Lokomotiv - Avangard: betting tip (cf 1.77) and bets on the KHL match

KHL Playoff. arena-2000-jaroslavl
Lokomotiv YaroslavlRussian Federation
Avangard OmskRussian Federation
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Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk
Yaroslavl Arena 2000 will host the most important match of the season on May 6. In the decisive seventh game of the Gagarin Cup semifinal series, Lokomotiv hosts Omsk Avangard. For the third year in a row, these teams are playing a full-scale cup series to identify the strongest. After the success of Lokomotiv in the thriller match in Omsk (3:2, O2), the opponents had three wins, two of which were won in away games, the scoring balance was also equal - 14:14. The tension reached its limit, and the game in Yaroslavl will name Ak Bars' opponent in the cup final. What is the current status of the participants? Whose chances are higher? An expert's betting tip will help you figure this out

Command Analysis

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Current form

Having won a convincing dry victory at home in the fifth game (4-0), Yaroslavl made it clear that it was too early to write them off in the fight for the cup. In the sixth match, in which the fate of the series could be decided, Lokomotiv had no right to make mistakes, it was satisfied only with victory, in case of defeat the team ended the season without medals. From the very beginning of the match, the Yaroslavl team tried to act as actively as possible, spending a lot of time in the home zone (in the first two periods – ten minutes against six for the hosts), but the competent and confident actions of the hosts neutralized all threats to their goal, and goalkeeper Nikita Serebryakov did not make mistakes. Moreover, Omsk opened an account in the first period, and at the very beginning of the second they realized a numerical advantage. The pressure of the Locomotive did not bring results, and a minute before the end of the third period, it seemed that the outcome of the match and the entire series in favor of Avangard was beyond doubt. However, two shots by Maxim Shalunov from Alexander Radulov's passes – the first 33 seconds before the final siren, and the second 11 seconds later – sent the game into extra time.

In the middle of the second overtime, Rushan Rafikov's long-range shot reached the goal, which set the final score 3:2, 3-2 in favor of Lokomotiv. Having made such a fantastic comeback in Omsk, Yaroslavl repeated the plot of the two previous cup series between the same rivals in the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 seasons, when, leading 3-1 after four games, they allowed the hawks to even the score in the series and extend it to the seventh game. In the current draw, the railway workers themselves have successfully acted as catch-up.

Disqualifications and injuries

To date, the Locomotive has no problems with the train.

Interesting betting trends

  • On average, a Locomotive gets 11 minutes of penalty time.
  • Yaroslavl players, according to statistics, perform 28 power techniques per match.
Avangard Omsk

Current form

The Omsk team was determined to complete a successful series at home and finally beat the Locomotive in the cup competition. The rivals studied each other well, the coaches of the Avant-Garde built their team's IRGA in such a way that, acting in a forceful manner, they could block the offensive actions of the Volga Region, and realize their trump cards in attack, using the individual skills of their leaders and the effectiveness of the special brigade of the majority. The course of the game fully confirmed the validity of these expectations – in the first period, Vasily Ponomarev scored his fourth goal and became the real joker of Omsk in this series, and in the second, defender Maxim Lajoie scored, making the score 2-0 after throwing in the majority. The third period was marked by persistent attacks from Yaroslavl, for whom time was literally melting away before our eyes. Having taken down the goalkeeper at the end of the third period, they achieved their goal during desperate attacks, hitting Nikita Serebryakov's goal twice in the last minute and sending the game into overtime.

The first overtime did not bring results, and in the second Avangard, who was clearly not in the best emotional state, sagged slightly physically, Yaroslavl acted at higher speeds, stayed in the opponent's zone for a long time and won rebounds more often. In one of the positional attacks, Rushan Rafikov transferred the series to Yaroslavl.

Disqualifications and injuries

Ivan Igumnov will not play in Yaroslavl.

Interesting betting trends

  • On average, Omsk players receive 11 minutes of penalty time per match.
  • According to statistics, the hawks make 30 shots on target.

Trends

Bet 1st period: total less than 1.5 goals

1.53

In the last three matches of the series, the first period was not productive.

The 3rd periodbet: the victory of the hosts

2.65

Yaroslavl won in the third period in three out of four games.

Tip and bets

TipLokomotiv's victory in the match
1.77

Lokomotiv turned the tide of the series and, being on the verge of relegation, won two meetings in a row. In the last game, the railwaymen did an incredible thing, scoring two goals in the final minute of regular time. After such a painful defeat, it will be very difficult for the Avant-Garde, besides, the decisive game will be held in Yaroslavl. We think that Bob Hartley's team will be better than their opponent this time, and the Volga Region team will reach the Gagarin Cup final for the third time in a row. We are betting on the victory of the hosts, taking into account overtime.

The betting tip is a victory for Lokomotiv, taking into account overtime in 1.77

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TipThe Locomotive has more than two washers
1.70

Betting on an individual total

Nikita Serebryakov was very reliable during the semifinal series and the entire playoffs as a whole. The goalkeeper of Avangard was unable to help out his partners in the sixth game of the confrontation, and a defeat in it could be a serious blow to the goalkeeper's confidence. Lokomotiv is improving in terms of implementation over the course of the series and, in our opinion, should score at least two or three goals.

We take the individualtotal of the Locomotive more than two goals for 1.70

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% of profit0.08%
Win percentage60.00%
Average coefficient1.93
Wins60.00%  (3)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses40.00%  (2)