Burnley will play Aston Villa in the 36th round of the Premier League on May 10. The Maroon ones are already preparing to compete in the Championship. Birmingham have made it to the Europa League final, but they have not yet secured a place in the top 5 in the Premier League, having suffered two defeats in a row. Will the lions be able to beat the underdog today? - you can find out about this from our betting tip. Should I bet on a favorite?
Command Analysis
Burnley
Current form
Burnley couldn't stand the competition in the Premier League and is heading back to the Championship. The Maroon players relied on their usual defensive football, playing second, but it had a positive effect. We conceded 71 goals in 35 rounds, which is the worst result in the Premier League. There was a change of coach at the end of the season, but there was no breakthrough under Michael Jackson's leadership. Burnley's losing streak currently totals five matches. In the last round, Leeds failed to do anything on the road (1:3).
Disqualifications and injuries
Burnley has Beyer, Cullen and Roberts on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last four matches, Burnley players have been offside more often than their opponents.
The Maroon had lost in the first half in three of the previous four matches.
Aston Villa successfully completed the task of reaching the Europa League final this week. In the second leg against Nottingham Forest, they managed to confidently win with a score of 4:0. Now it is important to break the series of two defeats in the Premier League, as there is a risk of being outside the top 5. Birmingham are coming into the match in fifth place, but only three points ahead of Bournemouth, who have already played their match in this round. In the previous two matches, the lions lost to Fulham on the road with a minimum score of 0:1 and failed to cope with Tottenham at home (1:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
He is still out of the game due to injuries to Kamara and Onan.
Interesting betting trends
Aston Villa have beaten Burnley in three previous face-to-face meetings.
There has been no goal exchange in three of Aston Villa's last five matches.
Burnley is finishing the season, the change of coach has not led to a breakthrough, the series of defeats has now reached the five-match mark. Aston Villa qualified for the Europa League final, but in the Premier League they have two defeats in a row, there is a risk of losing fifth place, which gives them the right to play in the Champions League next season. Clearly, the people of Birmingham today are betting on winning the game with an outright outsider. In the previous three face-to-face meetings, the lions beat the maroons, which we expect from them today, and with a margin of several goals, given the constant defensive failures at Burnley.
Our prediction is that Aston Villa will win with an Asian handicap (-1) by a factor of 2.10
Burnley have conceded 71 goals since the start of the season, the worst total of any club in the Premier League. The Maroons have five defeats in a row, and in four cases they conceded more than one goal. We believe that Aston Villa will have no problem hitting the opponent's goal several times today.
The second bet is Aston Villa's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.72
Betting on corners
Matches involving Aston Villa do not have high corner scores. So, in the four previous Birmingham matches, more than 10 corners were not recorded. Based on this trend, we recommend another option for betting.
The betting tip is that the total number of corners is less than 10.5 with a coefficient of 1.55
In six of the seven previous matches involving Burnley, such a bet played
Betting1st half: Aston Villa victory
2.15
In the previous three face-to-face matches, Aston Villa won in the first half.
The bet is an accurate score of 1:3
13.00
This score was recorded in two of the last five face-to-face matches.
About the match
Burnley and Aston Villa went their separate ways in a Premier League match at Turf Moor. Jaydon Anthony and Zian Flemming scored for the hosts. Ross Barkley and Ollie Watkins scored for the guests.
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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