LiontipsAtletico Madrid - Real Madrid: betting tip (CF 2.15) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
At the start of the season, Atletico was not stable. In the four rounds in the Example, the Mattresses lost points twice: they drew with Villarreal (2:2) and lost in Bilbao to Athletic with a score of 0:3, when they conceded all three goals within one ten-minute period in the second half. At the same time, in the last rounds, Diego Simeone's team played out, scored two confident victories over Real Sociedad on the road with a score of 3:0 and at home over Osasuna (4:0). Obviously, the team is approaching the derby in excellent playing tone and definitely does not plan to give away three points without a fight.
In the standings, after six rounds, the mattresses are in fourth place with 13 points in the asset. A victory today will allow us to beat Real Madrid, which has two points more and the second place in the table. On its home field, as part of the Primera, Atletico did not lose to cream in the previous three derbies, and in this segment, in two cases, it scored confident victories with the score 3:1 and 5:2.
Atletico's Champions League start was unsuccessful. On the road, Madrid lost 1-2 to Liverpool, although they forced the Merseysiders to fight, they could well have drawn.
Alvarez did not play in the last two matches for Atletico due to muscle overload. A key forward, who has not left the club, is expected to play in the derby today. It should be noted that instead of him, Canadian forward Jonathan David is doing great in attack, he scored goals in the last two matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Serlot and Barrios will not play due to injuries, and Alvarez's return to the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the four previous matches involving Atletico, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- In six matches in a row, more than two goals were scored with the participation of the mattresses
- Atletico players have fouled less often than their opponents in the last five matches.
The approximate line–up: Oblak – Llorente, Romero, Le Norman, Grimaldo - Lee Kang In, Koke, Yulmann, Baena – David, Lukman.
Current form
Following the results of six rounds in the Example, Real Madrid allowed themselves one misfire when they lost to Betis with a minimum score of 0:1 on the road. In that meeting, with a total advantage, it was not possible to score, the realization failed. However, the setback led to Barcelona pulling ahead by three points, the cream are second and cannot afford to misfire in the near future, given the impressive performance and results of the Catalans.
Despite five wins in six rounds played, it cannot be said that Jose Morinho's players dominated and easily won all the matches. The match of the previous round against Elche on the road was significant. By the 33rd minute, Madrid had secured a comfortable two-goal advantage, but then, after the break, they frankly relaxed and allowed the opponent to equalize, although they could have scored more than once themselves. As a result, it was only in the 91st minute that they managed to snatch a 3-2 victory. There was a similar situation in the match against Rayo Vallecano, but there the opponent did not use several dangerous moments (4-1).
In the Champions League, Real Madrid started with a 2-1 home win over Inter. Then, in the usual style, the cream got a two-goal advantage before the break, after which they allowed the Nerazzurri to score one goal. There are problems keeping concentration and high tempo for 90 minutes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodrigo, Militao and Mendy will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three consecutive matches, Real Madrid won in the first half.
- The exchange of goals scored was recorded in the three previous matches involving cream
- In five consecutive matches, Real Madrid players were offside more often than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Courtois – Dumfries, Konate, Heysen, Cucurella – Valverde, Tchuameni – Guler, Bellingham, Vinicius – Mbappe.
Trends
Bet Both will score
This bet has been successful in the last three Madrid derbies.
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the previous five face-to-face meetings, goals were scored in each of the halves.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:2
Four of the last nine derbies have been tied.
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet has played out in three of the last four face-to-face meetings
Tip and bets
In the Madrid derby, the current results and the state of affairs in the standings often fade into the background. In any situation, a face-to-face match is of fundamental importance, and no one ever has problems with motivation. The rivals are now approaching the derby in a good playing tone: the mattresses won the previous two meetings without conceding a single goal, the cream gave out a series of three victories.
Real Madrid gets the status of the favorite in the bookmaker line, although it is impossible to call the creamy game convincing. Jose Mourinho's team started off strongly in recent matches, secured an advantage in the first half, after which they allowed their opponents to do a lot at their own goal. The same Elche almost took away the points the day before, was able to win back from the score of 0:2. Today we have to play at the Metropolitano, and here the cream did not win in the previous three derbies in the Primera, and they lost twice, failing defensively. We believe that Atletico are once again able to score points on their own field, especially since Diego Simeone knows perfectly well what to expect from his opponent and how to use his failures in the second half to his advantage.
Our betting tip is that Atletico will not lose by a factor of 1.87
Bet on the total
At the start of the season, Atletico and Real Madrid have no problems in attack, they regularly create a large number of dangerous moments. Alvarez should be back on track for the hosts, plus David is in great shape. Creamy has Mbappe, who is also doing well right now, it was his goal and assist that helped Elche win. We expect that the derby will be pleased with the abundance of goals scored.
The second bet is a total of more than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.15
Betting on corners
Cream usually plays number one, it is unlikely that they will deviate from their tactics in the derby. In five of the previous six matches, Real Madrid took more corners than their opponents. We expect Mourinho's players to beat Atletico in the corners today.
Prediction – Real Madrid win on corners with a coefficient of 1.98
