Chelsea - Leeds: betting tip (cf 1.70) and bets on the English League Cup match

EFL Cup. stemford-bridzh
ChelseaEngland
06.09.26
Arsenal2 : 1Chelsea
30.08.26
Chelsea4 : 3Brighton & Hove Albion
27.08.26
Chelsea2 : 0Luton Town
24.08.26
Fulham2 : 3Chelsea
15.08.26
Chelsea3 : 1Real Sociedad
09.08.26
Johor Darul Ta'zim FC3 : 3Chelsea
Leeds UnitedEngland
05.09.26
Brighton & Hove Albion1 : 1Leeds United
30.08.26
Leeds United1 : 1Brentford
25.08.26
Nottingham Forest0 : 2Leeds United
22.08.26
Nottingham Forest0 : 1Leeds United
15.08.26
Leeds United4 : 0Augsburg
12.08.26
Manchester United6 : 5Leeds United
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Chelsea - Leeds United
In one of the matches of the 1/16 finals of the English League Cup on September 9, Chelsea will play Leeds on their own field. The Peacocks have not lost since the beginning of the season. The aristocrats went undefeated until they met Arsenal in the last round of the Premier League, to which they lost with a score of 1:2. We are looking into the betting tip of who has the best chance of winning and advancing to the 1/8 finals today. Which reliable bets should I choose?

Command Analysis

Chelsea

Current form

Chelsea, under the leadership of Xabi Alonso, is clearly still in search of a game. The aristocrats have noticeably improved in attack, there are no problems with creating and implementing chances, but there are still a lot of questions about defense, there is not enough teamwork. The Blues scored two wins in the Premier League largely due to their attack: they beat Fulham 3-2 on the road and won at home in another goalless shootout with Brighton (3:2). With such an unstable game, it was hard to count on points with Arsenal (1:2), although they scored first in that meeting. In the League Cup, Chelsea defeated Luton Town (2-0) at the start of the tournament.

Disqualifications and injuries

Henderson and Palestra will not play due to injuries, Caicedo and Colville are questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In five consecutive matches with Chelsea, there have been more than seven shots on target.
  • The bet on a total of more than 2.5 goals was played in four of the five previous matches of the Londoners

Approximate composition: Martinez – Gusteau, Achimpong, Lacroix, Chavarria–Barco, Lavia – Estevao, Palmer, Rogers – Welbeck.

Leeds United

Current form

Leeds are unbeaten in the new season, which can be considered a great success for a fairly modest team. At the start, the Peacocks beat Nottingham Forest twice, both times on the road: in the Premier League (0:1) and in the League Cup (0:2). In the next two rounds in the Premier League, Daniel Farke's team parted ways with Brentford and Brighton with the same score 1:1. Under the guidance of a German specialist, Leeds is perfectly able to adapt to the game of their opponents, act as the first number, and clearly play on the counterattack, endure, and survive their moments.

Disqualifications and injuries

Joseph and Rodon will not play in the match due to injuries, Gruev's return to the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In four consecutive matches with Leeds, more than one goal was not scored in the first half.
  • In 9 of Leeds' previous 13 matches, no more than three offsides were recorded.

Approximate composition: Trafford – Elvedi, Biyol, Muharemovich – Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson – Aaronson, Okafor – Nmecha.

xG Expected goals
Chelsea
0.515xG per Match2.48
Leeds United

Trends

1st halfbet: draw

2.35

This bet has played in three of Chelsea's last five matches

Chelsea'sbetWon't Lose on Yellow Cards

1.72

Leeds players have received fewer warnings than their opponents in three of the last four matches.

The bet is an accurate score of 2:1

7.90

Chelsea have scored two of their last three wins by one goal.

Tip and bets

TipChelsea's victory
1.70

Alonso was almost completely involved in the main squad in the previous League Cup match against Luton. Obviously, Chelsea, which is not competing in European competitions this season, is betting on achieving maximum results in all home tournaments. From the point of view of the depth of the composition, the aristocrats have everything for this. Leeds does not have such capabilities, plus, they traditionally perform poorly at Stamford Bridge, where they were defeated in five of the six previous face-to-face meetings. We believe that Chelsea will use their powerful attack and achieve victory.

Our prediction is that Chelsea will win by a factor of 1.70

Will the prediction win?
Tiptotal more than 2.5 goals
1.69

Bet on the total

Chelsea's obvious focus under Alonso's leadership is on attacking, which has not faltered so far, but it was possible to win back to zero only against modest Luton. Leeds is dangerous on the counterattack, able to find his chance. It is worth waiting, as in previous matches with Chelsea, for high performance.

The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.69

Betting on corners

When choosing a corner bet, we pay attention to two points. Leeds have lost in their last four matches according to this indicator. Chelsea on their own field, given their perceived superiority in class, will clearly play number one and spend a lot of time at other people's gates. There is a high probability that the Londoners will surely win in the corners.

Prediction – Chelsea win on corners with a handicap (-2.5) with a coefficient of 1.92

Will the prediction win?

TOP Tips

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Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
ivan-kornijchukИван Корнийчук
31 Mar | 12:00
Сельта:
Лас-Пальмас
1.94

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips91
% of profit8.94%
Win percentage53.85%
Average coefficient1.87
Wins53.85%  (49)
Refunds8.79%  (8)
Loses37.36%  (34)
Total tips546
% of profit14.97%
Win percentage49.08%
Average coefficient1.89
Wins49.08%  (268)
Refunds6.41%  (35)
Loses44.51%  (243)