belarus).
28'Foul by Max Ebong (Belarus).
28'Ernest Muçi (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
25'Foul by Aleksandr Selyava (Belarus).
25'Arbër Hoxha (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
24'Ivan Tikhomirov (Belarus) wins a free kick on the left wing.
24'Foul by Rey Manaj (Albania).
21'Ivan Tikhomirov (Belarus) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
21'Foul by Ivan Tikhomirov (Belarus).
21'Rey Manaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
18'Foul by Valeri Gromyko (Belarus).
18'Ylber Ramadani (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16'Foul by Elseid Hysaj (Albania).
16'Evgeni Malashevich (Belarus) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16'Attempt missed. Taulant Seferi (Albania) header from the centre of the box misses to the right. Assisted by Ernest Muçi.
15'Attempt blocked. Arbër Hoxha (Albania) right footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Assisted by Stavros Pilios.
13'Kristjan Asllani (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
13'Foul by Valeri Gromyko (Belarus).
09'Attempt missed. Aleksandr Selyava (Belarus) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Valeri Gromyko.
08'Arbër Hoxha (Albania) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
08'Foul by Vladislav Kalinin (Belarus).
07'Attempt saved. German Barkovskiy (Belarus) left footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Etrit Berisha (Albania). Assisted by Vladislav Kalinin.
06'German Barkovskiy (Belarus) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
06'Foul by Ardian Ismajli (Albania).
05'Attempt missed. Rey Manaj (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is close, but misses the top right corner from a direct free kick.
04'Foul by Kirill Pechenin (Belarus).
04'Rey Manaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
04'Elseid Hysaj (Albania) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
04'Foul by Aleksandr Selyava (Belarus).
03'Attempt missed. Evgeni Malashevich (Belarus) left footed shot from the left side of the six yard box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Valeri Gromyko.
02'Attempt missed. Arbër Hoxha (Albania) right footed shot from outside the box is too high. Assisted by Taulant Seferi.
01'First Half begins.
Match report
Match started
21'
I. TsikhamirauYellow card
32'
A. KontsevoyYellow card
34'
1 : 0
Goal!
K. Asllani
45'
Y. MalashevichYellow card
45'
Y. RamadaniYellow card
45'
2 : 0
Goal!
E. Muçi
1st half2-0
46'
A. KovalevA. KontsevoySubstitution
46'
K. GomanovI. TsikhamirauSubstitution
61'
M. UzuniT. SeferiSubstitution
65'
A. SvirepaA. SelyavaSubstitution
65'
V. LisakovichV. GromykoSubstitution
74'
M. DakuR. ManajSubstitution
74'
A. MehmetiE. MuçiSubstitution
85'
S. PiliosYellow card
86'
T. SimanenkaG. BarkovskiySubstitution
86'
J. ShehuK. AsllaniSubstitution
87'
M. MitajA. HoxhaSubstitution
90'
Z. VolkovYellow card
2nd half2-0
Pressure during the match
according to SportWire
AlbaniaminutesBelarus
0'45'90'
Bars above the line show home pressure; bars below show away pressure. Height is relative to the most intense moment of the match.
Match statistics
Full match
1st half
2nd half
Albania
Belarus
Ball possession
54%
46%
Total shots
20
8
Corners
5
2
Goal kicks
10
13
Fouls
9
23
Yellow cards
2
4
Ball possession
60%
40%
Total shots
8
4
Corners
3
1
Goal kicks
4
6
Fouls
4
12
Yellow cards
1
3
Ball possession
50%
50%
Total shots
12
4
Corners
2
1
Goal kicks
6
7
Fouls
5
11
Yellow cards
1
1
Shot map
shots: 28
Albania20 shots, xG 1,82
Belarus8 shots, xG 0,57
Goal On target Off target Blocked Albania Belarus
Both teams attack upwards. Higher dots show shots taken closer to goal. Dot size represents xG and colour shows the outcome. Filled dots are the home team; hollow dots are the away team.
Liontips
Albania
Belarus
