LiontipsNewcastle - Brighton: betting tip (cf 1.96) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Newcastle have failed this season in the Premier League. Initially, the bet was on finishing in the top four, but in reality, the magpies have only a purely theoretical chance of taking a European Cup place in the top 7 in four rounds, as they are seven points behind seventh-placed Bournemouth in 14th place four rounds before the end of the championship. In the last four rounds, Eddie Howe's team lost, and the defeats were not only from the leading Arsenal (0:1), but also from the more modest Sunderland, Crystal Palace and Bournemouth (1:2). Let's add to this series the 2-7 defeat of Barcelona in the second leg of the 1/8 final of the Champions League. As a result, the total series of defeats at the moment is five matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kraft, Cher and Livramento will not play today due to injuries, Gordon is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of Newcastle's previous five matches, there was an exchange of goals scored.
- In three of the last five matches, Newcastle have lost in the first half.
The approximate line-up: Pope – Miley, Tiave, Botman, Hall – Joellinton, Tonali, Bruno – Murphy, Osula, Barnes.
Current form
Brighton, unlike their opponent, is having a shock end to the season and has a good chance of finishing in sixth place, where they are after 34 rounds, and getting a ticket to the Europa League for next season. In the previous eight rounds in the Premier League, the Seagulls suffered only one defeat, and that was from Arsenal with a minimum score of 0:1. During this period, Fabian Hurzeler's team won in six meetings. The key to success was a reliable defensive game: the team scored four out of six victories with a dry score. In the last round, Brighton confidently defeated Chelsea 3-0 on home turf.
Disqualifications and injuries
Brighton have Webster, Zimas, Milner and Gomez on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Brighton's last five matches, there has been no goal exchange.
- In 9 of the 10 previous matches, Brighton has not lost by fouls.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen – Viffer, van Hecke, Boscagli, Kadioglu - Baleba, Gross– Minte, Hinshelwood, Mitoma – Welbeck.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
Stavka played in three of Brighton's previous five matches
Bet 1 half: victory of Brighton
In three of the last five matches, Newcastle have lost in the first half.
The bet is an exact score of 0:2
Brighton have scored three of their last four wins with a "dry" score.
Tip and bets
Newcastle is a small favorite in the line of bookmakers, which is hard to agree with. Closer to the end of the season, the Magpies were not ready to fight for European Cup positions, the team simply could not withstand serious workloads and a busy schedule, because there was an attempt to prove themselves in all tournaments. Brighton, on the contrary, scored a solid move at the finish line, Fabian Hürzeler stabilized the game of his players in defense, the seagulls began to act more pragmatically, there is no longer that desire to move forward at any cost, regardless of the score on the scoreboard. Both in terms of the game and the results, Brighton has an undeniable advantage at the moment and is able to score three points today.
Our prediction is that Brighton will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 1.96
Bet on the total
In the previous eight rounds, Brighton suffered only one defeat, and that was with a minimum score of 0:1 from Arsenal. The Seagulls have only conceded more than one goal once in this stretch, when they went 2-2 with Bournemouth. Obviously, Brighton's defense is in perfect order right now and it's unlikely the Magpies will be able to score more than one goal.
The second bet is that Newcastle's individual goal total is less than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.70
Betting on corners
Despite all its recent successes, Brighton has not achieved much in the corners. In four of the previous five matches, the Seagulls were inferior in this indicator to their rivals. We don't think they'll be able to improve their stats away.
Prediction – Newcastle win on corners with a coefficient of 1.57
