LiontipsPortugal vs Wales: betting tip (cf 2.14) and bets on the Nations League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Portugal is the current winner of the League of Nations. In the last draw, we managed to beat Spain in a penalty shootout in the final. At the last World Cup, the Portuguese did not demonstrate a bright game and in the 1/8 finals they failed to cope with the same Spaniards (0:1). During the entire tournament, they had only one confident victory over Uzbekistan (5-0). After the World Cup, the coach changed: instead of Roberto Martinez, the national team was led by Jorge Jesus. The new coach has already stated that the captain's status does not guarantee Cristiano Ronaldo, 41, a place at the base. The veteran was included in the application for the autumn training camp, his main goal is still to overcome the mark of 1,000 goals for the national team (currently he has 979 goals).
Disqualifications and injuries
A. Silva, Nunes, Semedo, Samu Costa and Guedes are out of the application.
Interesting betting trends
- In three consecutive matches involving Portugal, a 0-0 draw was recorded in the first half.
- In eight of the previous nine matches, the Portuguese national team lost by fouls.
Approximate composition: Diogo Costa – Dalot, R. Dias, Inacio, Mendes – B. Silva, Vitinha, B. Fernandes, Leo – Felix, Ronaldo.
Current form
Wales performed well during the qualifying campaign for the World Cup, finishing second in the group. Back then, in qualifying, the Welsh were pleased with their effective attacking football, scoring 21 goals in eight matches. However, in the play-off with Bosnia and Herzegovina, the national team lost in a penalty shootout and was left without a World Cup. After the qualifying tournament, the team held three sparring matches, in which they defeated Northern Ireland and Ghana with the same score 1:1, and also lost to Romania (1:2). Craig Bellamy is still at the helm of the national team, who relies on aggressive football, a high defensive line and the desire to join the selection immediately after losing the ball.
Disqualifications and injuries
X is on the injured list. Wilson, Broadhead, K. Darlow, Rawdon, Lawlor, R. Colville, and I. Davis.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches with the participation of the national team of Wales, the exact score was recorded 1:1.
- The exchange of goals was in five consecutive matches with the participation of the Welsh
Approximate composition: Ward – N. Williams, Mepham, B. Davis, Dasilva–Ampadu, J. James – B. Johnson, D. Brooks, D. James – Moore.
Trends
1st halfbet: draw
This bet has been played in Portugal's last three matches.
The bet is the Victory of Wales by fouls
Portugal's players fouled less often than their opponents in eight of the last nine matches.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Portugal has won three of its last four victories with this score
Tip and bets
Portugal is hosting its first match under the leadership of Jorge Jesus today. It is difficult to make clear in the betting tips what kind of football the national team will demonstrate, but in general, judging by the application, no fundamental changes are expected in the squad, including Cristiano Ronaldo.
There is more clarity about the Wales national team, as Craig Bellamy remains at the helm, which means that the team will play in a familiar attacking, aggressive manner with a high defensive line. The Welsh have not left the field without scoring a goal in seven consecutive matches and, given the way they play, they are quite capable of distinguishing themselves today. At the same time, the defense of Wales often fails, there are gaps between the lines, which the hosts are able to take advantage of. We believe that there is an underestimation of the bet on the exchange of goals scored in the line of bookmakers.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 2.14
Betting on the outcome
The Portuguese don't often delight their fans with crushing victories. In the previous seven meetings, taking into account all the tournaments, the national team beat only Uzbekistan without problems (5-0). We don't expect the hosts to win by more than one goal today.
The second bet is the victory of the Welsh national team with an Asian handicap (+2) with a coefficient of 1.78
A bet on corners
In the previous four matches, the Welsh national team consistently provided more corners than their opponents. Betting on attacking football and a high defensive line is clearly having an effect. Based on this trend and the odds in the betting line, we recommend another bet on the game.
Prediction – Wales win on corners with a handicap (+1.5) with a coefficient of 2.20
