In the 36th round of the English Premier League on May 9, Manchester City will play against Brentford. The townspeople lost points with Everton in the previous round and now Arsenal have the advantage in the race for the title. Will Josep Guardiola's men be able to win today and get within two points of the Gunners? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose reliable bets for the upcoming game
Command Analysis
Manchester City
Current form
Manchester City caught up with Arsenal in terms of points scored, but a draw in the last round with Everton again gave the Gunners an advantage in the title race. Now the difference between the leaders is five points in favor of the Londoners, but the townspeople played one less match. A victory today will allow Josep Guardiola's players to get within two points of Arsenal. With the toffees, the score was 1-0 in favor of Manchester City after the first half, but after the break, the opponent seized the initiative and scored three goals in a row. Only in the end, the townspeople pulled out a draw (3-3), Doku scored the third goal in the 97th minute.
Disqualifications and injuries
Guardiola and Diaz will not play due to injuries, Rodri is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In seven of the previous eight matches, Manchester City players were offside less often than their opponents.
Manchester City have won three matches in a row, taking into account all the tournaments.
Brentford continues to fight for European Cup places. By the start of round 36, the Londoners are in seventh place, which gives them the right to play in the Conference League, but they are only one point ahead of Brighton. The Bees had a streak of five consecutive draws in the Premier League. However, in the last two rounds, Keith Andrews' team first lost on the road to Manchester United (1:2), and then a 3-0 home victory over West Ham was issued. It should be noted that Brentford has not won the last three matches in the Premier League on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Milambo, Carvalho and Henry will not play due to injuries, Henderson is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three of Brentford's last five matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
In three of the previous four matches, Brentford players fouled less often than their opponents.
Approximate line-up: Kelleher – Kayode, van den Berg, Collins, Lewis-Potter – Jarmolyuk, Jensen – Ouattara, Damsgaard, Schade – Tiago.
Manchester City does not have the right to have a second consecutive misfire today. The citizens have not only an advantage in class, but also an important factor of the home field. At the Etihad in the Premier League, Josep Guardiola's men have won 12 of 16 matches since the start of the season, and in nine cases with an advantage of more than one goal. Brentford is not stable, it cannot be said that it is at the peak of its form, has won only one victory in the previous seven rounds and is unlikely to be ready to take points away from the extremely motivated Manchester City.
Our prediction is that Manchester City will win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) by a factor of 1.92
It is unlikely that Brentford will risk playing open soccer with Manchester City on the road. It is highly likely that Londoners will rely on defense, which can be seen all the time in personal meetings. In the previous five head-to-head matches, only once more than three goals were scored. We believe that the expectations of the abundance of goals scored are too high in the line of bookmakers.
The second bet is a total of less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.86
A bet on yellow cards
Brentford's players are not known for being rude, and the team has lost seven of the previous nine matches on yellow cards. We think there is some discrepancy in this indicator in the bookmakers' line.
Prediction – Manchester City will not lose on yellow cards with a coefficient of 1.90
This bet was successful in the previous five matches involving Manchester City
BetGoals in both halves – no
2.07
In four of the last five face-to-face matches, goals have not been scored in each of the halves.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
8.70
Manchester City have won five of their last eight home games by more than one goal.
About the match
Manchester City beat Brentford 3-0 at the Etihad. Jeremy Doku scored the first goal in the 60th minute. Then Erling Holand and Omar Marmoush consolidated the advantage of the hosts.
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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