Corey Sandhagen - Mario Bautista: Betting Tip (cf 2.03) and betting on the fight

UFC 329. t-mobile-arena
Cory SandhagenUSA
05.10.25
Merab Dvalishvili:Cory Sandhagen
04.05.25
Cory Sandhagen:Deiveson Figueiredo
03.08.24
Cory Sandhagen:Умар Нурмагомедов
06.08.23
Cory Sandhagen:Rob Font
26.03.23
Marlon Vera:Cory Sandhagen
18.09.22
Cory Sandhagen:Yadong Song
Марио БаутистаUSA
08.02.26
Марио Баутиста:Vinicius Oliveira
25.10.25
Умар Нурмагомедов:Марио Баутиста
08.06.25
Марио Баутиста:Patchy Mix
06.10.24
Jose Aldo:Марио Баутиста
14.01.24
Ricky Simon:Марио Баутиста
20.08.23
Da'Mon Blackshear:Марио Баутиста
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Cory Sandhagen - Марио Баутиста
The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, Corey Sandhagen, will fight Mario Bautista on July 12. The fight will take place in Las Vegas (USA). Will the American be able to succeed in a fight with his compatriot? And which bid to choose - we understand our betting tip

Command Analysis

Cory Sandhagen

Current form

Corey Sandhagen has not entered the octagon since October 2025. Then he failed to win the championship belt, losing to Merab Dvalishvili by unanimous decision of the judges. This defeat was another unsuccessful attempt to gain a foothold at the top of the division. Before that, the American dealt vividly with former champion Daveson Figueiredo, stopping his opponent with a technical knockout in the second round. Even earlier, Sandhagen lost on points to Umar Nurmagomedov in the fight for the title.

Despite several defeats in key fights, Corey remains one of the most versatile fighters in the category. During his career, the 34-year-old American has won 18 victories, eight of which were achieved by knockouts, seven by judicial decisions and three by receptions. He also has six defeats to his credit.  The Sandman ranks fourth in the ranking of its division. Sandhagen is a former Sparta Combat League champion, holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and has repeatedly received UFC bonuses for outstanding performances.

Марио Баутиста

Current form

Mario Bautista also went through a difficult period. In October 2025, he lost to Umar Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision, but then managed to quickly return to the list of contenders. In February, the American effectively defeated Vinicius Oliveira with a painful technique. At the same time, it was the meeting with Oliveira that showed how seriously Bautista had improved in the fight. In less than two rounds, he moved his opponent to the stalls five times, which was the best performance of his career. The American has 19 wins, of which three were won by knockout, seven by decision of the judges and nine by submission. With three defeats, he occupies the seventh place in the ranking of the lightest division and continues to claim the most high-profile fights.

Trends

Bet The duel won't be complete

2.52

The two fighters have 23 early victories.

Tip and bets

TipBautista's victory
2.03

This fight looks like one of the most unpredictable in the tournament. Sandhagen has long proved that he is able to compete with almost any representative of the elite of the lightest weight, but it is in championship fights that he constantly lacks something. Bautista has improved significantly in recent years, especially in the fight and control of rivals. It is this factor that can become decisive. Sandhagen's defense against takedowns has not always been flawless, and Bautista now confidently uses transfers to the stalls and competently develops success on the ground. If he manages to impose his pace and regularly turn the fight into a fight, the chances of winning will be very high.

Our prediction is that Bautista will win in 2.03

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips0
% of profit0%
Win percentage0.00%
Average coefficient0
Wins0.00%  (0)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses0.00%  (0)
Total tips29
% of profit-0.61%
Win percentage44.83%
Average coefficient1.76
Wins44.83%  (13)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses55.17%  (16)