Malcolm Wellmaker - Juana Diaz: betting tip (kef 1.82) and bets on the fight

UFC Fight Night 276. ufc-apex
Malcolm WellmakerUSA
Juan DiazPeru
dmitrij-budanov
Dmitriy Budanov
Site expert
30 days+15=1-7
ROI+0.8%
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Malcolm Wellmaker - Juan Diaz
Malcolm Wellmaker, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, will face Juan Diaz on May 17. The fight will take place in Las Vegas (USA). Will the American be able to succeed in a fight with a fighter from Peru? And what kind of bet to choose before this confrontation - we understand the betting tip

Command Analysis

Malcolm Wellmaker

Current form

Malcolm Wellmaker is approaching this fight after a pause and the first defeat of his career, which he suffered in November 2025 from Ethin Ewing, who came out on short notice. At the time, it looked like a bolt from the blue, but time puts the emphasis differently — Ewing is already perceived as a top-level fighter in the lightest division. For Wellmaker, this was not just a defeat, but a moment of reset: the series of 11 victories ended, and now he needs to prove his status anew. The 31-year-old American has ten wins: eight by knockout, one by decision, and one by submission. After his success in the Conflict MMA promotion, he quickly found himself in the UFC, where he began the path to a more serious level of opposition.

Juan Diaz

Current form

Juan Diaz, on the other hand, is on the rise and enters this fight with a sense of momentum. In October 2025, he vividly declared himself at the Contender Series, winning a spectacular victory with a roundhouse elbow over Won Kwon. Diaz often fights with his arms low and sometimes relies too much on courage, forgetting about protecting his head. In 2023, he became the Lux Fight League champion, defended the belt twice and received a contract with the UFC in 2025. He has 12 wins (three by knockout, seven by decision, two by submission) and two defeats. 

Tip and bets

TipTotal 2.5 rounds less
1.82

This fight is a classic story about distance and the moment. If the Wellmaker catches the timing, he is able to finish everything with one clean hit. His striking power is the main argument, and it's what makes him dangerous at any second of the fight. But if the initiative goes to Diaz, the scenario may change dramatically: the Peruvian likes to move the fight to the stalls, control and break the pace. And Wellmaker already had questions about defending against takedowns — they were revealed by Ewing, and Diaz is quite capable of playing the same scenario. There is no long chess game here. There are too many different rhythms, too much risk in each exchange. 

Our betting tip is a total of 2.5 rounds in less than 1.82

Will the prediction win?

Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips0
% of profit0%
Win percentage0.00%
Average coefficient0
Wins0.00%  (0)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses0.00%  (0)
Total tips21
% of profit0.68%
Win percentage57.14%
Average coefficient2.32
Wins57.14%  (12)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses42.86%  (9)
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