LiontipsSpain - Argentina: betting tip (cf 2.30) and bets on the World Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
At the start of the World Cup, Spain allowed itself a slight misfire, drawing with Cape Verde (0-0). In the future, there were no such failures, it was possible to find approaches to the defense of any opponent. The Red Fury won their group and extended their World Cup winning streak to six matches. In general, at the moment, taking into account all the tournaments, the Spaniards are on a winless streak of 37 matches. At the World Cup, the national team conceded only one goal. For comparison, the Argentines got the ball out of the net seven times.
In the playoffs, at the start of the 1/16 finals, Luis de la Fuente's team confidently dealt with Austria, which relies on total pressure in its game (3:0). Next, the Spaniards played three matches against top opponents, achieved victories in regular time and clearly demonstrated that it was no coincidence that they reached the finals. In turn, the red Fury defeated Portugal (1-0), Belgium (2-1) and France (2-0). Oddly enough, the easiest of these matches was against the Tricolours, who created almost nothing in attack. The Spaniards themselves demonstrated a killer performance in the semifinals: two shots on target – two goals scored.
At the World Cup, Luis de la Fuente's team does not seek to own the ball at all costs. The main thing is the speed in the development of attacks. The national team actively uses the fast and technical vinaigrettes Yamal and Baena, with playmaker Rodri in charge of the game in the center of the field. Oyarzabal is good at the cutting edge of the attack, with five goals scored at the World Cup.
There were concerns about Yamal and Porro, who conducted one of the individual training sessions. However, the coaching staff noted that it was just a safety net, a precautionary measure.
Disqualifications and injuries
Munoz and Pinault are on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- In six of the seven matches at the World Cup, the Spanish national team did not concede
- In 12 of the last 13 matches, Spain's players have scored more shots on goal than their opponents.
- The referees showed more than two yellow cards in four of the Spaniards' previous five matches.
Approximate line–up: Simon – Porro, Cubarsi, Laporte, Cucurella – Olmo, Rodri, Ruiz - Yamal, Oyarzabal, Baena.
Current form
The reigning world champions, unlike their upcoming opponent, had a much more difficult path to the finals. In fact, only in the group stage did the Argentines perform flawlessly, they scored three victories over Austria, Algeria and Jordan with a total score of 8:1 and reached the playoffs from the first place in the group. Then the problems began: two of the four victories were won only in extra time.
In the 1/16 finals, there were expectations in the betting tips that Lionel Scaloni's team would deal with Cape Verde without any difficulties. Instead, I had to play extra-time (2:1). With Egypt in the 1/8 finals, the Argentines saved only at the very end, when they won back from the score 0:2 and scored three goals. Switzerland were beaten in the quarterfinals only in extra time (3:1). In the semi-final with England, they lost 0:1 until the 85th minute and again escaped in the end, taking advantage of the fact that the opponent openly began to play on hold.
The current world champion's tournament path to the playoffs raises many questions. Lionel Messi helped to achieve a positive result in almost all matches. With the British, it was his two precise broadcasts that decided the outcome of the meeting. In seven matches at the World Cup, the veteran participated in 12 of his team's 19 goals, scored eight times himself and provided four assists. There is no doubt that Messi is able to distinguish himself in the final, he is in excellent shape. At the same time, the defense is more alarming: in four games in the playoffs, the national team conceded five goals in regular time. And here the reason is not only the weak play of the defenders, but also the fact that the hero of the 2022 World Cup, goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez, stopped helping out. And it is far from a fact that only at the expense of Messi will it be possible to compensate for the uncertain game in defense.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Balerdi is on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- In each of the four matches of the national team of Argentina in the playoffs, there was an exchange of goals scored.
- Argentina's players fouled more often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
- In eight of the last nine matches, the Argentines were offside more often than their opponents.
Provisional squad: E. Martinez – Molina, Romero, L. Martinez, Tagliafico – De Paul, Paredes, Fernandez, McAllister – Messi, Alvarez.
Trends
Betting 1st half: Spain's victory
In three of the last five matches, the Spaniards won in the opening 45 minutes.
The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
In 8 of the last 11 matches of the Spanish national team, such a bet has passed
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The Spaniards have scored two goals each in the last two playoff wins.
Bet The victory of the Spanish national team on shots on target with a handicap (0)
In 11 of the last 13 matches, Spain's players have scored more shots on target than their opponents.
Tip and bets
The odds of the bookmakers fully reflect how the finalists went through the tournament bracket in the playoffs. The Spaniards finished all four matches in their favor in regular time. The Argentines experienced big problems on the way to the final, they played extra time twice. At the same time, the red fury has three victories over top rivals, Portugal, Belgium and France, clearly they have passed a real test of strength more than once.
Argentina's game largely depends on Messi, who was involved in 12 of his team's 19 goals at the World Cup. The Spaniards almost completely turned Mbappe out of the game in the semifinals, we think Luis de la Fuente will find ways to deal with another star player in the center of the field. Even if the Argentines manage to distinguish themselves through Messi's efforts, they now have too many problems in defense: defenders often make mistakes, Martinez has stopped helping out. Scaloni's team conceded five goals in the playoffs during the regular season, constantly allowing their opponents to create dangerous moments at their own goal. Spain's attack is highly effective, and it is not easy for any opponent to overcome the saturated center of the field and get to the penalty area. In general, the red fury looks more organized throughout the tournament, there are practically no weak points, there is no obvious dependence on one player. We believe that the Spaniards will be able to win in regular time today.
Our betting tip is that the Spanish national team will win by a factor of 2.30
Bet on the total
For the entire tournament, the Spaniards failed to open only the Cape Verdean defense in the first round of the group stage. Argentina, largely due to Messi's individual skill, has never left the field without scoring a goal, Lionel may well use his chance today or create an assist for his partners. We expect that there will be an exchange of goals scored in the final.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.85
Betting on corners
Matches involving the national team of Argentina do not feature a large number of corners. In the nine previous games, the Argentines had only once completed more than eight innings from the corner flag. Spain also has a trend towards a lower total in corners: in four of the previous six matches, the bet was on a total of less than 8.5. It is unlikely that anything will change in the final.
The betting tip is a total of less than 8.5 corners with a coefficient of 1.70
