Asu Almabaev - Charles Johnson: betting tip (cf 2.78) and bets on the fight


Command Analysis

Current form
Asu Almabayev has already accumulated decent statistics in the UFC — six wins with one loss. But this defeat was a cold shower: the fight with Manel Capet in March 2025 ended with a knockout in the third round. However, after that, the Kazakhstani quickly returned to the game and gave two confident performances. First, he methodically dismantled Jose Ochoa, taking the victory by unanimous decision. And then, in a fight with Alex Perez, he showed character: yielding during the fight, he seized the moment and strangled his opponent with a guillotine in November 2025. Almabayev is one of the best takedowns in the division, both in number and accuracy. In total, the 32-year—old fighter has 23 wins - three by knockout, ten by decision and ten by submission with three defeats.

Current form
Charles Johnson is a fighter who is really hard to read. His start in the UFC turned out to be uneven — two wins and four losses. But then a bright breakthrough followed: a series of four consecutive victories, including a resounding uppercut knockout against the reigning champion Joshua Wang. His career went on a sinusoid pattern: defeat by a decision of the judges from Ramazan Temirov, then a spectacular knockout of Loner Kavanagh, followed by a knockout defeat from Alex Perez. In March, Johnson managed to rehabilitate himself by taking a controversial but important split decision victory over Bruno Silva. His defense against transfers has noticeably tightened up, but it cannot be called ideal — the same Cody Durden once transferred him to the stalls 11 times. The 35-year-old American has 19 wins (seven by knockout, nine by decision and three by submission) and ten defeats.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 23 early victories.
Tip and bets
It all comes down to one key scenario: whether Almabayev will be able to turn the fight into his element. If the fight starts from the first minutes, Johnson will have to literally survive on canvas. And this is very dangerous territory for him. But as soon as he stays on his feet, the fight begins to play with completely different colors. Johnson has heavy hands and the ability to seize the moment when an opponent bends with pressure. He has proven more than once that he is able to turn off the lights to anyone, even if the whole fight is against him.
Our betting tip is Johnson's victory in 2.78














