Islam Makhachev - Ian Machado Garry: betting tip (cf 2.31) and bets on the fight

UFC 330. xfinity-mobile-arena
Islam MakhachevRussian Federation
16.11.25
Jack Della Maddalena:Islam Makhachev
19.01.25
Islam Makhachev:Renato Carneiro
02.06.24
Islam Makhachev:Dustin Poirier
21.10.23
Islam Makhachev:Alex Volkanovski
12.02.23
Islam Makhachev:Alex Volkanovski
22.10.22
Charles Oliveira:Islam Makhachev
Ian GarryIreland
22.11.25
Belal Muhammad:Ian Garry
27.04.25
Ian Garry:Carlos Prates
08.12.24
Shavkat Rakhmonov:Ian Garry
30.06.24
Ian Garry:Michael Page
18.02.24
Geoff Neal:Ian Garry
20.08.23
Neil Magny:Ian Garry
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Islam Makhachev - Ian Garry
The champion of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the welterweight category, Islam Makhachev, will hold a title fight against Ian Machado Garry on August 16. The fight will take place in Philadelphia (USA). Will the Russian be able to keep his belt in a fight with a fighter from Ireland? And what kind of bet to choose before this confrontation - we understand our betting tip

Command Analysis

Islam Makhachev

Current form 

Islam Makhachev rose to welterweight in November 2025 and immediately solved the problem of maximum difficulty — he confidently dealt with Jack Della Maddalena. Makhachev left virtually no room for the Australian to work: he moved the fight to the stalls, controlled the opponent and methodically gained an advantage over the course of five rounds. As a result, Islam became the UFC champion in two weight categories at once.

Before moving to the welterweight division, Makhachev dominated the lightweight division for several years. During this time, he managed to defend the title in duels with Renato Moikano, Dustin Poirier and Alexander Volkanovsky. Islam will turn 35 in two months. For a fighter of this level, age does not seem to be a problem yet, although the issue of physical resources is gradually becoming more relevant. Moreover, in recent years, Makhachev has not held as many fights as his fans would like. At the same time, experience, fighting intelligence and the ability to correctly distribute forces allow Russians to compensate for possible age-related changes.

Makhachev's statistics are impressive: 28 victories in his professional career, of which five were achieved by knockout, ten by decision of the judges and 13 more by submission. The Russian suffered his only defeat back in 2015, at an early stage of his performances in the UFC.

Throughout his career, Islam has established a number of achievements in the UFC lightweight division. In particular, he holds the records for the longest winning streak — 14 wins, the number of wins in title fights — five, and successful defenses of the championship belt — four. The percentage of accurate significant strikes also remains one of the best indicators — 59.5%. At the same time, one should not forget about the foundation on which Makhachev's style is built. The Russian is a two—time Russian and world champion in combat sambo.

Ian Garry

Current form

Ian Machado Garry got the chance he'd been working for almost his entire career. The Irishman will enter the octagon for the first time as a contender for the UFC championship belt. The last time he appeared in the cage was in November 2025, when he won a convincing victory on points over Belal Muhammad. Even earlier, Garry stopped Carlos Prates' winning streak, inflicting the Brazilian's first defeat in the UFC. However, that fight turned out to be far from a walk for the Irishman. Machado Garry was seriously injured in the late stages of the fight, but he managed to withstand the pressure and bring the fight to a victorious decision by the judges.

Now his UFC record stands at ten wins with one loss. The only misfire came at a meeting with Shavkat Rakhmonov. Despite the result, Harry's performance in that match only increased his credibility: the Irishman demonstrated his character and ability to compete with an elite opponent. He is currently ranked first in the welterweight division.

In professional MMA, the Irishman has 21 wins: ten early wins by knockout, nine wins by decision of judges and two triumphs by submission. Machado Garry is also a former Cage Warriors Fighting Championship champion. Another important point is the black belt in judo. 

Trends

Bet The duel will be complete

1.65

The two fighters have 19 wins on points.

Tip and bets

TipMakhachev's victory on points
2.31

Makhachev is the clear favorite, but Garry has the tools to cause serious trouble for the champion. First of all, we are talking about size, working from a distance and the ability to keep cool under pressure. However, if we consider the whole fight, the advantage still remains on the side of the Russian. Makhachev is too good at imposing his own scenario on his rivals. He is able to stand for a long time, and then at any moment change the level and transfer the fight to the canvas. Moreover, after the transfer, Islam does not just hold its position — it knows how to methodically destroy the opponent's defense and look for a moment for an early end. It is worth mentioning separately about Makhachev's percussion technique. Previously, he was often perceived solely as a wrestler, but today this has long been untrue. The Russian has noticeably improved his stance, has learned how to attack dangerously with his feet and feels much more confident in the exchanges.

Our betting tip is for Makhachev to win on points in 2.31

Will the prediction win?

Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
igor-semshovИгорь Семшов
21 Jun | 18:00
Ривер Плейт:
Монтеррей
1.91

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dustin-stoltzfusDustin Stoltzfu.
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dzhalin-ternerДжалин Тернер
kaue-fernandesKaue Fernandes
2.15
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61.5%for the tip
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mackenzie-dernMackenzie Dern
gillian-robertsonGillian Roberts.
2.50
dmitrij-budanov
Dmitriy Budanov
Site expert
30 days+32=0-20
ROI+0.1%
Дмитрий

Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips16
% of profit-0.32%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.6
Wins50.00%  (8)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses50.00%  (8)
Total tips24
% of profit-0.06%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.95
Wins50.00%  (12)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses50.00%  (12)