Jan Blachowicz - Navajo Stirling: Betting Tip (cf 2.02) and betting on the fight

UFC Fight Night 283. belgrade-arena
Jan BlachowiczPoland
07.12.25
Jan Blachowicz:Bogdan Guskov
22.03.25
Jan Blachowicz:Carlos Ulberg
30.07.23
Jan Blachowicz:Alex Pereira
11.12.22
Jan Blachowicz:Magomed Ankalaev
15.05.22
Jan Blachowicz:Aleksandar Rakic
30.10.21
Jan Blachowicz:Glover Teixeira
Navajo StirlingNew Zealand
20.06.26
Ion Cutelaba:Navajo Stirling
28.03.26
Navajo Stirling:Bruno Lopes
28.09.25
Navajo Stirling:Rodolfo Bellato
11.05.25
Navajo Stirling:Ivan Erslan
15.12.24
Navajo Stirling:Tuco Tokkos
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Jan Blachowicz - Navajo Stirling
The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the light heavyweight category, Jan Blachovich, will face Navajo Stirling in the co-main match of the evening on August 1. The fight will take place in Belgrade (Serbia). Will the Pole be able to succeed in a fight with a fighter from New Zealand? And what kind of bet to choose before this confrontation - we understand our betting tip

Command Analysis

Jan Blachowicz

Current form

Jan Blakhovich last entered the octagon in December 2025 in a fight with Bogdan Guskov. The match ended in a draw and turned out to be extremely difficult for the Pole. Already in the opening five minutes, he was on the verge of an early defeat, but showed character, recovered and managed to turn the tide of the meeting, taking the second and third rounds. Initially, it was expected that Blakhovich would meet with Guskov again, but plans have changed. The representative of Uzbekistan won a place in the main event of the tournament in Abu Dhabi, where he lost to Magomed Ankalaev. For Ian himself, this means a new test — now there will be a young and hungry opponent in front of him.

Before the draw with Guskov, the Pole lost on points to Carlos Ulberg, and even earlier in a very competitive match he lost by split decision to Alex Pereira. Despite a series of difficult results, Blakhovich is still one of the most experienced fighters in the light heavyweight division. Over the years of playing in the UFC, he managed to win the championship belt and write his name in history, becoming the first Polish man to win the title of the organization.

Jan started his professional career back in 2007. Before joining the UFC, he was the KSW light heavyweight champion, and today ranks fourth in the division rankings. Interestingly, with impressive physical data, his advantage in arm swing over his rivals is not always significant. In the upcoming fight, this figure is only one inch lower relative to Stirling. The 43-year-old Blachovich has 29 wins, nine of which were by knockout, 11 by decision of the judges and nine more by receptions. The veteran has 11 defeats.

Navajo Stirling

Current form

Navajo Stirling took this fight less than a month before the tournament, but it's hard to call him unprepared. His team is well acquainted with Blachowicz's style, because it was the New Zealanders who helped Carlos Ulberg develop a plan for a victorious duel against the Pole. Stirling recently scored his fifth victory under the UFC banner, stopping Ion Kutelaba by technical knockout in the second round. True, the fight itself turned out to be very unusual, but the result remained unchanged — another early victory for the promising light heavyweight. Before that, he also knocked out Bruno Lopez.

Stirling is ranked 15th in the division and is considered one of the most uncomfortable strikers in the category. His score for the difference in significant strikes is 3.62, the best result among current light heavyweight representatives. In this component, he surpasses not only Carlos Ulberg and Alex Pereira, but even the career figures of the legendary John Jones.

In many ways, the secret of success lies in outstanding anthropometric data. The 79-inch arm span allows the Navajo to work from a safe distance, constantly controlling the space and keeping opponents away from him. Before switching to mixed martial arts, the New Zealander had achieved serious success in kickboxing. He became the champion of King in the Ring, World Kickboxing Federation and World Kickboxing Network organizations, and also held the WBC MuayThai New Zealand title. In MMA, Stirling also won the Hex Fight Series and Shuriken Fight Series championship belts. The 28-year-old fighter has eight wins, five of which were by knockout and three by judicial decision. There are no defeats in his career yet.

Trends

Bet The duel won't be complete

2.22

The two fighters have 23 early victories.

Tip and bets

TipStirling wins on points
2.02

Blachovich has a lot of experience, great striking power, capable of changing the course of any duel with one precise hit. However, age is already beginning to take its toll, and speed and mobility are gradually fading into the background. Stirling, on the other hand, is on the rise. He is faster, fresher, feels the distance perfectly and very rarely allows rivals to impose a convenient exchange for them. It is long-distance work that can become the main factor in this confrontation. The New Zealander knows how to use his arm swing and practically does not allow unnecessary hits. Of course, Blachowicz cannot be written off. His experience of title fights and the ability to endure pressure can create serious problems for a young opponent. But if Stirling fights in a disciplined manner, does not get involved in dangerous shootouts and maintains a high tempo, he should be in control of most of the fight. We expect that the former champion will be able to hear the final siren, but the younger and faster New Zealander will be stronger in terms of the total rounds and will win the most prestigious victory of his career.

Our prediction is that Stirling will win on points in 2.02

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips14
% of profit-0.44%
Win percentage35.71%
Average coefficient1.93
Wins35.71%  (5)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses64.29%  (9)
Total tips29
% of profit-0.61%
Win percentage44.83%
Average coefficient1.76
Wins44.83%  (13)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses55.17%  (16)