LiontipsAston Villa vs Liverpool: betting tip (cf 2.90) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Aston Villa are clearly running out of energy at the end of the season. They only manage to keep a high level in the Europa League, where Birmingham beat Nottingham Forest in the semifinals (0:1 and 4:0) and will fight for the title with Freiburg on Wednesday in Istanbul. There's not much going on in the Premier League: there's only one 4-3 win over lowly Sunderland in five rounds.
Due to recent setbacks, Aston Villa has not yet guaranteed itself a place in the top 5 and, consequently, a ticket to the Champions League for next season. The Lions are fifth with two rounds to go, four points ahead of Bournemouth from sixth place. At the same time, they will have to play in the final two rounds with Liverpool and Manchester City. However, Unai Emery's players still have an option to win the Europa League and thereby get the coveted ticket to the Champions League.
The match of the last round on the road against Burnley, which has already been eliminated from the Premier League, speaks about how bad everything is in the Aston Villa camp now. Birmingham could not defeat the outsider (2:2), and allowed the Maroon to land 15 shots on goal (six of them on target). Undoubtedly, today's hopes are linked to the factor of the home field, where the lions traditionally perform strongly. But at the end of the season and at Villa Park, not everything works out: only in the four previous home matches there were defeats from Chelsea (1:4) and Tottenham (1:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Kamara, Alisson and Onana will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- There has been no goal exchange in three of Aston Villa's last five matches.
- Aston Villa players were offside less often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
- Birmingham have four first-half wins in their last five matches.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Konsa, Mings, Maatsen–Lindelof, Barkley–McGinn, Thielemans, Rogers–Watkins.
Current form
Liverpool have the same 59 points in the asset as Aston Villa two rounds before the finish, but the Merseysiders are higher, in fourth place, ahead of Birmingham in additional indicators. In April, the Reds had a solid three-match winning streak in the Premier League, but they couldn't keep up such a high scoring pace.
First, Arne Slot's team lost to Manchester United with a score of 2:3, after which they could not beat Chelsea at home (1:1), which has been in serious decline for a long time. In these matches, the defense was constantly failing. The Red Devils clearly used their chances on the counterattack, and the Aristocrats were close to winning, but Palmer's goal was canceled due to offside.
Obviously, no matter where Liverpool finishes, the team cannot take advantage of the season. Initially, there was a bet on the battle for titles in all the tournaments where the Reds participate, they have decently strengthened the already weakest squad. However, it did not work out to meet expectations, the Merseysiders did not win the title in any of the tournaments. Against the background of the top players, Arne Slot's team looked frankly weak. This was most clearly demonstrated by two defeats in the quarter-finals of the Champions League from PSG with the same score 0:2.
Disqualifications and injuries
Endo, Bradley, Leonie, Bajcetic and Ekitike will not play due to injuries. The appearance of Alisson, Salah and Konate is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of Liverpool's last nine matches, there have been more than nine shots on target.
- In four consecutive matches with Liverpool, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- In 17 previous head-to-head matches, Liverpool have beaten Aston Villa 13 times.
The approximate line-up: Mamardashvili – Jones, van Dijk, Gomez, Robertson – Gravenberch, McAllister – Frimpong, Soboslai, Gakpo – Isak.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The exact score is 1:2
Aston Villa suffered the last three defeats with a minimal difference in the score.
The rate of Total shots on target is more than 8.5
In 12 of Liverpool's last 15 matches, such a bet played
Bet 1st half: total more than 1.5 goals
In three of the last five face-to-face meetings, more than one goal was scored in the first half.
The Total cornerbetis less than 10.5
This bet has been played in five consecutive matches with Aston Villa
Tip and bets
Aston Villa and Liverpool are having a poor end-of-season in the Premier League, and it's not easy to give preference to either of them when choosing a bet. Birmingham have the home field factor on their side, but lately they have been failing more and more often at Villa Park, having failed to beat Chelsea and Tottenham at home only in the previous four matches. The Merseysiders do not impress with their performance and results against top opponents, they often allow themselves to fail defensively, but in general, their recent performance is better than that of the lions.
An important point when choosing an outcome bet is the history of face–to-face confrontations. Liverpool have 13 wins in their last 17 face-to-face meetings. It's hard to call these statistics random. Since 2020, the Birmingham team has not beaten the Merseysiders. We believe that the visitors will have a better chance of three points today.
Our prediction is that Liverpool will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 1.72
Bet on the total
Liverpool is not the best in defense, but the attack, given the excellent selection of performers, is always ready to prove itself. So, in the Premier League, the Merseysiders invariably scored goals in five rounds in a row, and in four cases they did it more than once, only they failed to score at least two goals against Chelsea. Aston Villa cannot boast of a reliable defensive game at the end of the season, Burnley scored two goals against the lions and had many chances. We expect Liverpool to score at least two goals in the betting tip.
The second bet is Liverpool's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.86
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The Merseysiders are playing successfully against Aston Villa, having won seven times in the previous ten face-to-face meetings. It should be noted that six of these victories were achieved with an advantage of one or two goals. We expect Liverpool to win with the same handicap this time.
The betting tip is a Liverpool victory with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 2.90
