LiontipsRafael Fiziev - Manuel Torres: betting tip (cf 1.50) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Rafael Fiziev has been in the UFC since 2019, and during this time he has managed to turn into one of the brightest strikers in the division. His fights regularly fall into the Fight of the Evening category, and his style is always a mix of Thai boxing, kicks, and signature stand—up explosiveness. Before joining the world's strongest mixed martial arts league, he was confident in the Road Fighting Championship and the Titan Fighting Championship.
Fiziev is from Azerbaijan, he trains in Phuket at the famous Tiger Muay Thai gym, where his percussion technique is brought almost to the jewelry level. In addition to world-class Thai boxing, he has a Brazilian jiu-jitsu base with a blue belt in his arsenal, which allows him to feel confident in different phases of the fight.
However, he has only one victory in the last five fights, but it is important to understand the context: all the defeats fell on elite fighters from the top of the division. The only victory in this period was over Ignacio Bahamondes by unanimous decision in June 2025 — and this is an important marker, given that Bahamondes had previously finished Manuel Torres in the first round. In his last fight in January 2026, 33-year-old Fiziev lost to Mauricio Ruffi by knockout in the second round. Overall record: 13 wins (eight by knockout, four by decision, one by submission) and five defeats. The chieftain is in the 11th position of the division.
Current form
Manuel Torres is a representative of a new generation of Mexican fighters, for whom the word early sounds like the main plan for the evening. He broke into the UFC system in 2021 through Dana White's Contender Series, where he vividly knocked out Colton Englund in the first round, immediately indicating his intentions.
Since then, Torres has posted a streak of six wins with one loss, and almost all of his successes fit into the usual scenario — a fast start and an aggressive finish. He also got the only defeat ahead of schedule from Ignacio Bahamondes, which only emphasized his style: either you survive his storm in the first round, or the evening ends too early. There have been almost no protracted fights in his professional career — only once did he stay in the cage longer than the starting segment.
Manuel defeated Grant Dawson (technical knockout) in the previous fight in December 2025, and Drew Dober (technical knockout) before that. Before that, there was that defeat from Bahamondes. The 31-year-old Mexican has 11 wins (five by knockout, one by decision, five by submission) and three defeats. Torres is ranked 15th in the division.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 19 early victories.
Tip and bets
Torres will gain advantages in size — he is taller, slightly longer and younger, which in theory can play a role in distance work. But there is a nuance in this equation that cannot be ignored: Fiziev's level of opposition. He has already been through the meat grinder of elite drummers, and each such fight leaves a mark — not only physically, but also mentally. The question is how exactly these tough fights will affect Rafael now that he has to trade again against a fighter who doesn't give him time to rock up. Torres, in turn, is going to Baku as an underdog, but with an absolutely clear strategy: to push from the first seconds, impose chaos and not allow Fiziev to catch the rhythm. And there is an important point here — the home arena factor. The support of the stands will be on the side of the Azerbaijani fighter, but at the same time it is an additional pressure that can accelerate the pace of the fight.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 1.5 rounds in 1.50
