Arsenal vs Burnley: betting tip (cf 4.40) and bets on the Premier League match

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ArsenalEngland
BurnleyEngland
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Arsenal - Burnley
Arsenal will play Burnley in the 37th round of the English Premier League on May 18. The Gunners have only two victories left to win the gold medals. The Maroon are playing out a disastrous season, they failed to gain a foothold in the Premier League, and they are playing in the Championship again. Will the Londoners be able to form a confident victory in class today, which will bring them closer to the championship? - the answer is in our betting tip. What bets should I choose for the game?

Command Analysis

Arsenal

Current form

With two rounds to go, Arsenal have a two-point advantage over Manchester City. It's enough to win against Burnley today and beat Crystal Palace in the final round to become champions, no matter how the citizens play. The task, at first glance, is not the most difficult, but in recent years, more than once it was at the finish line that the Londoners slowed down and could not take the decisive step towards the long-awaited title.

This time, there is no talk of any recession at the finish line. After losing to Manchester City in April (1-2), Mikel Arteta's team scored a series of three Premier League wins without conceding a single goal. The rivals were Newcastle (1-0), Fulham (0-3) and West Ham (0:1). The Hammers were lucky in many ways, as they equalized the score at the very end, but a controversial decision was made to cancel the goal. Nevertheless, it should be noted that now we see the most pragmatic Arsenal, which is distinguished by its reliability in defense and clearly uses its chances ahead. Taking into account the two semi-final matches with Atletico, the Gunners have conceded only one goal in the previous five matches.

In addition to the possible Premier League title, Arsenal has a chance to win the Champions League. In the semifinals, the Londoners defeated Atletico (1-1 and 1-0). Ahead of the final with PSG in Budapest on May 30.

Disqualifications and injuries

Arsenal's injured list includes Merino, Timber and White. Calafiori's entry into the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In five of the last six matches, Arsenal's players have been offside more often than their opponents.
  • Arsenal have not conceded in three consecutive matches.
  • On their own field, taking into account all the tournaments, the Gunners scored three consecutive wins without conceding goals.

Approximate line–up: Raya – Mosquera, Saliba, Gabriel, Inkapier- Lewis–Skelly, Rice – Saka, Eze, Trossard - Diekeres.

Burnley

Current form

Burnley continues to move between the Premier League and the Championship. Even at the beginning of the season, literally after several opening matches, it was noticeable that the Maroon, with their purely defensive football, were not ready to compete at the Premier League level. As a result, the defense began to fail regularly, and we now see 73 goals conceded (the worst figure among all clubs). It is not possible to compensate for such failures by attacking.

There was a change of coach at the end of the season, but Michael Jackson didn't make any improvements. Of the positive aspects, we can only mention the draw in the last round with Aston Villa (2:2), where the opponent did not realize many chances, scored 18 shots on goal, seven of them on target. Before that, Burnley had a streak of five defeats in a row, and in four cases with a difference of more than one goal.

The maroon ones have long since lost even their theoretical chances of retaining their residence permit. The only intrigue they have is to keep the penultimate place for themselves. In the final round, we will have to play just with Wolverhampton, who are last with a two-point gap.

Disqualifications and injuries

Beyer, Cullen and Roberts are injured, and Medjbri is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • Burnley have suffered four consecutive defeats in the Premier League on the road.
  • In three of the last five matches, the Maroon lost to their rivals in the first half.
  • In the previous three head-to-head matches, Burnley lost to Arsenal.

Approximate line–up: Weiss – Walker, Esteve, Tuanzebe, Ekdal, Pires - Tchauna, Florentino, Ugochukwu, Anthony – Flemming.

xG Expected goals
Arsenal
1.69xG per Match1.61
Burnley

Trends

The bet is an accurate score of 3:0

6.50

Arsenal have scored their last three home wins with a "dry" score.

Arsenal's Offside Winrate

2.25

In five of the last six matches, Arsenal's players have been offside more often than their opponents.

Bet 1 half: Arsenal win

1.35

In three of the last five matches, the Maroon lost in the first half.

Bet Goals in both halves - yes

1.32

Stavka has played in four of Burnley's last five matches

Tip and bets

TipArsenal with a head start (-2.5)
1.76

In the last round, Burnley sensationally took away points from Aston Villa, but it's not worth overestimating that draw. The Maroons played at home, the Birmingham players allowed too much at their gates. It's definitely not possible to count on Emirates to land 15 shots on goal. Arsenal is once again distinguished by its pragmatic approach at the end of the season, allowing opponents to create almost nothing at their gates. It is no coincidence that the Gunners have scored their last three wins in the Premier League.

There is no reason to hope that Burnley's defense will cope with Arsenal's constant onslaught. Maroon conceded 73 goals, the worst record in the Premier League. With regular defensive lapses, it will be difficult to avoid a major defeat in London, especially given that the motivation of the players has been gone for a long time.

Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-2.5) by a factor of 1.76

Did you like the tips?
TipBurnley won't score
1.60

Bet on the total

Arsenal have scored three consecutive wins in the Premier League without conceding a single goal. The Gunners have only conceded 11 goals in 18 matches since the start of the season. We believe that the Londoners will achieve another dry victory today. Let's remind, in the first round on the road in a face-to-face match they won with the score 2:0.

The second bet is that Burnley will not score with a coefficient of 1.60

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

The Gunners have no right to make mistakes, it is important for them to win the two remaining rounds in order to finally win the gold awards. Burnley is the outsider in the competition today, and they have a lot of problems defensively. We believe that Arsenal is capable of achieving a comfortable victory with a three-goal advantage.

Prediction – Arsenal win with a three-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.40

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips11
% of profit4.95%
Win percentage81.82%
Average coefficient1.94
Wins81.82%  (9)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses18.18%  (2)
Total tips224
% of profit11.34%
Win percentage46.43%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins46.43%  (104)
Refunds8.04%  (18)
Loses45.54%  (102)