LiontipsFreiburg - Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 3.50) and bets on the Europa League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Freiburg has been performing most successfully on its own field for several seasons. This time, it was the factor of the home arena that helped to get to the Europa League final in many ways. At the general stage, the Brazilians from Breisgau won all their home matches and were able to get a ticket to the 1/8 finals at once.
In the playoffs, Julian Schuster's team played flawlessly at Europa Park, scoring victories over Genk (5:1), Celta (3:0) and Braga (3:1). On the road, Freiburg does not even have such indicators: the only victory in the playoffs was only over Celta with a score of 3:1. Today we have to play in Istanbul, this moment cannot but be alarming. Moreover, right now the team is heading for a series of three away defeats in a row, taking into account all tournaments. It is also worth adding an away defeat with a score of 1:2 in extra time from Stuttgart in the semi-finals of the German Cup.
Freiburg does not have enough squad depth to be equally successful in all tournaments. It deserves respect that Julian Schuster and his team avoided a complete failure. In the German Cup, reaching the semifinals can be counted as an asset. The final seventh place in the Bundesliga in the face of fierce competition and a busy schedule is also not a complete failure. Moreover, they managed to finish on the seventh line and get a ticket to the Conference League thanks to a confident home victory in the final round over unmotivated Leipzig (4:1). Today, there is a chance, if you win, to get a ticket to the Champions League for next season, which will be a huge success for a modest club.
Disqualifications and injuries
Freiburg has only Suzuki in the infirmary.
Interesting betting trends
- In nine consecutive matches, Freiburg conceded
- In eight of the previous nine matches, Freiburg had not lost by offside
- At least two goals have been scored in the first half in the last three matches against Freiburg.
The approximate line-up: Atubolu – Kubler, Ginter, Linhart, Troy – Eggestein, Hoefler – Beste, Manzambi, Grifo – Matanovic.
Current form
Unai Emery has won the Europa League four times in his long coaching career, three times with Sevilla and once with Villarreal. Next up is a possible triumph with Aston Villa, and today the Spanish specialist has a minimum advantage in experience.
At the League Stage, Birmingham scored seven wins in eight rounds, finished second, only losing the first place to Lyon in terms of additional indicators. Aston Villa had a very difficult grid in the playoffs, and Emery's experience had a lot to do with it. We managed to pass through Lille, Bologna and Nottingham Forest in turn. In six playoff matches, the lions scored five wins, the only defeat was away from the foresters with a minimum score of 0.:1. Then, in the semi-finals, Aston Villa won back confidently (4-0) in the second leg. As you can see, unlike Freiburg, Birmingham did not have any serious problems in other arenas.
The only thing at stake for Aston Villa today is the Europa League title. Following the results of the last round in the Premier League, Unai Emery's team secured a ticket to the Champions League for next season. Moreover, it was possible to do this thanks to a confident victory over Liverpool with a score of 4:2. Emery obviously brought his players to Istanbul in excellent playing tone: he has a winless streak of three matches in which at least two goals were scored. True, a 2-2 draw with Burnley is definitely not an asset, but just after that there was a victory over Liverpool.
Disqualifications and injuries
Onana, Kamara, Elliott and Alisson are injured and will not play today, while Buendfa is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Aston Villa have 12 wins in 14 Europa League matches this season.
- In seven of Aston Villa's previous nine matches, there were more than eight shots on target.
- In four consecutive matches with the Birmingham team, more than two goals were scored.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Consa, Torres, Digne – Lindelof, Thielemans – McGinn, Rogers, Sancho – Watkins.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 1:3
Aston Villa have scored four of their last six wins with a two-goal advantage.
Aston Villa's CornerBet
In six of the last seven matches, Freiburg has lost on corners.
Aston Villa's Winning Goalrate
Freiburg's players scored fewer shots on goal than their opponents in six of the previous seven matches.
Bet Goals in both halves - yes
Stavka has played in four consecutive matches with Aston Villa
Tip and bets
In the Europa League final, according to the odds of the bookmakers, you should not expect much intrigue. Aston Villa is the clear favorite. This is a case where it is difficult to find serious arguments in favor of the underdog.
According to the playoff standings, Birmingham have passed a real test of strength more than once, beating Lille, Bologna and Nottingham Forest in turn. Moreover, there were no tangible problems on the road. Freiburg, on the other hand, has proven itself to be a typical home team in both the Bundesliga and the Europa League, and today they will play on a neutral field in Istanbul, which for Julian Schuster's players is equivalent to an exit.
In decisive matches, experience often comes to the fore. Aston Villa also has a significant advantage here, because Emery has four Europa League trophies under his belt. Plus, Birmingham are approaching the finals in solid playing tone on a three-match winless streak in which they scored ten goals.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 1.72
Bet on the total
Aston Villa improved a lot in attack at the end of the season, they managed to score ten goals in the last three matches alone. Unai Emery's players are unlikely to play defensively in Istanbul today. Freiburg is also capable of responding, having played five matches in a row, taking into account all the tournaments in which it was possible to hit the opponent's goal. We expect that there will be an exchange of goals scored in the final.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 2.03
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Birmingham have scored six of their last seven wins, taking into account all tournaments, with an advantage of more than one goal. As you can see, Aston Villa have no problems attacking at the end of the season, as evidenced by the ten goals scored in the previous three matches. We expect in the betting tip that the lions will take a comfortable victory in regular time with an advantage of two or three goals.
The betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by two or three goals with a coefficient of 3.50
