On September 25, Morocco will test Gabon in the African Cup of Nations qualification. The hosts are the favorites in this confrontation. Will they be able to confirm this assumption and earn three points? You will find the answer in the betting tip. Which bid should I choose?
Command Analysis
Morocco
The Moroccan national team played well at last summer's World Cup and was able to reach the quarterfinals, where it was stopped by the French. Before that, the national team had a winless streak of more than 15 matches in a row. It is quite possible to start new good performances in the confrontation with Gabon, because in the last two face-to-face matches we managed to win very confidently.
Gabon
Unlike today's opponent, Gabon played only with the Trinidad and Tobago team this year. The game ended in a draw, followed by a penalty shootout. In a series of 11-meter shots, the Gabonese demonstrated their superiority. Previously, the opponent failed to win, and given the strength of the opponent, it seems to be an extremely difficult task to interrupt this series.
We agree with the bookmakers' quotes, which put Morocco as a clear favorite. By all accounts, the hosts are playing better. Plus, the upcoming match will be held on home soil, where they have not lost more than 15 matches in a row. Gabon is clearly far from such a level of play as to interrupt the successful performances of the Moroccans, so we are betting on a confident triumph of the home team.
Our betting tip is an Asian handicap (-2.5) for Morocco in 2.47
Statistical estimation based on historical data. It is not a bet, forecast, or investment recommendation. 18+
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:0
7.20
The Moroccan national team won one of the last face-to-face matches with a three-goal advantage.
BetMorocco will score in two halves
1.77
The bet was successful in the last two face-to-face games
Live trends
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Morocco
99,84%
1.00
XDraw
0,16%
630.25
Gabon
0%
—
Double chance
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
1X
100%
1.00
12
99,84%
1.00
X2
0,16%
617.40
Total 2.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Over
16,36%
6.11
Under
83,64%
1.20
Next goal
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Morocco
10,73%
9.32
Gabon
5,63%
17.75
No goal
83,64%
1.20
Both teams to score
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Yes
5,97%
16.76
No
94,03%
1.06
Handicap 1.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Morocco -1.5
94,67%
1.06
Gabon +1.5
5,33%
18.77
Handicap 2.5
Outcome
Probability
Model odds
Morocco -2.5
10,43%
9.59
Gabon +2.5
89,57%
1.12
Live commentary
Match ends, Morocco 2, Gabon 0.
Second Half ends, Morocco 2, Gabon 0.
94'Attempt saved. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) right footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Yassine Bounou (Morocco). Assisted by Guélor Kanga.
94'Attempt blocked. Rody Effaghe (Gabon) header from the centre of the box is blocked. Assisted by Jacques Ekomié with a cross.
93'Guélor Kanga (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
93'Foul by Soufiane Rahimi (Morocco).
91'Attempt missed. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) left footed shot from the left side of the box is too high. Assisted by Guélor Kanga.
91'Attempt saved. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) right footed shot from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Yassine Bounou (Morocco). Assisted by André-Jordy Ella.
91'Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.
90'Attempt missed. Guélor Kanga (Gabon) right footed shot from more than 35 yards is too high. Assisted by Jacques Ekomié.
88'Guélor Kanga (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
88'Foul by Ali Maamar (Morocco).
84'Goal! Morocco 2, Gabon 0. Soufiane Rahimi (Morocco) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Bilal El Khannouss with a cross.
83'Ali Maamar (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
82'Offside, Gabon. Rody Effaghe is caught offside.
81'Guélor Kanga (Gabon) wins a free kick on the left wing.
81'Foul by Soufiane Rahimi (Morocco).
80'Attempt missed. Ilias Akhomach (Morocco) left footed shot from outside the box is too high from a direct free kick.
79'Substitution, Gabon. André-Jordy Ella replaces Shavy Babicka.
79'Substitution, Gabon. Alex Moucketou-Moussounda replaces Jonathan Do Marcolino.
79'Foul by Rody Effaghe (Gabon).
79'Ayyoub Bouaddi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
78'Attempt saved. Rody Effaghe (Gabon) header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Yassine Bounou (Morocco). Assisted by Jacques Ekomié with a cross.
76'Attempt saved. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) left footed shot from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Yassine Bounou (Morocco). Assisted by Anthony Oyono.
61'Attempt blocked. Yassir Zabiri (Morocco) right footed shot from the centre of the box is blocked. Assisted by Neil El Aynaoui.
60'Foul by André Poko (Gabon).
60'Nayef Aguerd (Morocco) wins a free kick on the right wing.
59'Jacques Ekomié (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59'Foul by Gessime Yassine (Morocco).
58'Shavy Babicka (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58'Foul by Ayyoub Bouaddi (Morocco).
57'Attempt missed. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) right footed shot from the right side of the six yard box is close, but misses to the right. Assisted by Guélor Kanga with a cross following a corner.
56'Corner, Gabon. Conceded by Noussair Mazraoui.
55'Offside, Gabon. Denis Bouanga is caught offside.
53'Foul by Shavy Babicka (Gabon).
53'Noussair Mazraoui (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52'Jonathan Do Marcolino (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52'Foul by Yassir Zabiri (Morocco).
52'Foul by André Poko (Gabon).
52'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
51'Offside, Gabon. Denis Bouanga is caught offside.
51'Attempt blocked. Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) right footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Assisted by Ayyoub Bouaddi.
50'Attempt missed. Abde Ezzalzouli (Morocco) right footed shot from outside the box is too high from a direct free kick.
49'Foul by Guélor Kanga (Gabon).
49'Ayyoub Bouaddi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
48'Attempt saved. Nayef Aguerd (Morocco) left footed shot from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Jean-Noël Amonome (Gabon). Assisted by Gessime Yassine with a cross.
47'Corner, Morocco. Conceded by Jonathan Do Marcolino.
47'Attempt blocked. Abde Ezzalzouli (Morocco) right footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Assisted by Azzedine Ounahi.
47'Foul by André Poko (Gabon).
47'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46'Second Half begins Morocco 1, Gabon 0.
First Half ends, Morocco 1, Gabon 0.
46'Attempt missed. Neil El Aynaoui (Morocco) right footed shot from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Abde Ezzalzouli.
45'Fourth official has announced 0 minutes of added time.
44'Foul by Jacques Ekomié (Gabon).
44'Gessime Yassine (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
42'Foul by Didier Ndong (Gabon).
42'Yassir Zabiri (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41'Attempt missed. Ali Maamar (Morocco) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right.
41'Anthony Oyono (Gabon) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
41'Foul by Anthony Oyono (Gabon).
41'Abde Ezzalzouli (Morocco) wins a free kick on the left wing.
39'Foul by Rody Effaghe (Gabon).
39'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
38'Foul by Rody Effaghe (Gabon).
38'Nayef Aguerd (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
36'Goal! Morocco 1, Gabon 0. Noussair Mazraoui (Morocco) right footed shot from outside the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Nayef Aguerd following a corner.
35'Corner, Morocco. Conceded by André Poko.
32'Attempt blocked. Abde Ezzalzouli (Morocco) right footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Assisted by Ayyoub Bouaddi.
30'Attempt saved. Guélor Kanga (Gabon) right footed shot from long range on the left is saved in the centre of the goal by Yassine Bounou (Morocco). Assisted by Rody Effaghe.
29'Corner, Morocco. Conceded by Jonathan Do Marcolino.
29'Attempt blocked. Nayef Aguerd (Morocco) header from the left side of the six yard box is blocked. Assisted by Azzedine Ounahi with a cross.
28'Corner, Morocco. Conceded by Jonathan Do Marcolino.
27'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) hits the bar with a right footed shot from the left side of the box. Assisted by Noussair Mazraoui.
25'Attempt missed. Denis Bouanga (Gabon) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Guélor Kanga.
23'Foul by Jacques Ekomié (Gabon).
23'Gessime Yassine (Morocco) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
22'Shavy Babicka (Gabon) wins a free kick on the right wing.
22'Foul by Noussair Mazraoui (Morocco).
21'Corner, Gabon. Conceded by Ali Maamar.
18'Foul by Shavy Babicka (Gabon).
18'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) wins a free kick on the left wing.
17'Foul by Guélor Kanga (Gabon).
17'Issa Diop (Morocco) wins a free kick on the right wing.
16'Attempt missed. Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) right footed shot from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Abde Ezzalzouli.
11'Attempt missed. Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Abde Ezzalzouli.
11'Attempt missed. Guélor Kanga (Gabon) right footed shot from outside the box misses to the right. Assisted by Denis Bouanga.
07'Guélor Kanga (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
07'Foul by Neil El Aynaoui (Morocco).
07'Attempt missed. Yassir Zabiri (Morocco) left footed shot from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left. Assisted by Azzedine Ounahi with a through ball.
05'Denis Bouanga (Gabon) wins a free kick in the defensive half.
05'Foul by Ali Maamar (Morocco).
05'Foul by André Poko (Gabon).
05'Azzedine Ounahi (Morocco) wins a free kick in the attacking half.
01'First Half begins.
Match report
Match started
36'
1 : 0
Goal!
N. Mazraoui
41'
A. OyonoYellow card
1st half1-0
62'
I. AkhomachG. YassineSubstitution
62'
S. RahimiY. ZabiriSubstitution
64'
A. BouaddiYellow card
68'
H. Do MarcolinoA. PokoSubstitution
72'
J. Do MarcolinoYellow card
76'
A. OuazaneA. EzzalzouliSubstitution
76'
B. El KhannoussA. OunahiSubstitution
79'
A. Jordy EllaS. BabickaSubstitution
79'
A. MoussoundaJ. Do MarcolinoSubstitution
84'
2 : 0
Goal!
S. Rahimi
84'
A. Salah-EddineN. MazraouiSubstitution
2nd half2-0
Pressure during the match
according to SportWire
MoroccominutesGabon
0'45'90'
Bars above the line show home pressure; bars below show away pressure. Height is relative to the most intense moment of the match.
Match statistics
Full match
1st half
2nd half
Morocco
Gabon
Ball possession
68%
32%
Total shots
17
11
Corners
4
2
Offsides
0
4
Goal kicks
7
8
Fouls
10
19
Yellow cards
1
2
Ball possession
73%
27%
Total shots
9
3
Corners
3
1
Goal kicks
1
5
Fouls
3
9
Yellow cards
0
1
Ball possession
61%
39%
Total shots
8
8
Corners
1
1
Offsides
0
4
Goal kicks
6
3
Fouls
7
10
Yellow cards
1
1
Shot map
shots: 28
Morocco17 shots, xG 0,00
Gabon11 shots, xG 0,00
Goal On target Off target Blocked Morocco Gabon
Both teams attack upwards. Higher dots show shots taken closer to goal. Dot size represents xG and colour shows the outcome. Filled dots are the home team; hollow dots are the away team.
Liontips
Morocco
Gabon
