LiontipsInter - Napoli: betting tip (cf 2.23) and bets on the Serie A match
Command Analysis
Current form
The current Scudetto and Italian Cup winner is confidently leading the start of the season. Inter defeated Monza without problems in the first round (4-1), and then beat Cagliari on the road with a minimum score of 1-0. Taking into account the pre-season victories in friendly matches over Juventus (2:1) and Betis (1:0), Christian Kivu's team extended the winning streak to four meetings.
Inter had a significant advantage in two official matches at the start of the season. The minimal 1-0 victory over Cagliari should not be misleading, in that meeting the implementation was trite, accordingto xG(expected goals) Nerazzurri played 3.64. We note the successful game of Hakan Chalhanoglu, who scored goals from long-range shots in two matches.
Inter has significantly strengthened the squad in the summer, the main goal is to expand the opportunities for rotation, as participation in numerous tournaments is ahead, and there are maximum tasks everywhere. Let's mention Stones, Spence and Jones, who was acquired from Liverpool. It is also important that we managed to keep all the leaders.
Disqualifications and injuries
Spence's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Inter extended the winning streak to four matches
- In six of the previous seven matches, Inter players fouled less often than their opponents.
- Inter have won on shots on target in 26 of their 32 matches.
The approximate composition: H. Martinez – Pavar, Bissek, Bastoni – Diouf, Barella, Chalhanoglu, Zelinsky, Dimarco – Esposito, L. Martinez.
Current form
Napoli was preparing for the start of the new season under the leadership of Allegri, who replaced Conte as head coach. Obviously, not everything is working out with the new mentor yet. There were problems during the friendly matches, when the Neapolitans lost to Arezzo (1:3) and parted in peace with Celta (1:1). There are questions about the team's readiness to fight for the Scudetto even after the first official matches.
In the opening round, Napoli confidently defeated Genoa 2-0 on the road. At the same time, it was possible to open the enemy's defense only in the second half, scoring two goals. In the second round, the Neapolitans lost to Como on their own field (1:2). In fact, the defeat was due to mistakes during the transition to the attack, for which the opponent punished. During the entire match, Allegri's men scored only two shots on target, one of which ended with Hoylund's goal. It's hard to count on anything against the Italian giants with such an attacking game.
Napoli was not particularly active in the transfer market. Of the acquisitions, only Constantino Favazuli, Di Lorenzo and Benoit Badiashiel can be mentioned. There was no talk of any high-profile transfers. In many ways, the hopes are connected with those players who used to play at the club.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the infirmary with Napoli, Buongiorno, Marianucci, McTominay and Giovane.
Interesting betting trends
- In five consecutive matches, Napoli players were offside more often than their opponents.
- In three of the last five matches of the Neapolitans, more than one goal was scored in the first half.
- Napoli have not beaten Inter away in the last seven face-to-face meetings.
Approximate composition: Meret Di Lorenzo, Rahmani, Marin, Spinazzola – Zambo-Anguissa, Lobotka, De Bruyne – Politano, Hoylund, A. Santos.
Trends
Bet Victory of "Napoli" on offsides with a handicap (-1.5)
In five matches in a row, Napoli won by offsides.
Bet Inter's Victory on shots on target
Inter players scored more shots on target than their opponents in 26 of the 32 previous matches.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Inter have scored two of their last three wins with a dry score.
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In eight of the ten previous face-to-face meetings, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
Tip and bets
At the start of the season, Inter is performing noticeably better than the upcoming opponent and is rightfully the favorite in the line of bookmakers. And it's not just about the results, it's about the game itself. Napoli could not show anything in attack with Como, the players constantly made mistakes when leaving the defense, for which the opponent punished. It won't be easier with Nerazzurri. Kivu's players play with an emphasis on total ball control, work with decent intensity, keep a high tempo and provide very little free space to their opponents.
Napoli has hardly strengthened its last year's squad, which is also not the best effect on the game so far. Plus, the team obviously hasn't adjusted to the demands of Allegri's new coach yet. We expect Inter to register another victory.
Our betting tip is for Inter to win by a factor of 1.65
Bet on the total
In the previous match against Como, the Napoli players scored only two shots on target, there wasn't much going on in the attack, they couldn't just get to the opponent's penalty area. Inter relies on ball control and pressure. We do not think that the Neapolitans will often threaten the Nerazzurri's goal and may well go scoreless today. In any case, the coefficient for such a bet is of interest.
The second bet is that Napoli will not score with a coefficient of 2.23
Betting on corners
In the last 38 matches, taking into account all tournaments, Inter have lost only eight times on corners. On their own field, the Nerazzurri will obviously spend a lot of time at someone else's gate today and will be able to confirm the status of the favorite in the corners.
Prediction – Inter's corner win with a handicap (-1.5) with a coefficient of 1.80
