LiontipsChelsea vs Manchester City: betting tip (cf 3.30) and bets on the FA Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea is failing at the end of the season. Not a single win in the last seven matches in the Premier League, ninth place in the table two rounds before the finish, four points behind the European Cup top seven. Liam Rosenor's resignation was not an immediate salvation. Under the leadership of acting head coach Calum MacFarlane, there was no breakthrough, of the positive aspects, only the away draw with Liverpool (1-1) in the last round of the Premier League can be noted. The upcoming FA Cup final is almost the only chance for Londoners to save the season and get a ticket to the Europa League.
We were very lucky in the tournament bracket in the Chelsea Cup. Before the semi-finals, there was not a single representative of the Premier League in the competition. Just one step away from the final, we played against Leeds, achieving a difficult victory with a minimum score of 1:0. Before that, there were victories over Charlton (1:5), Hull (0:4) and Wrexham (2:4 in extra time).
Today, Chelsea actually have their first real test of strength in the FA Cup. And here it should be noted two points that definitely do not speak in favor of the blues. Firstly, in the last 13 face-to-face meetings, the aristocrats have not beaten Manchester City. Secondly, Chelsea have lost six consecutive finals in the FA Cup and the League Cup.
Disqualifications and injuries
Estevao, Gittens and Derry will not play in the final today due to injuries, Sanchez, Neto and Garnacho are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches involving Chelsea, there has been no goal exchange.
- In five of the previous seven matches, Chelsea won by offside handicaps (-1.5)
- Chelsea have lost in the first half in three of their last five matches.
Approximate composition: Jorgensen – Gusteau, Chalobah, Colville, Hato–Lavia, Caicedo–Palmer, Fernandez, Cucurella – Joao Pedro.
Current form
Manchester City already has the League Cup trophy this season, beating Arsenal 2-0 in the final. Two rounds before the finish of the Premier League, the townspeople still have a chance of winning the championship, but not everything depends on them, as they are two points behind the Gunners. The situation could have been better, but in the 35th round there was an unnecessary loss of points with Everton (3-3). This draw was the only one in the previous nine matches in all competitions, the remaining eight games were won by the wards of Josep Guardiola. This is not the first season that the Spanish specialist has demonstrated his ability to get the most out of the team just at the finish line, when the moment of truth arrives.
The draw with Everton did not unsettle Manchester City. In the next two rounds in the Premier League, the townspeople left no chance for Brentford and Crystal Palace on their own field, they scored two wins with the same score 3:0. The attacking line led by Holland is second to none and does not slow down at the finish of the season. In four consecutive matches, taking into account all tournaments, the team scored at least two goals. In the Premier League, Manchester City has scored 75 goals, which is absolutely the best indicator among all participants. By comparison, Arsenal scored only 68 goals.
In the FA Cup, the citizens had a difficult path on their way to the final, in two of the five matches they had to play with representatives of the Premier League. However, this did not become a big problem. We managed to beat both Newcastle (3:1) and Liverpool (4:0) confidently. Manchester City defeated Southampton 2-1 in the semi-finals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Manchester City have scored three goals in three consecutive matches.
- In the previous seven matches, the townspeople lost to their rivals on the sidelines.
- There has been no goal exchange in three of Manchester City's last five matches.
Approximate composition: Trafford – Nunez, Husanov, Gahey, O'Reilly – Silva, Gonzalez – Semenyo, Sherki, Doku – Holland.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 0:3
Manchester City have scored their last two wins with this score
Bet Chelsea Victory on offsides with a handicap (-1.5)
In five of Chelsea's last seven matches, such a bet has played
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In three of the last five face-to-face meetings, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
Manchester City's Corner WinRate
In 13 of the previous 14 matches, Manchester City took more corners than their opponents.
Tip and bets
A lot of things in the upcoming final speak in favor of Manchester City, and Guardiola's team is deservedly the favorite among the bookmakers. The townspeople are successfully playing against Chelsea, they have won seven times in only ten previous face-to-face matches, including in the last match in the Premier League they won 3-0 at Stamford Bridge without any problems. There is no question of any decline in the game at Manchester City, in the last nine games, taking into account all tournaments, they have won eight, lost points only with Everton.
Chelsea has been on the decline for a long time, Rosenor's resignation was not a salvation. In the Aristocrats Cup, they reached the finals on a very light tournament grid, and it is difficult to assess their real capabilities against opponents who are noticeably inferior in class. Today we have to somehow neutralize the powerful attack of the townspeople, who in the previous three matches consistently scored three goals against their opponents. It doesn't look at all like Londoners are capable of handling such a task right now. We also remember Chelsea's regular failures in the cup finals: six defeats in a row. We are not waiting for a sensation at Wembley and are betting on the victory of Manchester City in regular time.
Our betting tip is that Manchester City will win by a factor of 1.70
Bet on the total
Manchester City's attack has not slowed down at the end of the season. In the last three matches, the townspeople scored at least two goals. Plus, we've scored at least two goals in four previous face-to-face wins over Chelsea. Chelsea's defense has not been an insurmountable obstacle for a long time, we do not think that Gavardiola's wards will have difficulty hitting the aristocrats' goal two or three times today.
The second bet is the individual total of Manchester City goals over two with a coefficient of 2.24
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Manchester City has eight wins in the previous nine matches, taking into account all tournaments. On five occasions during this period, it was possible to win with an advantage of more than one goal. We expect that in the FA Cup final, the townspeople will get a comfortable victory with a handicap of two or three goals.
The betting tip is for Manchester City to win by two or three goals with a coefficient of 3.30
