Arsenal vs Burnley: betting tip (cf 4.40) and bets on the Premier League match

Command Analysis

Current form
With two rounds to go, Arsenal have a two-point advantage over Manchester City. It's enough to win against Burnley today and beat Crystal Palace in the final round to become champions, no matter how the citizens play. The task, at first glance, is not the most difficult, but in recent years, more than once it was at the finish line that the Londoners slowed down and could not take the decisive step towards the long-awaited title.
This time, there is no talk of any recession at the finish line. After losing to Manchester City in April (1-2), Mikel Arteta's team scored a series of three Premier League wins without conceding a single goal. The rivals were Newcastle (1-0), Fulham (0-3) and West Ham (0:1). The Hammers were lucky in many ways, as they equalized the score at the very end, but a controversial decision was made to cancel the goal. Nevertheless, it should be noted that now we see the most pragmatic Arsenal, which is distinguished by its reliability in defense and clearly uses its chances ahead. Taking into account the two semi-final matches with Atletico, the Gunners have conceded only one goal in the previous five matches.
In addition to the possible Premier League title, Arsenal has a chance to win the Champions League. In the semifinals, the Londoners defeated Atletico (1-1 and 1-0). Ahead of the final with PSG in Budapest on May 30.
Disqualifications and injuries
Arsenal's injured list includes Merino, Timber and White. Calafiori's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In five of the last six matches, Arsenal's players have been offside more often than their opponents.
- Arsenal have not conceded in three consecutive matches.
- On their own field, taking into account all the tournaments, the Gunners scored three consecutive wins without conceding goals.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Mosquera, Saliba, Gabriel, Inkapier- Lewis–Skelly, Rice – Saka, Eze, Trossard - Diekeres.

Current form
Burnley continues to move between the Premier League and the Championship. Even at the beginning of the season, literally after several opening matches, it was noticeable that the Maroon, with their purely defensive football, were not ready to compete at the Premier League level. As a result, the defense began to fail regularly, and we now see 73 goals conceded (the worst figure among all clubs). It is not possible to compensate for such failures by attacking.
There was a change of coach at the end of the season, but Michael Jackson didn't make any improvements. Of the positive aspects, we can only mention the draw in the last round with Aston Villa (2:2), where the opponent did not realize many chances, scored 18 shots on goal, seven of them on target. Before that, Burnley had a streak of five defeats in a row, and in four cases with a difference of more than one goal.
The maroon ones have long since lost even their theoretical chances of retaining their residence permit. The only intrigue they have is to keep the penultimate place for themselves. In the final round, we will have to play just with Wolverhampton, who are last with a two-point gap.
Disqualifications and injuries
Beyer, Cullen and Roberts are injured, and Medjbri is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Burnley have suffered four consecutive defeats in the Premier League on the road.
- In three of the last five matches, the Maroon lost to their rivals in the first half.
- In the previous three head-to-head matches, Burnley lost to Arsenal.
Approximate line–up: Weiss – Walker, Esteve, Tuanzebe, Ekdal, Pires - Tchauna, Florentino, Ugochukwu, Anthony – Flemming.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statistics

Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:0
Arsenal have scored their last three home wins with a "dry" score.
Arsenal's Offside Winrate
In five of the last six matches, Arsenal's players have been offside more often than their opponents.
Bet 1 half: Arsenal win
In three of the last five matches, the Maroon lost in the first half.
Bet Goals in both halves - yes
Stavka has played in four of Burnley's last five matches
Tip and bets
In the last round, Burnley sensationally took away points from Aston Villa, but it's not worth overestimating that draw. The Maroons played at home, the Birmingham players allowed too much at their gates. It's definitely not possible to count on Emirates to land 15 shots on goal. Arsenal is once again distinguished by its pragmatic approach at the end of the season, allowing opponents to create almost nothing at their gates. It is no coincidence that the Gunners have scored their last three wins in the Premier League.
There is no reason to hope that Burnley's defense will cope with Arsenal's constant onslaught. Maroon conceded 73 goals, the worst record in the Premier League. With regular defensive lapses, it will be difficult to avoid a major defeat in London, especially given that the motivation of the players has been gone for a long time.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-2.5) by a factor of 1.76
Bet on the total
Arsenal have scored three consecutive wins in the Premier League without conceding a single goal. The Gunners have only conceded 11 goals in 18 matches since the start of the season. We believe that the Londoners will achieve another dry victory today. Let's remind, in the first round on the road in a face-to-face match they won with the score 2:0.
The second bet is that Burnley will not score with a coefficient of 1.60
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The Gunners have no right to make mistakes, it is important for them to win the two remaining rounds in order to finally win the gold awards. Burnley is the outsider in the competition today, and they have a lot of problems defensively. We believe that Arsenal is capable of achieving a comfortable victory with a three-goal advantage.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a three-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.40


























